I made this thread on the history board recently:
Connor McDavid's incredible habit of finishing regular seasons extremely strong
Would it surprise you to know that last season is the first season of his career where Connor McDavid was alone #1 in the scoring race very far into the year? Every other year (even in seasons where he won the Ross like 2017 or 2018) - he was either very far back in 5th or 6th in scoring, or at worst tied for first, towards season end - until he explodes with a lot of points at the very end to distance others in the scoring race.
McDavid has an incredible history of finishing regular seasons very strong. And - he does this
every year. So - I think him beating Kucherov's 128 points (considering he's already pacing higher) still remains very likely.
Of course flipside is - last year he was gunning for more and more points to end the season - with Oilers safely in playoff position - and came out completely flat come playoffs. Not a very good look. If Oilers can secure their playoff position early, it would probably be more strategic for McDavid to take the foot of the gas a bit at season's end so he can come out flying for playoffs - but not sure if he would do that or not.