Speculation: Florida's pick - Watch thread - (Upon request, thread title change lol)

[dinodebino]

The odds are still very small.

If you buy a lottery ticket and I buy two, I have the best chance of winning the jackpot. My odds are still a long shot.

The day that I have 12% chance of winning LottoMax is the day I clean up my bank account. Not a good comparison.

The odds are still very small.

If you buy a lottery ticket and I buy two, I have the best chance of winning the jackpot. My odds are still a long shot.

They have a very good chance at top 3, which is what I would be striving for.

 

[Sterling Archer]

Of course Bedard is the dream..but if we have a top 5 pick with our own and a top 10 with Florida's I will be ecstatic.

Realistically, if we end up with Fantilli or Carlsson, I’d be VERY happy with that. Bedard would he like getting Crosby, but Habs ended up with Price as a consolation prize.

 

[Schooner Guy]

Not True, Serevalli speculated that there likely to sell a forward (reinhart or Bennett) in addition to Gudas in order to provide more balance on the cap to there D.

Until I see it I won’t believe it, Fla owner Vinny Viola isn’t a patient human to begin with…

Seravelli didn't speculate that they're likely to move Reinhart or Bennett. The idea simply got proposed and discussed after they were talking about Gudas as Florida's only UFA with any sort of trade value, the need for Florida to clear some cap space, and the fact that Florida is deep at forward but very thin on D.

 

[habamillions]

Realistically, if we end up with Fantilli or Carlsson, I’d be VERY happy with that. Bedard would he like getting Crosby, but Habs ended up with Price as a consolation prize.

Worked out well. But could of had bobby ryan, jack johnson or pouliot the 1st time.

 

[Scriptor]

We gonna end up picking 1 and 4.

Bedard and Mishkov, come on down!

Later in life:

Slaf - Bedard - Mishkov
PLD - Suzuki - Caufield

Two 40 goal scorers on the top 6.

This is the way!

How many goals do the others, apart from Suzuki and Caufield, score?

 

[Scriptor]

They’re a long shot for everyone, 29 teams behind us have even a lesser chance of winning, if they’re bad for us, imagine how slim it is for them!!

Don’t know about you, but I’d easily drop 1000$ to win a Million if I had the 3rd best odds!!


The 29 teams behind us have a 90% to 100% chance of losing it.

Rather be in our shoes then theirs

Being in a better situation than someone else does not suddenly mean that bad odds have become good. The point is that hoping for a lottery win is not an actual intelligent plan from a competent GM.

 

[Nicko999]

He would give away vets from Habs & players from Laval to Pens & Isles that they desired

No, because it would make those teams worse.

Realistically, he would trade Monahan to Chicago.

 

[rahad]

Realistically, if we end up with Fantilli or Carlsson, I’d be VERY happy with that. Bedard would he like getting Crosby, but Habs ended up with Price as a consolation prize.

Drafting both of Fantili and Carlsson will be like drafting Carey Price and Anze Kopitar!

 

[LaP]

They could trade Reinhart or Bennett but will it be a cap move only where none comes back? Lets say they are able to do it for futures. Then what? How do you add top 4D that turns the needle when so many teams are after those kinds of improvements?

Easier said than done.

imo if they trade one of them it will be for a dman unless they are 100% sure to be able to sign a good dman next summer with the cap space (like when Nashville traded subban to sign Duchene). Like Subban that trade would likely happen next summer in june anyway.

 

[salbutera]

No, because it would make those teams worse.

Realistically, he would trade Monahan to Chicago.

Pollocks blueprint was securing 1OA Kings pick - Lafleur.

 

[LaP]

Florida really f***ed with there chemistry didn't they losing Hubs and Weeger. They really shouldn't be this bad to be honest.

Yeah but people are all doom and gloom but that's not a bad trade. Tkachuk fits their core better since he is 2 years younger than Barkov and Ekblad. We know how CH fans are. You win one game you're going for the cup and you lose next and you're worthless. It's a move that could pay in 2-3 years.

Huberdeau was going to get too much money and will be 30 years old next season. They still have a top center. They still have a top winger. They still have a potential top dman if he can stay healthy. They have a good young goalie. That's a good foundation no reason to tear it down considering the age of those players. They have to adress Bobrovski problem though and that's a huge one.

 

[Nicko999]

In the last month, Florida only has 1 win vs a playoff team (4-2 vs Devils on Dec 17th). Not saying they will lose both games but I see 1 win and a loss at best vs Colorado and Vegas.

 

[BehindTheTimes]

A bad Coach can cause issues. I remember when both the Blue Jays and Habs brought back Therrien and Gibson (around the same time I believe) and I was like WTF? Why? That was the first move that Bergevin made that left me wondering.

Gibby was a good coach imo, the jays would have been better off with gibby over Montoya, that is for sure.

 

[BenchBrawl]

The day that I have 12% chance of winning LottoMax is the day I clean up my bank account. Not a good comparison.


They have a very good chance at top 3, which is what I would be striving for.

Cleaning your bank account for a 12% shot at becoming rich? I don't know man. I wouldn't take that bet at all.

Top 3: True. Good point.

 

[SwiftyHab]

Cleaning your bank account for a 12% shot at becoming rich? I don't know man. I wouldn't take that bet at all.

Top 3: True. Good point.

You need to live Man!! Take risks!

 

[Captain Mountain]

Cleaning your bank account for a 12% shot at becoming rich? I don't know man. I wouldn't take that bet at all.

Top 3: True. Good point.

I guess it all depends on how much is in the bank account. 20 year old me would do it, but I'd never do that now.

 

[BenchBrawl]

You need to live Man!! Take risks!

12% is not enough. Careless risk.

I guess it all depends on how much is in the bank account. 20 year old me would do it, but I'd never do that now.

Sure.

 

[LaP]

Gibby was a good coach imo, the jays would have been better off with gibby over Montoya, that is for sure.

Montoyo was pretty bad though. He was losing at least 10 games by himself a year with stupid decisions.

 

[cphabs]

Being in a better situation than someone else does not suddenly mean that bad odds have become good. The point is that hoping for a lottery win is not an actual intelligent plan from a competent GM.

So, Steve Yserman is incompetent?

 

[_vivelequebec_]

Have a question. What happen with lottery and rounds 2-7? Like if we finish 28th overall but win the lottery, do we pick first in every rounds?

 

[Redux91]

The odds are still very small.

If you buy a lottery ticket and I buy two, I have the best chance of winning the jackpot. My odds are still a long shot.

This is your analogy lol?

So 2 in 15 000 000 000 chance is "better" than 1 in 15 000 000 chance sure, np
Both are astronomical odds

But 2 in 16 chance is better than 1 in 16 chance, and hardly astronomical (AND that was just to make it simple for you, it'll probably be more like a 2 in 12-13 chance)

 

[xX SEYF Xx]

Have a question. What happen with lottery and rounds 2-7? Like if we finish 28th overall but win the lottery, do we pick first in every rounds?

Lottery only applies to 1st round
You still pick by ranking in the other rounds

 

[MasterD]

edit nevermind I have no idea

 

[Gaylord Q Tinkledink]

Spencer Knight is placed on injured reserve possibly

 

[Grand Admiral Thrawn]

How many goals do the others, apart from Suzuki and Caufield, score?

Between 6 to 11 or 12 goals... depending if MSL's concept are still confusing