Player Discussion Dylan Cozens, C/RW, 2019 7th overall Part 2

Archie Lee

Registered User
Apr 13, 2018
564
607
Ive been wanting to do a littler evaluation of some of these stats along side the eye test.

Does the article hypothesize the reason for the dropoff, or does it simply state that his numbers got worse?

I really think analytics in hockey is interesting, but feel like sometimes a lot of the popular people in this domain are content to pretty much say "x player got better/worse based on y metric" and sort of leave it there instead of trying to figure out why
I don’t think Goldman does a deep dive into the why, but my take is that the underlying reason is that post-2022/2023 we asked our young players to start playing a more complete game without properly supporting them with veterans who can assist. Thus we have a group of kids, Cozens at the fore-front, who have next to no on-ice support. The defence are talented, but largely one dimensional and young. Same for the top-9 forwards. Thus far, the efforts to get Cozens’s game going have amounted to trying him with different wingers who are younger than him. Goldman suggests that giving Cozens a veteran winger who plays a heavy forecheck and can take care of the physical side of the game would help him; also a defensive Defenceman could help.

Cozens, like all of our young players, was asked to do too much too soon without the needed veteran support. His game is collapsing under the weight of unreasonable expectations.
 

MOGlLNY

Registered User
Jan 5, 2008
12,524
13,027
Fantastic article by Shayna. Although Cozens has been my whipping boy going back to last year, I agree that now is not the time to move him unless you can get a significant upgrade. It would be desperate and selling at a likely all time low/

The ideal move (we all f***ing knew this in the offseason) is to get another winger for the top 6.

Ive been wanting to do a littler evaluation of some of these stats along side the eye test.

Does the article hypothesize the reason for the dropoff, or does it simply state that his numbers got worse?

I really think analytics in hockey is interesting, but feel like sometimes a lot of the popular people in this domain are content to pretty much say "x player got better/worse based on y metric" and sort of leave it there instead of trying to figure out why
It’s a very deep dive on both sides showing video of where he struggles. Use the site 12ft.io to bypass the block
 

Fjordy

Chili Cheese Fries
Jun 20, 2018
18,893
10,467
And what kind of wingers does Cozens need to start playing normally and scoring a lot of points again? Or maybe he should become a winger himself?
 

Der Jaeger

Generational EBUG
Feb 14, 2009
18,333
15,279
Cair Paravel
Great article. Reinforces the idea that Buffalo needs help at center. I have always thought Cozens was a winger. I think that position change would highlight a lot of the things he does really well.
 
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dickiedunnwrotethis

It's gotta be true.
May 16, 2009
655
377
saskatoon
Great article. Reinforces the idea that Buffalo needs help at center. I have always thought Cozens was a winger. I think that position change would highlight a lot of the things he does really well.
Hundy P. As you said, a change to wing could highlight what he has - at times - shown the ability to do well but also help disguise what he can't.

If they have the courage to admit they were wrong and permanently make the position change (and Cozens can show that he can come close to fulfilling a 7 million dollar winger role) then I think that greatly simplifies what roster changes need to be made. Trade one of Power/Byram and trade Peterka. Those pieces should go a long way to finding a legit 2C and a partner for Byram/Power and maybe solve the roster imbalance that's been plaguing the Sabres for years.
 
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Fjordy

Chili Cheese Fries
Jun 20, 2018
18,893
10,467
Great article. Reinforces the idea that Buffalo needs help at center. I have always thought Cozens was a winger. I think that position change would highlight a lot of the things he does really well.
giphy.gif
 
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Fjordy

Chili Cheese Fries
Jun 20, 2018
18,893
10,467
I think he's skilled and has the ability to be impactful. But I don't think hes a good fit, so

Zegras sucks - Nah.
Zegras is not a good fit - Absolutely.
Who good fit for us? We lack players with high IQ and playmakers, at least Zegras has it, many top 6 C have NMC/NTC or they are not available. It is difficult to find this, especially proven ones.
 

MOGlLNY

Registered User
Jan 5, 2008
12,524
13,027
I think he's skilled and has the ability to be impactful. But I don't think hes a good fit, so

Zegras sucks - Nah.
Zegras is not a good fit - Absolutely.
Sorry let me be clear - Zegras sucks for what we are trying to accomplish
 

Irie

Registered User
Nov 14, 2010
4,691
4,640
Pacific Northwest
The ideal move (we all f***ing knew this in the offseason) is to get another winger for the top 6.

I think the problem is that it seems just about every team in the league was looking for a top six winger last off-season, and zero were traded. That leaves moves like a huge UFA overpay for Zucker as a poorman's solution to the problem everyone knew existed.

Any trade that would have brought in a top 6 winger would have more than likely been a huge loss value wise as it was very much a seller's market. Giving up multiple high-end assets for a 2nd line wing would be very bad business.

This team needs a consistent game changing play driver in their top 6, but those players are rarely available, and often have NMCs which makes them even tougher to find for small market teams like the Sabres.

Everyone wants the team to acquire a forward that can carry this team to the next level, but if we are being realistic, that piece will likely have to come from the farm or through the draft.
 

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