Lol. Wrong. The fraction of an inch from being post or in is luck most of the time.
Yup. In elimination games Nylander has more points than Marner and Matthews lol
Willy and tavares should be our leading scorers everyear in the playoffs
Lets deal with this tidbit for a second. People love to talk about Nylander being a beast compared to Matthews and Marner in elimination games.
I like my stats my friend but at the end of the day you either just get on the scoresheet or you don't. I think everyone is tired of hearing 'goalied' repeatedly. Also while Nylander may not control possession as much or direct as many chances, I find that Marner and to a lesser extent Matthews have trouble breaking through more when it's tight checking and the opposing team goes into a defensive shell and collapses around the net taking away the slot and prime passing lanes. Marner in particular seems to get boxed out and struggles in those situations despite having the puck a lot.
You do understand that the components of expected goal% are quantity and quality of actual shots on net for and against right?
It factors in location of shot attempts, yes. Moot point if it was blocked though and expected goals also don't factor in pre shot movement either. You're just reiterating my point, and even Dubas and Keefe see this as a team issue as they specifically went out and got ROR and Acciari because they are effective in front of the net.
The corollary to that is that the more they lead in scoring the more they get the top opponents.
there's a few stats i just hate , including the ones being currently discussed here but the quality of competition premise is so misleading . Tougher matchups if you mean playing head to head against 1st lines are much different in many cases than going head to head with the with the opposing shut down lines who's only goal is to shut down your top line . This is even more of a case on defence pairs . Top pairing d may very well not be the best shut down pair that are going to draw the assigmements of shutting down the best players . In your example that's the point . Tavares line is ging to be be facing the top offensive units because teams would be comfortable trading chances with that line and taking advantage that neither player is particularly strong defensively and Tavares himself isn't a speed demon. That's opposed to having to face Mathews / Marner combo who are both very strong defensively and offensively . The d matchups though the Mathews line is definetlely going to be facing the best defensive pairings .
