Devils team discussion (news, notes and speculation) - 2023-24 season part III

Status
Not open for further replies.

Bad Goalie

Registered User
Jan 2, 2014
20,468
9,540
In addition to the rebounds, for awhile he wasn't letting in softies, just wasn't making big saves.

Then he started letting in softies too.

Daws, especially this last couple hasn't let in softies, but has also made huge saves.

I don't want to say anything definitive on his rebounds control, I'd say it's been better then Vitek, but I feel I'm shooting from the hip a little.

The big saves are blatantly obvious.
When you talk rebounds Daws and Schmid have consistently coughed 'em up like 3 for a $ at the fair. Rebound control seems to be something NJ goalie coach doesn't address at all.

When Rollie Melanson was the Comets goalie coach, Markstrom, Eriksson, Bachman, and Demko became quite good at directing rebounds away from the crease if they were shots they couldn't keep right in their possession. He worked on it and they practiced it.

The new pads are very difficult to keep rebounds in close. The puck just explodes off them. You have to try to direct the puck off of them towards the corners. Not so easy to do on close hard shots, especially in traffic. Rebounds do get coughed up in those conditions and there's not much a keeper can do about it. D-men are supposed to be attuned to this and take responsibility for those kind of rebounds. Just clear the f**king rebounds anywhere they can.

The old leather pads depended upon how strong you were on your skate. If you could relax your leg, the pad would drop the shot almost right at your feet. Thus, you can see old video clips where the puck stops at their feet and the goalies are more often than not either dropping on them with both pads or covering it with the glove and the stick behind it. That's how I was taught.

Now as to the rebounds from the catching glove. there is no excuse for that. Pucks don't just jump back out of a broken in glove, especially the monsters they wear today. The webbing should be so soft it just eats up the puck. It shouldn't act like a slingshot and fire it back into play. When they are new the webbing will do that Also the new palm is like a pitch back tool. Wearing new gloves in games is not the route to take. They may look great, but the puck is very active in them.

Blocker shots are easy to direct away from you and even over the glass as well as high over the net. You have to work on it with a guy taking a lot of shots with just the two of you out there 10 minutes or so before every practice. And then once practice gets going keep doing it as often as possible until it becomes second nature. I can't believe guys can reach the NHL without having gotten this down.

AHL is more complicated to compare players on the same roster ... The goalie getting the 3rd game of 3 game in 4 nights with B team bottom 6 and extra D didn't have the same team in front of him as the first goalie.

It's not like the NHL where if healthy the same 6 Dmen and same 12 forwards play every game (mostly). They rotate guys in an out all the time
There is truth in this explanation. It results in goalies being lambs fed to the wolves one night and being protected like precious gems another.
 

NjDevsRR

Anything Can Happen In Jersey
Sponsor
Apr 24, 2012
30,227
62,721
Belmar


Jack at the top right of the top right as per usual for rush offense. special appearance from Miles Wood.

The other devils in the upper right quadrant are Bratt, Meier, and Holtz

IMG_3907.jpeg
 

NjdevilfanJim

Registered User
Jan 26, 2020
2,981
2,744
There is a lot wrong with your entire premise.

First off - with regards to the bolded - you don't actually know this. In order to assess how "meaningless" goals scored in the third period while down are, you would need to pull data to see the win/loss rate of teams that do it. In other words, if a team goes into the third period down 4-2 but then makes it 4-3, how often is that team making the full comeback? Basic common sense would tell you that a comeback win is much more likely in that scenario than if the gap remained -2 or got bigger.

Secondly, as I've pointed out numerous times already and you've failed to address - looking at how often the team goes down 1-0 or enters the third period trailing tells us absolutely nothing about WHY they gave up the first goal or are entering the third period trailing. All it shows is that the team hasn't played well enough early in the game to be leading. Additional conclusions cannot be drawn without a ton of additional team and player performance context which you are completely leaving out.

Lastly, your implication that the Devils score some inordinate amount of "meaningless" goals is baseless without knowing how often they are doing it in relation to other teams.

I'd also like to point out that identifying goals as "meaningless" is just as subjective and nebulous as calling goals "stoppable" or games "winnable". I don't think you hold any high ground there.

You want to talk about meaningless goals? This entire exercise of yours qualifies.
Gotta admire his commitment determination seems like Jim is taking on the whole Devils fan base on this one

I miss the TG days:

Yeah would have been nice then to leave out the Messier garbage....
 

JimEIV

Registered User
Feb 19, 2003
67,701
30,526
Gotta admire his commitment determination seems like Jim is taking on the whole Devils fan base on this one
Not the first time. It's always the same topic it seems...or some variation.

Goalies are just not as important as people think in this era. I'll die on that hill every time.
 
  • Like
Reactions: NjdevilfanJim

NjdevilfanJim

Registered User
Jan 26, 2020
2,981
2,744
Not the first time. It's always the same topic it seems...or some variation.

Goalies are just not as important as people think in this era. I'll die on that hill every time.
We all gotta pick a hill and it's your right to pick the hill...
 
  • Like
Reactions: JimEIV

Bad Goalie

Registered User
Jan 2, 2014
20,468
9,540
If Siegenthaler goes in someone not only has to come out of the lineup, but off the roster. With 3 keepers the Devils already carry 23. Siegs makes 24 and if Foote is practicing in a regular jersey he would make 25 if activated and 2 have to come off the roster. A healthy NJ Devils says there has to be some player movement.

I see Schmid on his way back to Utica and with the game Kallgren played Saturday that's not good news in Utica. 3-man rotations in net are not advantageous. Schmid hasn't played in eons and sticking him right back into the rotation isn't good for the Comets who are desperate to move up in the standings. He wasn't helping in that regard when he was here last. However, if he comes back it will be expected he plays over Kallgren.

The other guy would likely be DeSimone put on waivers and he'll be Utica bound if he clears.

Siegs make 7 D

Foote would be 14 Fs.

That's 21 + Vitek and Daws = 23

No word as of yet.

Perhaps Foote is ready to practice with the boys, but not yet game ready. He is actually in the state where many NHL players get sent to the farm on a conditioning stint. Not too happy about that since most players in this situation usually don't put forth a very strong effort as they are making sure they don't get reinjured.
 

Zajacs Bowl Cut

Lets Go Baby
Nov 6, 2005
72,971
47,104
PA
If Siegenthaler goes in someone not only has to come out of the lineup, but off the roster. With 3 keepers the Devils already carry 23. Siegs makes 24 and if Foote is practicing in a regular jersey he would make 25 if activated and 2 have to come off the roster. A healthy NJ Devils says there has to be some player movement.

I see Schmid on his way back to Utica and with the game Kallgren played Saturday that's not good news in Utica. 3-man rotations in net are not advantageous. Schmid hasn't played in eons and sticking him right back into the rotation isn't good for the Comets who are desperate to move up in the standings. He wasn't helping in that regard when he was here last. However, if he comes back it will be expected he plays over Kallgren.

The other guy would likely be DeSimone put on waivers and he'll be Utica bound if he clears.

Siegs make 7 D

Foote would be 14 Fs.

That's 21 + Vitek and Daws = 23

No word as of yet.

Perhaps Foote is ready to practice with the boys, but not yet game ready. He is actually in the state where many NHL players get sent to the farm on a conditioning stint. Not too happy about that since most players in this situation usually don't put forth a very strong effort as they are making sure they don't get reinjured.

I am sure that they will just put Vitek on IR to open up a spot
 

My3Sons

Nobody told me there'd be days like these...
Sponsor
Not the first time. It's always the same topic it seems...or some variation.

Goalies are just not as important as people think in this era. I'll die on that hill every time.
I think your best point might be that there is some anecdotal evidence that at least some teams in the league appear to agree with you.
 

Bad Goalie

Registered User
Jan 2, 2014
20,468
9,540
I am sure that they will just put Vitek on IR to open up a spot
That would cover 1, but the possibility of 2 with Foote says someone would have to go besides Vitek on IR. That would mean DeSimone as Schmid would still be in NJ.

Foote skating in a regular jersey says he must be close. Yes?
 

guitarguyvic

Registered User
Mar 31, 2010
9,085
7,648
Not the first time. It's always the same topic it seems...or some variation.

Goalies are just not as important as people think in this era. I'll die on that hill every time.
I agree with you about this, but pointing to who scores first or how often the team is trailing without any additional context tells us nothing meaningful about it.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Guttersniped

AfroThunder396

[citation needed]
Jan 8, 2006
39,607
25,044
Miami, FL
We have played 162 regulation periods this season.

We have scored 2 or more goals in a period 58 times. Over 35% of the time. We have scored 3 or more goals in a period 13 times, 8% of the time.

If you want to look at just 3rd periods - we have scored two or more goals in the 3rd period 27 times (50%). Our record in those games is 18-9-0.

So, if the New Jersey Devils are trailing by 2 goals in the 2nd period, there is a 50% chance they will score enough to tie. BUT ONLY IF the opponent doesn't add any more goals to their lead in the 3rd period.

In those 18 wins, we were trailing or tied going into the 3rd in eight of them. In those 9 losses, we were shutout in the first 40 minutes in six of them.

We have scored three or more goals in the 3rd period SEVEN times this season. We are 5-2-0 in those games. The 5 wins consist of one game we were leading going into the 3rd, one we were tied going into the 3rd, and three we were losing going into the 3rd.

Taking it further, we are 7-17-1 when trailing going into the 3rd period. 6 of the 18 losses we failed to score a goal in the 3rd, so the comeback was never going to happen. 4 of the losses we "won" the 3rd period by scoring more than the opponent, but we did not score enough to tied the game.

But in 8 of those 18 losses, we made up the 2nd intermission deficit but lost because our goaltender allowed 3rd period goals that extended the opponent lead further than it was heading into the 3rd:

Oct 16th vs Florida - Trailing 3-0, we score 3 third period goals, Vanecek allows 1 in the third, lose 4-3 in regulation
Nov 14th vs Winnipeg - Trailing 3-2, we score 1 third period goal, Schmid allows 2 in the third + 1 ENG, lose 6-3 in regulation
Dec 1st vs San Jose - Trailing 3-1, we score 2 third period goals, Schmid allows 2 in the third + 1 ENG, lose 6-3 in regulation
Jan 6th vs Vancouver - Trailing 4-2, we score 2 third period goals, Daws allows 1 in the 3rd + 1 ENG, lose 6-4 in regulation
Jan 11th vs Tampa Bay - Trailing 3-2, we score 1 third period goal, Vanecek allows 1 in the 3rd, lose 4-3 in regulation
Jan 17th vs Montreal - Trailing 2-0, we score 2 third period goals, Daws allows 1 in the 3rd, lose 3-2 in regulation
Jan 27th vs Tampa Bay - Trailing 2-0, we score 3 third period goals, Vanecek allows 2 in the 3rd + 2 ENG, lose 6-4 in regulation
Feb 8th vs Calgary - Trailing 2-1, we score 2 goals in the 3rd period, Vanecek allows 2 in the 3rd + 1 ENG, lose 5-3 in regulation

That's 8 (eight!) comebacks where we scored enough in the 3rd to overcome the 2nd intermission deficit, but we lose in regulation because the goalie shit the bed in the 3rd period. That's at least 8 points left on the table in CLEARLY winnable comeback situations - probably more considering how awesome we are at 3-on-3.

8 extra points would put us at 5th in the East, 1 point behind Carolina and 2 ahead of Toronto. And that's assuming we lose all of those OT games. If we win just half of those OT games, that's another 4 points, which puts us comfortably at #2 in the Metro - 3 points behind NYR with a game in hand on them.

That's the difference goaltending makes. A few bad goals in very important moments, suddenly you go from top of the mountain to outside looking in. 11-9-5 is a lot better than 7-17-1.
 
Last edited:

JimEIV

Registered User
Feb 19, 2003
67,701
30,526
I agree with you about this, but pointing to who scores first or how often the team is trailing without any context tells us nothing about meaningful about it.
Meaningful? I don't know. I think there are many here that believe we are scraping and clawing for a playoff spot because of goaltending and not poor play.

I think the fact that we find ourselves down going into the 3rd nearly 50% of games and never playing with a lead is more indictive of team play than individual goaltending performance. And I think sub average goalies (in stats) are often below average because of their team more than their ability.

What effect does playing 250 minutes behind Luke or Bahl this season vs Graves last have a goaltenders SV%? I don't think it's insignificant...and I think it has a cascade effect... I think forwards do different things and I think defensive partner's play differently because of it....and I think once trailing in a game you face a different opponent that takes on different posture with a lead....a posture we don't play particularly well against
 
Last edited:

Better Call Sal

Salnalysis
Nov 24, 2011
26,059
41,214
New Jersey
Just want to share that after the discourse about us having lost the Toffoli-Sharangovich trade when Rango was red hot, he has 2 assists and is a -6 in his last 9 games ( today included so far) while Toffoli has 8 goals in his last 10 games. Toffoli has 4 more goals and 1 more point than Rango in two less games played.

Streaky players gonna streak!
 

JimEIV

Registered User
Feb 19, 2003
67,701
30,526
Just want to share that after the discourse about us having lost the Toffoli-Sharangovich trade when Rango was red hot, he has 2 assists and is a -6 in his last 9 games ( today included so far) while Toffoli has 8 goals in his last 10 games. Toffoli has 4 more goals and 1 more point than Rango in two less games played.

Streaky players gonna streak!
Since I was the one brought up that trade, I feel the need to say I don't think anyone made the claim we "lost the Toffoli-Sharangovich trade"

It was a conversation about fit(speed)with our team. At least that's what I was saying.

How could we obtain our leading goal scorer and lose the trade?
 

NjDevsRR

Anything Can Happen In Jersey
Sponsor
Apr 24, 2012
30,227
62,721
Belmar
Just want to share that after the discourse about us having lost the Toffoli-Sharangovich trade when Rango was red hot, he has 2 assists and is a -6 in his last 9 games ( today included so far) while Toffoli has 8 goals in his last 10 games. Toffoli has 4 more goals and 1 more point than Rango in two less games played.

Streaky players gonna streak!
I just always direct folks to the shots on goal criteria. They have the same ice time and Tyler averages an entire shot more per game than Yegor. One will get more goals and points than the other when that happens over the course of a season.
 

Better Call Sal

Salnalysis
Nov 24, 2011
26,059
41,214
New Jersey
Since I was the one brought up that trade, I feel the need to say I don't think anyone made the claim we "lost the Toffoli-Sharangovich trade"

It was a conversation about fit with our team. At least that's what I was saying.

How could we obtain our leading goal scorer and lose the trade?

Nah this wasn’t directed at you, this was something that came up a few weeks back when Rango was pumping the net with goals and Toffoli went cold.

They’re both streaky players and Rango cooling off was predictable. I certainly agree there’s a discussion to be had about fit, but I don’t think there’s much reason in claiming a winner or loser in this trade. Both players seem to be doing what they do in their new home. I totally understood why the move was made, and I get why some are hesitant to keep Toffoli. For me, it’d depend on the cost and length of what he’d be looking for on his next contract.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.

Ad

Upcoming events

Ad

Ad