- Feb 18, 2018
- 4,706
- 7,014
In 14 years we wasted only 2 1st round picks. In four important rebuild years we wasted six.
It is not 50%. It is 25%. Two good choises and six terrible choises. You move the goal posts, not me. Find a team that terrible in four yearsspan. The worst thing is not the first round picks on top of that but all other 30 low round picks. No NHL player from 30 picks. 30!. After 2005 we drafted 15 NHL players with 2nd and lower picks. We wasted two first round picks and we were good with 13 1st round picks.What team had that many f***ing first round picks? We were 5/10 by your logic. That’s 50% success rate. Only two teams in our own division drafted better.
Again, your hot take was dumb and now your moving the goal posts to support your argument. It’s stupid
Is Bowey the only weak point in my theory?Lmao Backstrom and Alzner are ok but Bowey is a homerun. Please try to explain that I’d love to hear that argument for the laughs.
Woah on Ted getting physical...
In 14 years we wasted only 2 1st round picks. In four important rebuild years we wasted six.
First of all, it's way too early to call Fehervary, McMichael and Protas home runs. They have a combined 6 games of NHL regular season experience between them. Also, your list includes many players who weren't picked in the first round, so they're irrelevant to your original argument. Furthermore, calling players like Perreault, Bowey, Stephenson, Carrick, Boyd and Eakin "homeruns" is questionable at best. While some of them may have been good picks in regards to where they were taken in the draft, none of them are even with the team anymore, so management obviously didn't hold them in high regard.
I still really have no idea what the point is you're trying to make. Yes, management made some bad picks during the lead up to drafting Ovechkin, but that's easy to say in hindsight. Literally EVERY, SINGLE, TEAM, in the league has made bad picks in the draft, whether that be in the 1st round or the 5th. In the vast majority of cases, it's impossible to know what kind of player a kid will turn into when he's drafted at 18-19 years old. Management picks who they think is the best fit/best potential with the information and data they have at the time of the draft.
So please, tell me exactly what point are you trying to make? If it's that the Capitals management has made bad draft picks in the past, well yeah, nobody is going to argue with you there. It happens to literally every team in the league because GM's aren't psychics that can predict the future 10 years in advance. Judging from your post history, it really feels like you're just trying to start a shit storm about stuff that is completely irrelevant.
Every team makes bad draft picks
No team wastes six first round draft picks in four rebuild yearsWhat we have:[TBODY] [/TBODY]
2002 #12 Steve Eminger (D) bad choise #13 Alexander Syomin (F) good choise #17 Boyd Gordon (F) 2nd round pick Player #59 Maxime Daigneault (G) wasted 2nd #77 Patrick Wellar (D) -- #92 Derek Krestanovic (F) -- #109 Jevon Desautels (F) -- #118 Petr Dvorak (F) -- #145 Robert Gherson (G) -- #179 Marian Havel (F) -- #209 Joni Lindlöf (F) -- #242 Igor Ignatushkin (F) -- #272 Patric Blomdahl (F) -- 2003 #18 Eric Fehr (F) 2nd round pick Player #83 Stephen Werner (F) -- #109 Andreas Valdix (F) -- #155 Josh Robertson (F) -- #249 Andrew Joudrey (F) -- #279 Mark Olafson (F) -- 2004 #1 Alexander Ovechkin (F) ok choise #27 Jeff Schultz (D) 2nd round pick Player #29 Mike Green (D) good choise #33 Chris Bourque (F) wasted 2nd #62 Mikhail Yunkov (F) wasted 2nd #66 Sami Lepistö (D) -- #88 Clayton Barthel (D) -- #132 Oscar Hedman (D) -- #138 Pasi Salonen (F) -- #166 Peter Guggisberg (F) -- #197 Andrew Gordon (F) -- #230 Justin Mrazek (G) -- #263 Travis Morin (F) -- 2005 #14 Sasha Pokulok (D) wasted 1st #27 Joe Finley (D) wasted 1st #109 Andrew Thomas (D) -- #118 Patrick McNeill (D) -- #143 Daren Machesney (G) -- #181 Tim Kennedy (F) -- #209 Viktor Dovgan (D) --
- One #1 pick. An 8 year old kid will make a good choise here. Doesn't count.
- Five #10-20 picks. Let's say #12 Eminger gives us #27 after the trade. Carlson was drafted afrer 2005, he doesn't count here. He is only a #27 pick yet here. So, the result of five #10-20 picks are one ~#5 worth Alexander Semin, a late #20-30 first round draft pick, two second round draft pick worth players and one total waste.
- Three #20-30 picks. The result: one ~#7 worth Mike Green, one 2nd round pick worth player and one total waste.
- One wasted second round draft pick.
- Two wasted late second round draft picks.
- 27 late round draft picks. NO good surprises. Nothing.
- Five #10-20 picks are 3.425 expected WAR. Our result after draft: 2.224 expected WAR. Thank you Alexander Semin.
- Three #20-30 picks = 1.134 expected WAR. Our result: 1.273. Thank you Mike Green.
- Three wasted 2nd round picks: -0.713 WAR.
- 27 wasted low picks: -2.828 expected WAR. This is mind blowing. 27 pick and nothing in return. It is huge.
Result:
Net loss of 4.600 expected WAR or ~5.77 wasted first round draft picks.
The cost of trading a bad Contract
At your service to explain my brilliant ideas. As I say in previous posts. We lost equivalent of six first round picks in 2006-2009 Drafts. We ruined a big part of the Rebuild. We spoiled the first half of Ovechkin career. Point.
I don't get how Vrana can be safe.Piggybacking of TEB's Athletic chat, the following players are 'safe' (in his opinion):
Ovechkin, Backstrom, Wilson, Ohsie, Vrana, Kuznetsov, Sprong, Eller, Carlson, Fehervary, Samsonov
Which leaves: Kempny, Siegenthaler, Jensen, Hagelin, Panik, Dowd and Hathaway as "not-safes".
Not a lot of value there.
5/10 is 50%. Aren’t you the math guy? You keep changing the years to fit your narrative bud.It is not 50%. It is 25%. Two good choises and six terrible choises. You move the goal posts, not me. Find a team that terrible in four yearsspan. The worst thing is not the first round picks on top of that but all other 30 low round picks. No NHL player from 30 picks. 30!. After 2005 we drafted 15 NHL players with 2nd and lower picks. We wasted two first round picks and we were good with 13 1st round picks.
- 87% success with 1st round picks since 2006
- one NHL player every year from low round picks since 2006.
- 75% fail in 2002-05 with 1st round picks
- No NHL player from 30 low round picks in 2002-05.
2/8 is 25%5/10 is 50%. Aren’t you the math guy? You keep changing the years to fit your narrative bud.
Okay so you’re taking out the 2006 draft then. The Islanders, Rangers, and Columbus all went 1/4 by your logic and all three had a lot worse draft picks during that span.2/8 is 25%
please read this before:
No team wastes six first round draft picks in four rebuild years
No team wastes six first round draft picks in four rebuild years
'fair share' is never six first draft picks in four rebuild years.Again, I'm still waiting for the point of this argument. It's completely irrelevant because every team has its fair share of bad draft picks.
Why do you use word 'shit' and 'shitty' in your posts? Is it personal?Okay so you’re taking out the 2006 draft then. The Islanders, Rangers, and Columbus all went 1/4 by your logic and all three had a lot worse draft picks during that span. You still lose your shitty argument.
And that’s without me diving into the rest of the league
Lmao and there you have it. Don’t know how else to respond so this is all you can resort to because your argument is SHITTYWhy do you use word 'shit' and 'shitty' in your posts? Is it personal?
Why do you use word 'shit' and 'shitty' in your posts? Is it personal?
Do you realy want an answer? Or the only thing you want is a fight like some other here? I feel like, I do not want a fight. This is why I do not react to your post.This guy must have me on ignore.
Before you said 'dumb' then you said 'stupid', then you said 'Please try to explain that I’d love to hear that argument for the laughs.' I passed three times before the word 'shitty'. I don't feel like I want to discuss with you, seriously.Lmao and there you have it. Don’t know how else to respond so this is all you can resort to because your argument is SHITTY
Do you realy want an answer? Or the only thing you want is a fight like some other here? I feel like, I do not want a fight. This is why I do not react to your post.
Nah you just don’t want to admit you’re wrong. Why do you think everyone is coming at you? I actually went and did the work and proved your argument as flawed, like usual and you didn’t know what to do. It’s a tale as old as time. Regardless, I have better things to do with my life on a Friday night than argue with a brick wall who thinks drafting a HoF center in Nick Backstrom is an “ok” pick and Madison Bowey is a “homerun”Before you said 'dumb' then you said 'stupid', then you said 'Please try to explain that I’d love to hear that argument for the laughs.' I passed three times before the word 'shitty'. I don't feel like I want to discuss with you, seriously.