Which fair, but the context I was discussing is more statistical. I also meant that in general, women should statistically be able to break into some of these lower leagues purely based on a 10-25% difference in lower overall peak performances based on Olympic record data. Sure, maybe that gap is still huge, but Chloe is the first of hopefully many attempts.
Chloe was drafted 268th overall this year for the WHL. That's the draftees for just this year. As a late rounder, sure, the expectation isn't high she plays more than a few games in the WHL. But I'm just saying that purely based on the numbers game and enough attempts over a reasonable duration of let's say 5-10 years, I think sooner or later maybe women might have a few more regulars in the WHL.
In the NHL, we have something like 650-700 active players?
In the AHL, we have something like 450-500 active players?
In the SHL, we have something like 450-500 active players?
In the KHL, we have something like 450-500 active players?
In the WHL, we have something like 550-600 active players?
Is there seriously a group think considering there's no damn way that of around 2,500 - 3,500 active players in the top 8 male leagues in the world, that a woman in general cannot put together a summation of traits to be considered competitive in the bottom pairings/bottom 6 forwards of the 5-8th ranked leagues? Give them equal access to training/potential reward and I think in about 5-10 years we start seeing some. Genetically speaking, I statistically I really do not believe that if all other facets other than genetics are equal, males can produce 3,000+ hockey players with summation of traits that are superior to the absolute best 5 women hockey players in the world.
Yes, we have examples where the 200th ranked male of certain sports handily defeat the top 5 ranked women of the same sport. My argument is that while that's likely valid, I really cannot see this continue if you increase the sample towards the top 1000, 2000 or 3000th top player.
If using something else as a parallel (and I am not attempting to be callous in using this as a parallel):
Willie O'Ree was the first black player in the NHL in 1958 and he played 45 games over 4 years. After that, the next black player was 1974. It's a systematic reason that there was a 16 year gap between the first and the second.
Hopefully it doesn't take 16 years for a second potential woman player to reach the WHL due to systematic reasons. Because statistically I think it should be possible sooner or later.
The problem is that Tennis has fewer traits along which such divergences appear. Tennis has a couple components, shot speed, forward movement, lateral movement. And even then the differences are startling. Not only that, Tennis has a much smaller player base than team sports do.
Some sports are more conducive for equality in competition and some are less conducive. Unfortunately, hockey is one of the least conducive sports for it. It's a contact sport with high requirements for explosive movement and low specialization. Contact creates strength requirements. Explosiveness creates another axis for traits to diverge. And low specialization means that each player has to do every part of the game, no player can specialize in a certain role and thus reduce the axes along which he/she must be competitive.
Soccer and Basketball are similar sports to hockey. And the same phenomena are observable in those sports. The best female athletes are equivalent to unremarkable teenage boys. With the Premier League, Ligue 1, La Liga, Bundesliga, Serie A, Eredivisie, with your logic you'd think some woman would at least be able to crack a lesser league in a progressive country like Allsvenskan or Tippeligaen. And with all the big pro basketball leagues there are in the world, by your logic there should be at least a couple female players in D1 college basketball. Neither is true to my knowledge.
There are two bad arguments. The first is the "exceptional individuals" argument. The second is the "access to training" argument. We'll address both. Canada's women's hockey team usually scrimmages Midget AAA teams. They are usually a mid-table team. The top scorer ever is Jennifer Wakefield, with 21 points in 30 games for a .7 PPG. Right behind her is Marie Philip Poulin with 14 points in 23 games, .6 PPG. Then there is Natalie Spooner with 18 points in 31 games, .58 PPG. The argument traditionally goes "well, the WNT as a whole is bad. But one generational talent could be so good that she could perform in the WHL, if only you took her away from her bad WNT teammates and placed her with good WHL teammates."
But the premise is false. The WNT is an average or slightly above average Midget AAA team. So if there was a woman capable of making the WHL out of Midget AAA, her teammates shouldn't be any hindrance to her scoring what WHL players score even before they make the WHL, much less what they would score by the time they actually make the WHL (usually the WHL season is a subsequent season to the Midget season so we can't factor growth and improvement). It's no fault of the teammates. It simply does not happen.
The problem with the argument about training conditions is as follows. Canada is a wealthy country, and a big hockey country. Most other countries are not hockey countries, not wealthy, or both. Canadian women's training opportunities are poor compared to Canadian men, but they are incomparably better than the training opportunities that male players from non-hockey countries receive. And yet, players come to play in the NHL and the CHL from a vast array of countries with few hockey training opportunities and little hockey infrastructure. Examples include Liam Kirk (GB), Jan Drozg (Slovenia), Alan Lysczarczyk (Poland), Igor Merezhko (Ukraine), Kasper Larsen (Denmark), Alessandro Segafredo (Italy), Ole Bjorvik Holm (Norway). Of course, we would see a higher rate of stars coming from these countries if they had the same access to training opportunities as Canadian boys. However, they still exist. There are still athletes who reach this level and even dominate. Canadian women receive significantly better training opportunities than these boys from non-hockey countries. Even if the rate of WHL athletes should be lower, it should not be zero if the difference was training opportunities.
And that's why I don't think your parallel is callous but I think it's inaccurate. O'Ree reached the NHL. Primerano has not reached the WHL.