You kind of ignored most of what I wrote earlier... but I'll try one more time.
The AHL-NHL analogy is bad one. Junior A teams are not farm teams. Their players weren't all attending CHL camps and were then cut and sent down (I'll admit a few were). But in the case of the Penticton Vees, I don't know of one player on that team who had the intention of trying to make a CHL team but failed. They all came to prepare for NCAA.
But OK, the Vees are a little special. The other top BCHL teams have similar NCAA commits (never attended any CHL team camp) but also some who did try to make the CHL at ages 16 or 17 and didn't make it. And here's the thing: those players are now 19 or 20. They've gained two or three years experience. If they were currently playing in the CHL, they would undoubtedly be playing better than your run-of-the-mill CHL 17 year old, but CHL teams will keep 16 or 17 year olds up instead for development purposes. CHL teams will keep the 16/17 year old with potential over a currently superior 19 or 20 year old trying to go from Junior A any day. And some of these 16 and 17 year olds never really develop well -- resulting in bad CHL teams.
Bottom rung CHL teams are typically full of 17 year old draft eligible players who have no hope of getting drafted and 19 year olds who never fulfilled their potential. Good Junior A teams will be stocked up on NCAA commits plus a LOT of 19 and 20 year olds who gave up on the CHL at age 17 but have continued developing -- many of whom will enter NCAA or ECHL hockey next season. That age factor makes all the difference in the world when measuring level of competition (as opposed to using the number of future NHL prospects as the main criterion).
The AHL-NHL analogy is bad one. Junior A teams are not farm teams.
their not, but its one step down.
One step down from NHL= AHL
for CHL one step down is Junior A.
Does Junior A have guys that are good enough to play in the CHL? maybe. Maybe the ones out of the BCHL. Does the AHL have guys that can play in the NHL? I'm sure there are on each AHL team.
Bottom rung CHL teams are typically full of 17 year old draft eligible players who have no hope of getting drafted and 19 year olds who never fulfilled their potential.
feels like now your slamming the CHL. Probably the best Junior league on the planet.
I took the average of the top 20 players and averaged out the age for the following teams. I decided to use 2 bottom feeders Vancouver Giants, and the Guelf Storm of the OHL
Giants average age 18.05
Storm average age 17.6
Brooks Bandits average age 18.5
Penticton Vees average age 18.4
Giants number of drafted players 3
Storm number of drafted players 2. (one got traded. did not include Ryan Merkley who will be a top pick in 2018 and Isaac Ratcliffe who will be drafted this summer)
all 5 teams that competed at rbc cup number of drafted players 0.
those players are now 19 or 20. They've gained two or three years experience. If they were currently playing in the CHL, they would undoubtedly be playing better than your run-of-the-mill CHL 17 year old,
they would undoubtedly be playing better than your run-of-the-mill CHL 17 year old,
a 17 year old in the CHL is not a "run-of-the-mill" that is quite an insult to a player that made the CHL, let alone the amount of 17 year olds that get drafted at the age of 17.
Again, I looked at 3 bottom feeders from each team of the CHL.
Vancouver Giants, Guelph Storm, Sherbrooke Phoenix.
those players are now 19 or 20. They've gained two or three years experience.
ALL OF THEM and I mean ALL OF THEM, have 18 and 17 year olds outplaying the overeager on their team who are 19 years and 20 years old
Vancouver Giants. team is lead by a 18/17 and a 18 year old, on a team with 3 20 year olds and 6 19 year olds.
Storm, team is lead by a 16 17 and 18 year old, (not the best argument, they only have 3 19 year olds)
Sherbrooke Phoenix their top scorer is an 18 year old, 3 20 year olds and 4 19 year olds.
The 18 year olds are doing better then the 19 and 20 year olds on their team. 19 and 20 year old CHLers. If they can do better then 19 and 20 year old CHLers, there is no doubt in my mind they can handle a 19 and 20 year old Junior A er who probably couldn't make the CHL which had to resort to Junior A in hopes of getting picked up by College.
http://www.hockeydb.com/ihdb/stats/leagues/seasons/teams/0008372017.html
http://www.hockeydb.com/ihdb/stats/leagues/seasons/teams/0028072017.html
http://www.hockeydb.com/ihdb/stats/leagues/seasons/teams/0067382017.html
I've kindly provided the links to the 3 teams. You can also clearly see, that that a lot of the 18/17 year olds are outscoring outplaying the 19 and 20 year olds on their team.
My point? Just because your older doesn't mean your better. I've provided some data, and no better way then to match it with players in the same league . As I've clearly provided you some information on 18/17 year olds outplaying the 19/20 year olds on their team.
if the 18/17 year old can out play 19/20 year olds on their team in the CHL, do you need ask if they can outplay 19/20 year old Junior A ers?
Now did all 20 player from one team not tryout at all? Even lets say 5 on each team was able to play in the CHL, its still only 5 players against a roster of CHL players, its a miss match.
But back to the main argument can the best of Junior A take on the worst of the CHL and win? well... in hockey yes. Again if Team France can beat Canada at the worlds, but being realistic here, The Giants or the Storm will outclass the best of what the Junior A has to offer.
As a betting man..... I will use the Brooks bandits as an example... they are no match against the Vancouver Giants . a bunch of guys who couldn't make the CHL against a team of players that made the CHL like cmon.