Devils team discussion (news, notes and speculation) - 2023 offseason part II

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Billdo

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I just think the Defense, at the very best is going to at least take some time to adjust to the loss of Severson and Graves...at worst it could be a problem...

Then it's tough to invision the offense duplicating or surpassing last years output.

My concern is even a marginal drop in offense will magnified a less experienced defense.
The defense could certainly have issues. That's essentially the only aspect of this team where I can see a pretty significant issue if there were to be one. I also think bringing in Miller helps alleviate that and I think Nemec gets another year in the A.

Siegenthaler-Hamilton
Hughes-Marino
Bahl-Miller

Can be pretty solid though.
 

NJDevs26

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From what I remember the whole ‘debate’ around why we couldn’t talk about Kakko was centered around the fallacy that because Patrick was the consensus pick till he wasn’t (and Hughes was the consensus pick in that draft) that people should allow for the possibility that Kakko would be the Hischier to Hughes’ Patrick when that was wishcasting at best, unlike the Nico draft there was never any true doubt who the pick would or should be throughout the whole process despite some wanting to wishcast it.

There was plenty of ‘debate’ in the Hughes and general draft threads anyway, it’s not like it wasn’t allowed. There are far more inane debates that go on yearly that are allowed so why wouldn’t that be? People were just mad there was no specific Kakko thread at a certain point but really were we gonna put threads for five other guys who we weren’t drafting? Where does the line get drawn on that if we’re not being realistic?
 
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JimEIV

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The defense could certainly have issues. That's essentially the only aspect of this team where I can see a pretty significant issue if there were to be one. I also think bringing in Miller helps alleviate that and I think Nemec gets another year in the A.

Siegenthaler-Hamilton
Hughes-Marino
Bahl-Miller

Can be pretty solid though.
Definitely can be a solid group...
but it's hard to ignore that a 1/3 of the defense no full season NHL experience.
 
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Guttersniped

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This is risible on its face. The Devils got huge results up and down the lineup - Jack Hughes could've missed every game last year and the Devils still would've made the playoffs, though it would've been much closer. And you want to point to one guy why they were good! It's too funny.

Shero/Castron had 4 drafts, their drafts were successful - they never had any home run drafts but a lot of B- to A- work every year. They never whiffed a draft, and they never whiffed a draft below the 1st round, either. That's solid work.

I think 2019 draft was nifty work by Shero. The pick trades are fun. We finally addressed defense. The last 5 skaters are all above average, rock solid picks. We all fell in love with a bunch of them.

It now looks like we aren’t going to sign McCarthy or Moynihan. Nikola Pasic had a bumpy development and his rights ran out. Thompson was an overager who was eligible for the 2017 draft, he’s 24, and he took a step back last season.

If Gritsyuk turns out to be a NHL player that will add another late round success. But late round successes are very hard to pull off.

It’s not a coincidence that every 2nd pick we had since 2015-20 has played in the NHL, it would have been nice to have had more than four of them.

But that was Shero’s draft strategy, we were building this team very slowly with late round picks. I don’t think it could have worked, though repeatedly winning the lottery has helped.

Fitz’s drafts have been weirder lol.
 

JimEIV

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there was never really any doubt who the pick would be throughout.
That was the reason given for the conversation being shutdown....still make little sense on a hockey message board to shut down a conversation on the top two prospects when we have the #1 pick.
 
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Devs3cups

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The defense could certainly have issues. That's essentially the only aspect of this team where I can see a pretty significant issue if there were to be one. I also think bringing in Miller helps alleviate that and I think Nemec gets another year in the A.

Siegenthaler-Hamilton
Hughes-Marino
Bahl-Miller

Can be pretty solid though.
I’m way more concerned about our goaltending than defense, and I’m not that concerned about goaltending.

Graves was meh at the end here and Severson is a loss but he was a 3rd pairing guy for us. I trust Hughes can have an immediate impact (given his play with us at the end of the season I don’t see why not, even if it was a small sample size) and that Bahl can hold his own. Hopefully he can PK.

I can see a small drop off on D, but nothing dramatic and it’s obviously for the best moving forward.
 
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NJDevs26

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That was the reason given for the conversation being shutdown....still make little sense on a hockey message board to shut down a conversation on the top two prospects when we have the #1 pick.
No there just wasn’t a Kakko thread, there were plenty of draft specific threads where people were complaining but the ‘discussion’ was had there and in the Hughes thread anyway. Like 731 said, people complained they couldn’t say x then said it anyway. They wouldn’t be allowed to say x in any other thread if all discussion was shut down. People just equated not having a Kakko thread to not being allowed to debate it…you could debate it just like you could debate other untrue opinions like Nico being a ‘cancer’ last year, but how many different threads do we need for it when there was no indication at all we were drafting this player?
 
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forceten

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Shero's moves in a vacuum all looked good to great, then you look at the complete picture and it shows a lack of vision. You compare it to Fitzgerald (in particular in how he built a legit defense with clear thought and planning) and you realize you can't just judge GMs by taking each individual move and giving it a star rating and averaging all their ratings. Like I'm not sure Shero made a move worse than the Palat signing (sorry but it's going worse than expected and might go even more sour, hard to deny), but avoiding bad FA signings in themselves is not the sign of great GMing.
This. This resonates with me too because in my business I see this all the time. Point solutions seem fine in isolation but nobody's looking at the big picture and how decisions and actions impact it or align to a vision. It was dart board and opportunistic in my view, grab a sexy name or potential NHL top liner... he took what he could get.

Shero had his good points for sure - little in life is black and white - but I am with GS in that 2nd round picks are valuable assets and squandering so many is a contributing reason to why we have limited forward depth in our prospect pool.
 

TrufleShufle

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There were plenty of draft specific threads where it was made
No, as much as it pains me to say, I'm with Jim on this one. There was a Hughes thread well before draft day and that's all that was allowed to be talked about, pretty sure I got slapped for making the same points he is.

Obviously Jack was the consensus pick, but talking about anything else was basically treated like flat earth theories.
 

JimEIV

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This is risible on its face. The Devils got huge results up and down the lineup - Jack Hughes could've missed every game last year and the Devils still would've made the playoffs, though it would've been much closer. And you want to point to one guy why they were good! It's too funny.
The Devils were 4th in Goals For...take Jack's 43 goals away and the Devil are right back at the bottom of the league at 21st... basically where they have been the last 4 or 5 years.

Take his possession away and your goals against are up and differential is flirting with negative numbers from the massive +60.
 
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Nubmer6

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Yeah...I have come to the point that I don't listen to the words players or management speak... it's all 100% prepackaged, sanitized, combed-over, pre-approved, officially sanctioned, meticulously crafted, public relations gobbledygook.

Every once in a blue moon you might get a nugget....but most of the time it's just an exercise of saying the "right thing"
Unless it's Bobby Holik speaking :)
 

forceten

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The Devils were 4th in Goals For...take t Jack's 43 goals away and the Devil are right back at the bottom of the league at 21st... basically where they have been the last 4 or 5 years.

Take his possession away and your goals against are up and differential is flirting with negative numbers from the massive +60.
The kid is a star. What a trajectory from disgrace to one of the top players in the league.
 

Nubmer6

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The Devils were 4th in Goals For...take Jack's 43 goals away and the Devil are right back at the bottom of the league at 21st... basically where they have been the last 4 or 5 years.

Take his possession away and your goals against are up and differential is flirting with negative numbers from the massive +60.
Well, you can't really take away his 43 goals and replace them with nothing. I'd say you'd probably replace him with a 20 goal scorer? Something in that range?
 
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NJDevs26

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No, as much as it pains me to say, I'm with Jim on this one. There was a Hughes thread well before draft day and that's all that was allowed to be talked about, pretty sure I got slapped for making the same points he is.

Obviously Jack was the consensus pick, but talking about anything else was basically treated like flat earth theories.
It was a flat earth theory basically. One poll of anonymous scouts that was cited as proof of how ‘close’ it was based on a few comments still had all ten scouts picking Hughes in the end. The media and the team both had a vested interest in trying to gin up drama but when you looked beyond that there was zero indication anyone’s ranking ever changed. Nico and Patrick was cited as closer than expected by many sources around the league from almost the minute we won the lottery and a lot of those straw polls were dead even.
 

TrufleShufle

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It was a flat earth theory basically. One poll of anonymous scouts that was cited as proof of how ‘close’ it was based on a few comments still had all ten scouts picking Hughes in the end. The media and the team both had a vested interest in trying to gin up drama but when you looked beyond that there was zero indication anyone’s ranking ever changed. Nico and Patrick was cited as closer than expected by many sources around the league from almost the minute we won the lottery and a lot of those straw polls were dead even.
That's all fine, but when you treat talking about hockey prospects on a hockey prospect board that same as you would politics, it's a bit much.

I wouldn't have minded hearing all about Kakko within this group or from the people who seriously wanted him. Jack was the better pick, but other opinions shouldn't have been scary.
 

PizzaAndPucks

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We're hitting the home stretch of the offseason ! I wonder how good the Oilers would be without McDavid or the Avalanche without MacKinnon ?
 
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My3Sons

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You’ve won that imaginary argument you were having with me. Anyway, the Gusev move which didn’t work out, was a fine gamble and was a move current GM supported publicly.
While I understand the Gusev move, I think it was done for the wrong reason. The team was either fooled into thinking they could build around Taylor Hall and Hischier without much else (Bratt was promising but I doubt the team saw him becoming this good) or they just wanted to appease Hall with a new contract needed. I have a suspicion that the Subban and Gusev trades were done to have short term improvement to convince Hall to stay in NJ. Ultimately, they were futile and while not catastrophic they just screamed short term moves at the time on what was still a developing team. That's just my opinion and others can certainly see it differently. Hindsight is always 20/20 and likely the second and third round picks don't hit but from a team building standpoint I would have preferred the picks.
 
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PizzaAndPucks

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If you look at the teams that won the Cup over the last 10 years most of them finished top 5 in the league standings.
The defense could certainly have issues. That's essentially the only aspect of this team where I can see a pretty significant issue if there were to be one. I also think bringing in Miller helps alleviate that and I think Nemec gets another year in the A.

Siegenthaler-Hamilton
Hughes-Marino
Bahl-Miller

Can be pretty solid though.
Hughes will have growing pains and Bahl as well. Bahl atleast has a good chunk of games under his belt and has looked like a top 4 dman at times. We also have Smith as our #7 incase of inquires or someone needing to sit. Really if you look at our AHL pipeline it is really young on the backend as well. Nemec , Vilen , Misyul , Vukojevic etc. Vilen and Misyul need time to learn the NA game. Kind of wish Okhotiuk wasn't a piece in the Meier deal.
 

Bleedred

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The Subban trade also purged JOKE scab Santini from the organization. The contract he got from us on that extension was also overpayment (more than Bahl’s current cap him I’m pretty sure) for a below replacement level player.
 
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NJDevs26

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That's all fine, but when you treat talking about hockey prospects on a hockey prospect board that same as you would politics, it's a bit much.

I wouldn't have minded hearing all about Kakko within this group or from the people who seriously wanted him. Jack was the better pick, but other opinions shouldn't have been scary.
That debate was had plenty, you and others just equated having no Kakko thread to it not being discussed at all. It’s kind of nuts we’re still debating ‘having the discussion’ four years later when Hughes was the right pick then and has proven to be ten times more so now. So we’re debating what exactly, not having an alternate universe where we go nuts, make the pick no expert seriously advocated for and Fitz is still rebuilding?
 

My3Sons

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The Subban trade also purged JOKE scab Santini from the organization. The contract he got from us on that extension was also overpayment (more than Bahl’s current cap him I’m pretty sure) for a below replacement level player.
Santini looked very promising to me as a potential middle pairing defensive guy, almost like a Siegenthaler, but he just never panned out. He seemed to have enough mobility and he certainly was willing to hit guys so he must have really struggled to process the game.
 
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Goptor

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I’m way more concerned about our goaltending than defense, and I’m not that concerned about goaltending.

Graves was meh at the end here and Severson is a loss but he was a 3rd pairing guy for us. I trust Hughes can have an immediate impact (given his play with us at the end of the season I don’t see why not, even if it was a small sample size) and that Bahl can hold his own. Hopefully he can PK.

I can see a small drop off on D, but nothing dramatic and it’s obviously for the best moving forward.

Severson was always going to be impossible to replace.
Nobody else in the league has a $6-$7 mil player as their 3rd pair RD.

The forward group has the kind of depth that every team wishes they had. Last year there was excellent forward depth but all the players were of a similar style. Now there are specialists of every type. Holtz has the offensive skills, Foote is the power forward. Nosek is an excellent defensive center. Lazar brings physical play. Tierney is also around as well.

If the devils need a certain type of forward to fill in for injury or to have a better matchup, they'll have that flexibility.
 
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