If Canada had a bunch of faceoff experts liable to make the team it would be one thing, but options are limited. The faceoff is important but it's better to have a legitimate penalty killer who is mediocre on faceoffs than a good faceoff centre who is mediocre at penalty killing, barring certain situations. If someone like O'Reilly makes the team that's great.
Not to speak for various other people but Barzal is a bet on talent and some positional versatility, sort of like Duchene was tenish years back. I agree that he isn't the ideal fit but Canada isn't as loaded as it was. Barzal is proven at centre, RW, has some decent reps internationally at the senior level and is at least fine defensively. You pretty much know what to expect from him but ideally a young guy breaks out and takes that spot or even a versatile veteran shows some spring in their step and takes it. I doubt anyone is pushing for Barzal in a prominent role.
Jarvis is good, it will be interesting to see how he does to start this year because you'd have to think that his name is at least somewhere on the radar as a solid two way player. It's unfortunate that he has almost no experience internationally but at least he has a solid number of playoff games this short into his career.
I strongly suspect that Duchene made the 2014 Olympic team because he's a tremendous skater, the tournament was held on international ice, and he had showed reasonably well overall at 3 World Championships leading up to the Olympics. With respect to Barzal, I feel like ironically his chances are much better at making the 2026 Olympics than they are the 2025 4 Nations Cup. With the teams involved, on NHL-sized ice, I wouldn't be surprised if Armstrong leans heavy in terms of his picks. Of the Islanders players, I think Horvat has a better chance of making the team than Barzal for that reason, in addition to faceoff ability and goal scoring ability.
The Duchene/Barzal comparison is a good one, but I think we have a little more talent and more options now at the bottom end of the roster than we did back then (I recall Duchene competing with Couture and Lucic for the final forward spot).
I agree that Jarvis merits consideration, but he's probably caught in a logjam at RW. On the right side, we've got:
- Point (RHS C) - possibly moved to the wing
- MacKinnon (RHS C) - may be moved to the wing on a Nova Scotia line
- Marner (RW)
- Hyman (plays both wings)
- Reinhart (RW)
- Lafreniere (LHS RW last season, can play both)
- Johnston (RHS C, plays wing)
- Stamkos (RHS, plays mostly wing now)
- Bedard (RHS centre, likely to play wing internationally for now)
- Stone (RW...defensive option)
- Barzal (aforementioned)
- Konecny (RHS, plays both wings)
- Jarvis (RW)
Even if Point and MacKinnon end up at centre, and Hyman and Lafreniere play the left side (or are excluded), can Jarvis beat out Marner, Reinhart, Johnston, Bedard and Konecny (and Stone, Stamkos, Barzal)? I'm not sure. If he can play the left side, the path might be a little clearer for him but he's still competing with:
- Marchand
- Lafreniere
- Hyman
- Byfield
- Hagel
- Konecny (plays both wings)
- Stamkos (plays both wings)
I don't see it happening for Jarvis unless he clearly surpasses the Lafrenieres, Byfields and Johnstons of the world as THE top young gun that Armstrong wants to groom for 2026 and beyond. And this is ignoring Celebrini, who has apparently been anointed as the second coming of Jonathan Toews, and possible depth centres like Horvat, Suzuki or Thomas who may get flexed over to the wing.