Proposal: Fowler to the devils

mytduxfan*

Guest
From what I've seen, it seems as though his numbers have took a hit since Lovejoy left.

What's the deal with that?

Bieksa is worst then Lovejoy. I don't have the English vocabulary to explain to you how bad Bieksa is and English is my first language.
 

Goose of Reason

El Zilcho
May 1, 2013
9,732
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From what I've seen, it seems as though his numbers have took a hit since Lovejoy left.

What's the deal with that?

Last year Lindholm/Beauchemin took the main shutdown duties that Fowler/Bieksa had this year which might contribute. Also, Ben Lovejoy is a way better defenseman than Kevin Bieksa.
 

Machinehead

HFNYR MVP
Jan 21, 2011
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http://public.tableau.com/shared/D6NZ2MXR3?:display_count=yes

Ok, well Larsson's advanced stats are dog **** too. He basically has the same advanced stats as Fowler except for a better shot suppression stat. Meanwhile, Fowler owns Larsson in D-zone exits and turnover rates. Regardless, Larsson and Fowler both have weak ass possession stats. Still, even those dog **** stats, Larsson got Taylor Hall. Seems to suggest that they mean jack **** to NHL teams or aren't being given full context here on HF. Facts are facts.

People really don't understand the context of these statistics, like at all.

This is another classic appeal to authority that you see all the time on this site: "look! NHL teams are doing it so it must be right!"

It's Edmonton. They don't do anything right. They absolutely **** all over themselves trading Hall straight up for Larsson.
 

dracom

Registered User
Dec 22, 2015
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This is another classic appeal to authority that you see all the time on this site: "look! NHL teams are doing it so it must be right!"

It's Edmonton. They don't do anything right. They absolutely **** all over themselves trading Hall straight up for Larsson.

But it still happened, so the price for a player like Fowler has been set. Just because some internet armchair GMs think the deal was bad doesn't mean real life GMs are going to agree.
 

Machinehead

HFNYR MVP
Jan 21, 2011
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But it still happened, so the price for a player like Fowler has been set. Just because some internet armchair GMs think the deal was bad doesn't mean real life GMs are going to agree.

Well I think a good handful of real-life GM's are morons.

But if we're talking in terms of value, Fowler has a lot of value. I don't disagree.
 

glenbuis

Registered User
Sep 17, 2012
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People really gotta take these possesion stats and corsi numbers with a grain of salt. when the habs traded subban for weber its all you heard about. later you read that subban led the league with 106 giveaways and even played 14 less games then the guy who was second. if weber doesnt waste any time with the puck and moves it quickly does this not hurt his possession numbers ? is it conceivable that fowler could truly be a stud ?
 

Machinehead

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Jan 21, 2011
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People really gotta take these possesion stats and corsi numbers with a grain of salt. when the habs traded subban for weber its all you heard about. later you read that subban led the league with 106 giveaways and even played 14 less games then the guy who was second. if weber doesnt waste any time with the puck and moves it quickly does this not hurt his possession numbers ? is it conceivable that fowler could truly be a stud ?

You think we should take possession stats with a grain of salt, but you're using turnovers which have openly been exposed as random and depending almost entirely on the arena?
 

glenbuis

Registered User
Sep 17, 2012
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You think we should take possession stats with a grain of salt, but you're using turnovers which have openly been exposed as random and depending almost entirely on the arena?

are you serious ? a guy leads the league in giving the puck away and thats random ? Turning the puck over has something to do with the arena being played in ? Your not being serious are you ?
 

Rebels57

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But it still happened, so the price for a player like Fowler has been set. Just because some internet armchair GMs think the deal was bad doesn't mean real life GMs are going to agree.

Just like one bad trade doesn't cement the market value into place.
 

Avs44

Registered User
May 16, 2011
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are you serious ? a guy leads the league in giving the puck away and thats random ? Turning the puck over has something to do with the arena being played in ? Your not being serious are you ?

Turnovers and what counts as one are determined in-house in each arena by the staff there. They aren't an objective stat. I believe massive variances in turnovers based on each arena has been displayed before.
 

glenbuis

Registered User
Sep 17, 2012
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Turnovers and what counts as one are determined in-house in each arena by the staff there. They aren't an objective stat. I believe massive variances in turnovers based on each arena has been displayed before.

who records the corsi number stats ?
 

AfroThunder396

[citation needed]
Jan 8, 2006
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who records the corsi number stats ?

The same people, real time stats are not standardized and each arena has different criteria as to what constitutes a "hit" or "takeaway" or "shot attempt".

Classic case is the "Brodeur's 1,000 saves" study, where a math guy found that Brodeur's SV% was lower at home even though he allowed less goals. The author suggests that due to poor shot counting, Brodeur never got credit for roughly 1,000 saves over his career.

This is why you ALWAYS have to be wary when someone introduces stats with no context and you can never take advanced stats at face value.
 

MartyOwns

thank you shero
Apr 1, 2007
24,707
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No interest in Fowler. Overrated Dman, not a good even strength player.

he's far from perfect, but he becomes our best defenseman immediately. if anaheim was stupid enough to make the deal for boucher, we would and should accept without hesitation
 

mytduxfan*

Guest
People really gotta take these possesion stats and corsi numbers with a grain of salt. when the habs traded subban for weber its all you heard about. later you read that subban led the league with 106 giveaways and even played 14 less games then the guy who was second. if weber doesnt waste any time with the puck and moves it quickly does this not hurt his possession numbers ? is it conceivable that fowler could truly be a stud ?

Well said. :handclap:

No interest in Fowler. Overrated Dman, not a good even strength player.

Okeeeyyyy :shakehead

The same people, real time stats are not standardized and each arena has different criteria as to what constitutes a "hit" or "takeaway" or "shot attempt".

Classic case is the "Brodeur's 1,000 saves" study, where a math guy found that Brodeur's SV% was lower at home even though he allowed less goals. The author suggests that due to poor shot counting, Brodeur never got credit for roughly 1,000 saves over his career.

This is why you ALWAYS have to be wary when someone introduces stats with no context and you can never take advanced stats at face value.

^ :biglaugh:

You think we should take possession stats with a grain of salt, but you're using turnovers which have openly been exposed as random and depending almost entirely on the arena?

AfroThunder just completely rekt your stat watching narrative. Even your precious possessions stats are subject to variability and they're certainly not collected in a way that is better than turnover rates or hits :laugh::laugh::laugh:

Turnovers and what counts as one are determined in-house in each arena by the staff there. They aren't an objective stat. I believe massive variances in turnovers based on each arena has been displayed before.

All stats are taken in-house and vary dramatically, that includes the shot attempts FOR and shot attempts AGAINST used to calculate Corsi, and the blocked shots that are removed from Fenwick calculations.

glenbuis is absolutely correct in saying possession stats don't tell most of the story and, thus, shouldn't be used to tell the WHOLE story i.e. players can't be judged based on a stat sheet. Anyone with half a brain knows this, but too many people on here have egos that just won't let them accept the fact they cannot know the ins and outs of every player in the league.
 

Ducks in a row

Go Ducks Quack Quack
Dec 17, 2013
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No interest in Fowler. Overrated Dman, not a good even strength player.

Fowler isn't overrated he is underrated because hero charts said he is worse then Schultz which is crazy.

People need to watch the player more and stop looking at advanced stats like that as if they are all you need to know. Watching players are important that is why every team has scouts.
 

glenbuis

Registered User
Sep 17, 2012
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Turnovers and what counts as one are determined in-house in each arena by the staff there. They aren't an objective stat. I believe massive variances in turnovers based on each arena has been displayed before.

i understand now where your coming from though with variances and all. id be curious to see how the corsi people could measure heart, character , guts and team player level a guy has. three guys that come to mind for me would be crosby toews and weber. gotta go but understand now where your coming from.
 

Machinehead

HFNYR MVP
Jan 21, 2011
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are you serious ? a guy leads the league in giving the puck away and thats random ? Turning the puck over has something to do with the arena being played in ? Your not being serious are you ?

According to the NHL Dan Girardi had 58 turnovers last year. That's not even one a game. He has one a shift. It's a stat that's not even close to being accurate.
 

glenbuis

Registered User
Sep 17, 2012
4,761
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According to the NHL Dan Girardi had 58 turnovers last year. That's not even one a game. He has one a shift. It's a stat that's not even close to being accurate.

from the sounds of it that (turnover ) would be one of the easier stats to monitor. if the simpler stats are not accurate how can we pretend to believe that the fancy corsi stats are so much more accurate ?
 

IslesGM

Registered User
Jan 4, 2011
134
11
Bieksa is worst then Lovejoy. I don't have the English vocabulary to explain to you how bad Bieksa is and English is my first language.
Sure about that? ;) It's 'worse than'. However, Bieksa is definitely worse than almost any RHD at this point.
 

VoidCreature

Before you see the light, you must die.
Mar 6, 2015
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No, Shero doesn't want Fowler and we shouldn't either.

Fowler plays the left side, it's not like he'd be blocking Sevs. Compare him to Jon Merrill or John Moore instead.

He would also have lead our D in scoring last year by a healthy margin.
 

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