offer sheet marner give up the 4 picks. like i said before if a signed marner was on the trade block (11 million hit) the asking price would be hughes or nico and first rounders so why wouldn't you want to keep the known players and give up 4 late round draft picks? its a no brainer. a 90pt kid in not even in his prime paired with jack hughes? you realize that is worth more then the value of those 4 draft picks combined. just look at zacha 6th and mikey 11th as proof that they don't always turn into anything spectacular. (not saying they are a bust) just saying that any production from those 4 draft picks won't really raelly really really contribute to this team until probably 5 years from now! you realize how long that is in hockey time?
how does this effect hall? we have no idea. there aren't many teams out there that can take a 12 million dollar contract obviously let alone a team that is hopefully contending (with marner) so does he go "merc" as people claim on here and seek out the most money? or does he take a shorter term deal put up insane point totals and really cash in when the next cba comes out?
saying that we have holes elsewhere is obvious but that doesn't mean we have x amount of money now lets go and solve that problem. 1 a player has to be available how often is that even an option? most resign before they hit the market even then we will be paying top dollar to come to jersey. 2. a trade? ok well what pieces are we going to offer up to bring in that d man? what type of d man will wood/zacha really bring back? the untouchables on this team are bratt/nico/palm/hall/coleman. and i doubt anyone would want zajac at that contract.
i am a little late to the discussion and i could have quoted other posts as well. but i am surprised, what people expect marner to produce in the future and the kind of impact he would have on the devils.
lets look at the facts:
2016-17: RS 77: 19 + 42 = 61p; PO 6: 1 + 3 = 4p
2017-18: RS 82: 22 + 47 = 69p; PO 7: 2 + 7 = 9p
2018-19: RS 82: 26 + 68 = 94p; PO 7: 2 + 2 = 4p
the increased point production is nearly entirely a result of an an increased number of assists. tavares, hyman and rielly all posted career best shooting percentages in the regular season. PO numbers (obviously SSS) don't follow the same trajectory. so even in the context of the TML, his 94p last season could be an outlier on the positive side, which won't be automatically repeated every upcoming season. may never again.
NJD context: marner is more a playmaker than a shooter. same is true for hall, hischier, bratt and hughes. there is no shortage on the devils roster for what marner does best. with the current devils roster marner could play equally good or even better than last season and still not produce the same number of points (assists) due the lack of shooters surrounding him. therefore the four 1st round picks going the other way might be not (or not all of them) late first round pick. marner himself wouldn't guarantee deep PO runs.