Now
that's a trade. It's entirely possible more players moved in this single transaction than will move on the entirety of March 3.
It all boils down to one thing: The Devils acquired
Timo Meier. And as one NHL executive texted me: "Huge get for Devils. HUGE."
That about sums it up. Both in dimensions and magnitude, New Jersey's acquisition of Meier is a game-changer. He's a 26-year-old winger who has scored 66 goals in his last 134 NHL games with the Sharks, with 128 points in those games.
In Meier, the Devils have an elite play-driving winger that creates scoring chances and finishes them with frequency. He'll immediately join the flank of either
Jack Hughes or
Nico Hischier (his Swiss countryman), adding an established offensive force to a team that was already fifth in the NHL in goals per game (3.51). The Devils play a specific offensive style: Speedy, creating off the rush. Meier's metrics show him to be a player quite comfortable converting and creating chances off the rush. He's a perfect fit in that regard.
"Think it's a fantastic move. He can play against the big defensemen and the fast little guys," one current NHL player said. "He's a shooter, which will help their playmakers Hughes and
Jesper Bratt."
Where he'll theoretically help the Devils in a big way is on the power play: Meier has the 11th most power-play goals in the NHL over the last two seasons (25). The Devils excel in most offensive areas, but he'll likely improve a power play that's lagged at 19th this season (20.5%).
The team coveted Meier for those reasons, but also for his size. He's listed at 6-1 and 220 pounds and plays every bit as big as that. As the Devils head to their first postseason berth since 2018 -- and seek their first playoff round win since 2012 -- they've faced questions from skeptics about their physicality and lack of playoff experience. Meier helps answer them, both as a big body in the offensive zone and with 35 playoff career playoff appearances. If you watched some of those Sharks' wars in the Western Conference, you know he understands the intensity of that postseason grind and the chaos of rivalry series -- like the one the Devils are on course for in the first round against the
New York Rangers.
So that's Meier now. What about the rest of this trade and Meier in the future?
He's a restricted free agent this summer with a $10 million qualifying offer to retain him for another season. For weeks, the Devils were hoping to land Meier and get him locked into a contract extension. That didn't happen. The Devils have the cap space to absorb a $10 million hit -- the luxury of smart contracts and young talent -- but sources say it's not something they're eager to do. The goal is now to get Meier comfortable, happy and committed to signing a new contract with a less deleterious cap hit.
Hence the conditions on the picks. The 2023 first-round pick is top-two protected, which is essentially disaster insurance: If the Devils somehow fell out of a playoff seed all the way into the lottery and ended up selecting first or second -- and given their luck with the lottery, who's to say they wouldn't? -- that pick would remain with New Jersey and their 2024 first-rounder moves to San Jose instead.
Let's assume the Devils make the playoffs. The Sharks also receive a conditional 2024 second-round pick. If the Devils make the 2023 or 2024 Eastern Conference finals and Meier played in at least 50% of his team's playoff games in 2023, the Devils hand over their 2024 first-round pick -- which is still top-10 protected -- instead of that second. If that pick ends up in the top 10, then it's a 2025 first-round pick going to San Jose.
The bottom line: The Devils did not have any draft pick tied to Meier signing an extension in New Jersey, which is interesting.
As far as the players they sent to San Jose, Johnsson is a pending UFA with a $3.4 million cap hit. His three-year run with the Devils was done. Zetterlund has some upside, with 20 points in 45 games, but has some growing to do as a complete NHL player. He could be a nice middle-six forward for the Sharks.
Mukhamadullin and Okhotiuk could both end up as NHL defensemen. But the Devils were dealing from a position of strength here: Mukhamadullin could be the fourth best defensive prospect in New Jersey's system, depending on how one feels about Seamus Casey.
That's the real key to this deal. Surrendering what could be two first-round picks for what could be two seasons of Meier isn't ideal. But much less ideal would have been to give up
Dawson Mercer, Luke Hughes, Simon Nemec or Alexander Holtz in this deal. For that, they should be applauded.
What Fitzgerald has essentially said with this trade is that the future is now. Yes, there's a multiple-year window for the Devils to contend for a championship -- Luke Hughes and Nemec haven't even arrived yet! -- but they're also third in the NHL in points right now. At their best, they can beat anyone in this league. They have a superstar in Jack Hughes. They have an outstanding young cast around him, from Hischier to Bratt to
Dougie Hamilton to the playoff heroism of
Ondrej Palat. And now they have Timo Meier, and with 50% of his salary retained, they have room to add more.
(Oh, and
Scott Harrington and an array of minor leaguers. Let's not deny love to our veteran pending UFA insurance defenseman.)
As one NHL source noted during the trade talks: "Timo checks almost every box for them."
One last thing on the trade: The Devils had to land this player. There was a modicum of embarrassment for the franchise when it looking like
Johnny Gaudreau was going to be a Devil last summer and he opted for Columbus instead.
They were the front-runner again here. They were willing to go bigger and better with their offer than the
Vegas Golden Knights and
Carolina Hurricanes could go as the other finalists. They weren't going to lose out on another high-profile target. And they got their man. The question now is, "For how long?"