Power forwards are the highest risk when adjusted by position. Size is the easiest thing to understand so lazy or stupid scouts can prioritize it. Hockey sense is the hardest to understand so only the best scouts ID it, which is why when we took Stepan in the second, this board exploded: "Who?! F'ing tap dancer?"
Big guys always get ranked a bunch of spots above where they belong, excluding guys you see at the very top (first 2-3 picks). I wouldn't draft monsters unless we are absolutely certain of them.
Yes, i agree. Definately tough to gauge power forwards or Dmen for their size/strength. GM's, Scouts, Coaches at every level etc...They are still all over the size factor, and as a result make bad decisions for the "What could be"
I think a lot of the decision process is also based on what you have to work with. If you have a player with size, a player with skating and one who is cerebral you take that risk all day long. To add to that, when you have a player who has a motor and plays with the "edge"...that's a guy i burn a pick on all day long. Especially when you have extra picks. I look at the players we have in the system. Some really nice talent already here, or coming soon. I see one player here who fits the mold of power forward, and he is more of an agitator then a PF(Lemieux). But...he can play a heavy game. Playoffs are such a great example of needing players that can play a heavier game when it matters. We have Chytil here. He's got all the skill in the world. He just has to put it together. We have Kravtsov coming as well. Another player with elite skill. We don't how he is going to do here but we know we have a super skilled forward who the org is hoping will slide into a top 6 role. We have #1 C (Zbad), who here but has shown he can handle that role moving forward. We have 1 physical player in the top 6 who everyone wants to trade #20. If the club does get back into playoff mode, how are these guys going to play a heavy game? Lias might be able to at some point. Howden? Hmm, i dont think so. Boo is physical, he also has a mess of concussions. Our current defense doesn't have a truly physical player. Lindgren is likely the most physical of the D prospects. He doesnt have any room to make this squad unless trades are made.
Rangers have the #2 pick. Its likely going to be Kakko. He's a beast. He's going to be a pain in the ass to contain...At least that is what he has shown so far. He would also probably be the clubs most physical forward in it's top 6. He balances the future top 6 put a but. It can't be just him.
I think rolling the dice on a physical player while there are a few available in this draft is something the club should absolutely do when assesing the current roster and where the teams prospect base will be in 3 years from now. In round 1 or 2, i'm all for the idea of one of Seider, Beecher, Lavoie, or Leason type of a player.
The hard part is...At age 17, or 18 its super hard to gauge who is cerebral and who isn't. They're just kids!