It’s easy to go through the main HFBoards Laf threads (especially threads 2 and 3 on the prospect board), and see what people thought of him. I’d say most didn’t have him as a Matthews tier prospect, but some did.
Personally, I had him a tier below Matthews:
F Alexis Lafreniere (2020, 1st, NYR) part 3
Had him on the same tier as guys who, on draft day, looked like good 1st overall picks, but not outstanding ones - Stamkos, Hall, MacKinnon. I’m a bit down on him since then, but only a bit, I still think he’s going to be a star winger with a very well rounded game. I can certainly see him having a Hall-or-better level career.
I’ll also remind people that Stamkos got off to a very similar start:
- 0 points, -3 in his first 7 games
- 4 points, -8 in his first 17 games
- 14 points, -11 in his first 41 games
Then Stammer got more and more comfortable/adjusted, and started killing it. Finished the season with 32 points in his final 38 games, and in his 2nd year put up 51 goals, 95 points.
Laf is off to a poor start, but I wouldn’t read too much into that re: his career potential.