OT: Coronavirus (COVID-19): Part V

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It could be, also, that different populations are handling the virus differently. More or less obesity, more or less asthma, air quality where you live, average social distancing prior to the virus hitting, how frequently people get together with extended family or friends, etc.

possible IDK anymore. A lot of less obese people are getting it here, perfectly healthy, etc. Yes, a lot have underlining health issues.

Did you see those articles about blood clotting? Tiny blood clots in the lungs which is baffling experts. Even those on anticoagulants getting clotting. Clots actually accumulating and clogging up dialysis equipment. People who have extremely low oxygen levels and should be dead are awake texting on their phones. What in the world?
 
The article also tells us that Harrison has minimal public health experience which is to say he's not qualified at all as far as anything medical particularly anything to do with a pandemic. He's had friends in high places. That doesn't qualify anyone for shit apart from maybe ass kissing or fall guy. I would think there are at least some people in the United States who are, wouldn't you?---what's wrong with finding one of them?......and one of the issues here is why would you hire someone without the medical qualifications?---well for one thing it's likely they won't push back at the shit you decide you want to do if they're just as ignorant on the same medical issues as you are--besides being ass kissing grateful for the plum position you've given them. They're almost like the perfect fall guy then when your shit starts to stink.

So is this objective or Trump=bad?

I don’t have a clue if this is a good or bad decision but the default “Trump is an idiot” - gets tiring and is insulting.
 
saw stats and graphs (many have) for the Spanish flu, etc and the 2nd wave dwarfs the 1st wave.

Can’t believe we are actually posting about this and we’re approx only 3 months into (less than 2 since schools closed)

Does seem insane. Let's see what % of the population tests positive for the antibody test before we discuss ending stay in place policy.
 
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Samsies, we are very much on the opposite side of this. I am well aware of the damage a prolonged shutdown will have, I still think it is worth it to save as many lives as possible. When peoples lives become expendable to the all mighty dollar and the stock market, I have a fundamental problem with that.
People's lives are not expendable. Nor are the livelihoods of small businesses, which you conveniently leave out focusing instead on "the mighty dollar and the stock market". I have a fundamental problem with that.
Really? is that how the economy works? Guess I had no idea being a small business (have the LLC filings to prove it). I make my living depending on people to have disposable income to spend on luxuries like art. Trust me, I am not ignorant enough to not realize that the first thing people cut back on when money is tight is discretionary spending. Spare me your economics lesson.
Just as soon as you spare me your sanctimonious crap.
You seem to have this idea "Oh well nothing we can do, just gonna have to open back up and hope too many people dont die" when you know full well that there is an option for businesses to stay closed and the federal government provides aid and services to keep them afloat. It is not a open and hope to not spread the virus too much or stay closed and go bankrupt. there is a large swath in between for some wiggle room that you are just flat out unwilling to accept. Is there money to keep everything closed indefinitely, nope. But we certainly have the funds to keep things closed past May.
You are going to have to look long and hard to find ANYWHERE where I alluded to "there's nothing that we can do".

I never said that the federal government cannot try to keep them afloat. What do you believe that SBA loans are? What I said that the government cannot keep the afloat for an extremely prolonged period of time. And once entire industries begin getting wiped out, there comes a point where none of it is kept afloat.

Some states are staying closed past May. Some are not. My view is that it cannot go on for much longer.
It is easy to say to open movie theaters back up, attendees can socially distance at the theaters. But what about the workers who will still have to deal with dozens, if not hundreds of people, interacting with, and cleaning up after to make barely above minimum wage. Those employees whether you like it or not are putting their lives at risk to earn $10 an hour for other people to have fun at a movie. And some of those employees have at risk parents, they may be at risk themselves. You keep ignoring this point, but people should not have to be making the choice between going to work and putting themselves and the ones they love at risk just so they can keep a roof over their heads.

You do understand once those businesses are allowed to open, and they do decide to open, those furloughed employees HAVE to come back to work right? And if they do not they will be fired and no longer eligible for unemployment. Boy, what a choice that is. My store is opening back up, I have to either go to work and put myself at risk or I lose my job and lose my ability to earn unemployment. If you think that is a choice, we have a fundamental difference on what choice means.
I am not ignoring any point. I am acknowledging it. I am also acknowledging the fact that unemployment benefits only last so long and tend to run out much faster in times when there is an incredible level of people out of jobs. You keep avoiding that reality. The country cannot sustain a third of it's population not working. In order to fund these benefits, the government needs tax revenue. If there is no tax revenue, there is no cash. Of course, the government can also stop spending money (something neither political party will do). What do you think the reaction would be when entitlement programs are cut so that more cash can be diverted to carry the small businesses?
For the upteenth time, if people want to return to work and the government has declared it is reasonably safe to do so (reductions in cases for 10 straight days...which btw no state has met, let alone a reduction in 2 or 3 days) they can. but if people for whatever reason do not want to return to work for fears/concerns they should have the option to stay home and still get some assistance. People should not have to choose between the health of themselves and their loved ones and putting food on the table. PERIOD.
Here we go again. There is only so much money for so many for benefits. PERIOD.

Why do you believe you are seeing demonstrations? Do you think people have just nothing to do?
You know and I know the first people back are predominately going to be low income workers, and they will be returning to work because they are desperate to make ends meet mostly instead of because they want to. It is not morally right or fair to put the those less well off to be on the front lines of this recovery, potentially putting their health and lives at risk just so our economy can keep chugging along.

You have repeatedly thrown up roadblocks to solutions like this. I never said it was a simple wave a magic wand thing, but it is a solution that would help far more people than the pain it would cause to mortgage lenders. Sorry, everyone should have some skin in this game, banks and mortgage lenders should not be above making some sacrifices for the greater good to help keep people in their homes and keep the economy moving. They could institute some sort of incentive for people that can keep their payments as usual to keep those lenders and brokers still working, but allowing people that could really use a 1 year suspension to take advantage of it. There is always room for negotiation and a middle ground, it is not black and white absolutes.
You and I also know that the economic effects will hit those people the hardest. This is not about being moral or fair. This is about reality. You seem to live in an idealistic world where there is a magical pile of money that can never be depleted so naturally the government can just keep people afloat forever. I do not have the luxury of being idealistic. The economic imperative is well documented. Economic suicide is not normal behavior.

You are going to have a renter suspend his livelihood for a year? How does that work?

Sure there are ways to try to make things better, but this is not some sort of utopia. And the staggering amount of employment and small businesses that go under under and never return will have ramifications that you are choosing to ignore.
I get that you are concerned for how the economy will look at the end of this, I am too. I depend on people have discretionary spending to survive, but you are repeatedly insinuating that the greater economy as a whole is more important than the health and safety of the people living in it. And you can think of me as a POS for saying it. But statements like that, to me, are not very empathetic.
I have friends who are on the front lines, I have friends who are not collecting pay checks.

Over the longer term, the health and safety of people will depend on a greater economy.
What I have seen is what other nations have done to protect its citizens and businesses and by and large they are all doing more than what we are willing to do for our citizens. We have enacted large scale funding programs and stimulus for our citizens before (the new deal) and it changed the lives for all americans, but it seems to me the political will to do it just inst there anymore. Instead of tax cuts for the rich, we should be giving services to the poor and middle class, so they have the money they need to spend on the economy, making it grow benefiting rich and poor alike

I know its a typo of yours but, "America can take care of its one people" perfectly exemplifies america and its interests. We are an oligarchy that has corporate socialism for the rich. Banks need a bailout, okay. Airlines, oil and gas, car manufacturers you name it, if you are a large industry/employer and you need saving we they United States government are here for you.

For the rest of us, its rugged individualism "pull yourself up by your bootstraps no gov handouts" sucks to be you
Oy vey. Cannot really respond to this as it would stray towards the political.
 
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tenor.gif
 
Just a reminder that if you're viewing the current quarantine/stay-at-home lockdown policies as an overreaction, that means that we're doing the right thing.

In a pandemic, any measures that amount to less than an overreaction would end up being not enough in the long-run. Only an overreaction allows the end results to end up being something that makes you think it was overblown to begin with.
 
New York governor: Tests on group of New Yorkers show 13.9% have coronavirus antibodies
New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo said preliminary results of an antibody testing study showed 13.9% of people tested positive for antibodies.
The survey included 3,000 people in 19 counties and 40 localities. The tests came from people in grocery and big box stores. Cuomo said this was important because it came from people who were out — not people isolating at home.
"They were not people who were in their home, they were not people who were quarantined," Cuomo said.


If this is accurate this is not nearly enough to return to normal without a vaccine.
 
Yup. Not something that is really possible when its up to 50 different governors making their own decision here.

One thing I really take from this is I am warming up to the idea of opening up schools, particularly grade schools, as the first phase. @Ola brought this up before, but it starts the ball rolling with the lowest risk group. Kids and young parents. Should be optional attendance so if a kid lives at home with an elderly person they aren't put at risk. Bring in subs for any elderly teachers. This also allows people with young kids to start working properly from home again or at least have them ready to go once phase two starts because they don't have to worry about childcare.

Unfortunately, I think something like this would have needed to be implemented already in a lot of places if you believe in phasing things back in like I do. Going to be too many people screaming bloody murder if they have to wait another month to start working.
What I am curious about is if the governors seem to act in accordance to red or blue states. Sort of feels that way, but too early to tell.

The social distancing cannot work in schools. There was a teacher that basically said that there is no way that a school system can function if there is a classroom meant for 30 now has to be reduced to 10 desks.

I agree with your thoughts. Places like schools and day care facilities need to start to reopen as those parents will need to work. And frankly I think that for their own well-being, kids need to get back to school. Though not sure if it will happen in time for June.
 
At first glance, I agree. However, with Sweden we may find out that the initial hit runs through and creates major immunity to let this thing run its course. Or we may find out that the numbers wind up being equal in the end. A crushed economy causes death so in the end you’d potentially be way better off running it through initially. Can you make an argument that it might be better off to quarantine the high risk like your mother - let this thing run through - and maybe in a few months she can rejoin a mostly immune society? You can. I have no idea if things work out that way or not but it’s worth considering. For all we know, we quarantine for 3 months and this thing comes roaring back. At that point, do you requarantine or admit that this doesn’t work.
Found this to be interesting:

The moral and ethical ground beneath the argument to justify lockdown, that it saves lives, has also shifted. Some doctors argue that lockdowns are suppressing vaccination programs in Africa and elsewhere and will raise the incidence of childhood death and disfigurement from polio, yellow fever and meningitis. Shaming lockdown dissenters won’t work anymore.
 
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New York governor: Tests on group of New Yorkers show 13.9% have coronavirus antibodies
New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo said preliminary results of an antibody testing study showed 13.9% of people tested positive for antibodies.
The survey included 3,000 people in 19 counties and 40 localities. The tests came from people in grocery and big box stores. Cuomo said this was important because it came from people who were out — not people isolating at home.
"They were not people who were in their home, they were not people who were quarantined," Cuomo said.


If this is accurate this is not nearly enough to return to normal without a vaccine.

Yeah, that's a pretty big qualifier on that study....
 
Just a reminder that if you're viewing the current quarantine/stay-at-home lockdown policies as an overreaction, that means that we're doing the right thing.

In a pandemic, any measures that amount to less than an overreaction would end up being not enough in the long-run. Only an overreaction allows the end results to end up being something that makes you think it was overblown to begin with.

Ummm, what?

It’ll be great when we realize 3 months from now that everyone’s getting it anyway but we let millions lose their livelihood.
 
I listened to the 538 podcast today where they talked with the guy who does the pandemic models for the White House..he said the numbers they had from the beginning were between 60k and like 120k and has been revised down as they get more data. He says he has no idea who did the modeling for the estimates trump has used when making his policies but it’s not them.
 
New York governor: Tests on group of New Yorkers show 13.9% have coronavirus antibodies
New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo said preliminary results of an antibody testing study showed 13.9% of people tested positive for antibodies.
The survey included 3,000 people in 19 counties and 40 localities. The tests came from people in grocery and big box stores. Cuomo said this was important because it came from people who were out — not people isolating at home.
"They were not people who were in their home, they were not people who were quarantined," Cuomo said.


If this is accurate this is not nearly enough to return to normal without a vaccine.

Doesn't this seem right in line with what we should be expecting? Every week that percentage should increase. If they are hovering around 15-20% that seems reasonable
 
New York governor: Tests on group of New Yorkers show 13.9% have coronavirus antibodies
New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo said preliminary results of an antibody testing study showed 13.9% of people tested positive for antibodies.
The survey included 3,000 people in 19 counties and 40 localities. The tests came from people in grocery and big box stores. Cuomo said this was important because it came from people who were out — not people isolating at home.
"They were not people who were in their home, they were not people who were quarantined," Cuomo said.


If this is accurate this is not nearly enough to return to normal without a vaccine.

What do you expect? That’s the idea of quarantine... open things up and you might get 50-60 like Sweden. You can’t quarantine everyone then complain that not enough people have had it to get anti-bodies
 
The metro area is too vast/stacked - subways etc... but in 70% of America this might be a good strategy while bringing the high volume places back strategically.
In general, I agree with you. But they are going to have to open up NYC fairly soon. It is just too big a portion of the overall economy. And I am not talking about Wall Street.

Of course things will need to be adapted to deal with this virus. Hospitals may need special Covid wards and other temporary facilities while waiting for effective therapies and a vaccine next year. But however challenging the treatment and worker-protection protocols for Covid, it will have to join the other illness curves the health-care system unavoidably must manage in the next year: the backlog of delayed surgeries, seasonal flu and possibly the return of coronavirus itself in the fall.
 
I listened to the 538 podcast today where they talked with the guy who does the pandemic models for the White House..he said the numbers they had from the beginning were between 60k and like 120k and has been revised down as they get more data. He says he has no idea who did the modeling for the estimates trump has used when making his policies but it’s not them.

How does he have no idea if he is the guy who does the pandemic models?
 
What do you expect? That’s the idea of quarantine... open things up and you might get 50-60 like Sweden. You can’t quarantine everyone then complain that not enough people have had it to get anti-bodies

The info in that article says Sweden doesn’t *have* 50-60%, they have 20% in Stockholm and are expecting that to get to 60% within weeks.
 
In general, I agree with you. But they are going to have to open up NYC fairly soon. It is just too big a portion of the overall economy. And I am not talking about Wall Street.

Of course things will need to be adapted to deal with this virus. Hospitals may need special Covid wards and other temporary facilities while waiting for effective therapies and a vaccine next year. But however challenging the treatment and worker-protection protocols for Covid, it will have to join the other illness curves the health-care system unavoidably must manage in the next year: the backlog of delayed surgeries, seasonal flu and possibly the return of coronavirus itself in the fall.

I mostly agree with you, but I think it’ll be a gradual reopening rather than a flick of the switch. I think many areas of the country could open fully today.
 
The info in that article says Sweden doesn’t *have* 50-60%, they have 20% in Stockholm and are expecting that to get to 60% within weeks.

It’s a gutsy move... time will tell if it’s right or wrong. If 20% and they leave it open then 50-60% is probably realistic.
 
It’s a gutsy move... time will tell if it’s right or wrong. If 20% and they leave it open then 50-60% is probably realistic.

Theres still quite a bit of social distancing going on in Sweden.

Frankly, and I could be wrong, but my impression is that Scandinavians have quite a bit more civic and social responsibility that Americans. You might need more mandatory orders here than there one way or the other.
 
Theres still quite a bit of social distancing going on in Sweden.

Frankly, and I could be wrong, but my impression is that Scandinavians have quite a bit more civic and social responsibility that Americans. You might need more mandatory orders here than there one way or the other.

I get the impression they’re a lot more homogenous than we are. Our diversity is a gift and a curse.
 
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