I wouldnt even say either "destroyed" their value with their 6mil contracts though. I mean if Eberle was at 4mil do you think hes getting much more than Strome? Maybe a pick or something on top
The theory about signing young players to long contracts is essentially an insurance strategy. Some will work out and others wont, but the ones that do will make up for the ones that didnt. For example, Hall at 6mil is a major steal and probably a 2 mil per year discount. Eberle and RNH overpaid by 1 mil each. Back at that time theres no way you can sign Hall long term then go to 36 goal Eberle and say "nah were bridging ya bud". They got 3 guys locked up for 18 mil total, and at that time they were studs. Hall would continue to explode with PPG years and Eberle would still be a 25 goal scorer
You try and pick and chose who gets long term deals and who gets bridged and you likely get burnt.
Likewise, Chiarelli signed Klefbom long term after seeing him for 30 games and that deal looks insane. Then he followed up with McDavid, and Draisaitl all with long term deals. The total sum of his long terms deals for his young studs will be good. Some individual contracts may be worse than others tho, but gotta look at the sum
Yes, I do think Eberle at 4M would be worth much more than just an add-on pick to Strome. That's not the point, though.
Using the ideology that "you win some, you lose some" is a really ****** way to run an organization. Any organization. That just means you're not very good at your job, or the industry is built on such unstable grounds that you have no other choice than to live by that rule.
There are some teams in the NHL that don't hand out large contracts to relatively unproven assets. Argue all you want about Drai' vision and passing ability, he still hasn't shown enough outside of playing with two all-stars and a playoff series in which the majority of shutdown/checking pressure was put on a different player. I don't think that Drai is going to bust, I am just wary about him not living up to 8.5M, which ultimately leads to fans starting to use him as a scapegoat when things go poorly. And then **** starts to go nuts with fans and media running players out of town. It's happened before, it will happen again. Hopefully not to Drai, but who knows? None of us, yet.
We're all happy and fine with saying "oh so what if it's an overpayment, we have him for 8 years!!"... yeah... think about that statement for a minute and think about what it means if he under-performs throughout the entire contract.
Again, I'm happy he's signed. I'm just holding on to my excitement until he shows that he is worth it without playing with McDavid, which he almost certainly will need to in order to make our team a contender.