True Blue
Registered User
- Feb 27, 2002
- 30,092
- 8,362
That is common sense. I am starting to believe that Cuomo actually punted and moved to the 15th, is because he actually does not know what to do. And if he kicks the can down the road to 6/1, it will confirm it for me.Sometime between May 1oth-20th is my. Cuomo knows they can't afford to stay shut down any longer. There will be an abundance of preventative measures taken and there will be a phased approach. It is common sense.
He knows that he needs to begin to open NYC up. The economic and social damage is just unsustainable. But by opening up the economy, that does not mean letting those people that work in office buildings return. That does nothing for the economy. He needs to get the small businesses going. So what is that in NYC? It is the gyms, the barber shops, the delis, the restaurants, the bars, etc. These businesses are not sustainable for the long term with the concept of social distancing. That is the drivers of economy. Yes, you need the office workers to make those places function, but it is those places that need to open. But they cannot sustain for long if you limit them to 50 percent capacity.
I actually think that what is a middle ground would be having those places have let's say 50 percent capacity for the first month, 75% the next and then a full return. Or something like that.
I think that a natural phasing in will take place as companies where people can either work in office or work from home will still allow people to work from home. Or go to several week rotations where half the office is in and the other half works from home. That will naturally keep capacity lower at the small businesses I mention. But as people start to get more and more confident, the capacity at the other places starts to increase.
On top of that, social distancing will collapse on itself and it will have nothing to do with Trump. People won’t stay cooped up indefinitely. The nicer weather will people outside en masse, even in NY & CA. Workplaces will open and the barriers will fall as people gather in groups for coffee or a few drinks.