C Shane Wright (2022, 4th, SEA) Part 4

[Gold Standard]

Congrats, Kid! You still need to play the World Juniors this Christmas! Looking forward to you playing a leading role.

 

[jfhabs]

Good goal by Wright. His shot is already a strenght at the NHL level, but he still needs some work in other areas. Will be fun to see him at the WJC

 

[SergeConstantin74]

He could have had 3 in the first period last night!

 

[kyle44]

I'm not so sure yet that we'll see him at the WJC. Francis has seemed open to the idea but has been non-committal. Wright is starting to hit his stride, and it wouldn't surprise me if he isn't released.

 

[Ryan Van Horne]

That's pretty much what I expect. Who knows, I could see his prime maybe match Monahan's.

Sean Monahan had three 30-goal seasons with a career high of 34. He had three 60-point seasons plus a career-high of 82 points in 2018-19 when he had the aforementioned career-best 34 goals.

So, you're saying that Shane Wright's ceiling is 34 goals and 82 points and you're not that sure he can reach that? Or are you saying that Shane Wright's ceiling is 30 goals and 60 points? I'm wondering what you mean by "prime" because Monahan only had that one really good season. Are you talking about his average production during his prime or his peak production? It's not much of a difference in goals, but it's a significant difference in points.

 

[jfhabs]

Sean Monahan had three 30-goal seasons with a career high of 34. He had three 60-point seasons plus a career-high of 82 points in 2018-19 when he had the aforementioned career-best 34 goals.

So, you're saying that Shane Wright's ceiling is 34 goals and 82 points and you're not that sure he can reach that? Or are you saying that Shane Wright's ceiling is 30 goals and 60 points? I'm wondering what you mean by "prime" because Monahan only had that one really good season. Are you talking about his average production during his prime or his peak production? It's not much of a difference in goals, but it's a significant difference in points.

I'd say Monahan type production is likely and a good comparable, but his optimal ceiling in terms of average production is probably higher... you never know (W)right

 

[Ryan Van Horne]

I'd say Monahan type production is likely and a good comparable, but his optimal ceiling in terms of average production is probably higher... you never know (W)right

I agree, you never know, but IMHO Monahan-type production would be at the low end of the range I think Wright is capable of. I think Wright has a few 40-goal seasons in his future with his shot. I also think people are severely underestimating his overall upside because of his struggles in the first two months of his rookie season as an NHLer. He averaged an assist per game in the OHL as a 17-year-old and all of the sudden people don't think he can drive a line or has any playmaking skills. Making the jump from the OHL to the NHL is easy for an NHLer, don't ya know? Just ask Joe Thornton, who had better production in his DY than Wright did. (2.06 ppg to 1.49 ppg)

Players are not finished products at 18; they have lots of learning and developing left -- even high first-round picks.

 

[Jeffrey Pedler]

Good player, but as a Habs fan, i'm really really happy with Slafkovsky.

Both are going to have great career, for sure!

You shouldn't be happy until he learns to keep his head up. Kid is going to.have a short career if a guy like Schenn hits him again.

 

[jfhabs]

You shouldn't be happy until he learns to keep his head up. Kid is going to.have a short career if a guy like Schenn hits him again.

Fyi Wright got rocked pretty hard in preseason too. Happens very often with rookies. Slafkovksy was winded, but didn't suffer any injury.

Almost like you wish the kid to get hurt... just to be right on the internet... We saw plenty of that in the hit thread too. Shameful.

 

[jfhabs]

I agree, you never know, but IMHO Monahan-type production would be at the low end of the range I think Wright is capable of. I think Wright has a few 40-goal seasons in his future with his shot. I also think people are severely underestimating his overall upside because of his struggles in the first two months of his rookie season as an NHLer. He averaged an assist per game in the OHL as a 17-year-old and all of the sudden people don't think he can drive a line or has any playmaking skills. Making the jump from the OHL to the NHL is easy for an NHLer, don't ya know? Just ask Joe Thornton, who had better production in his DY than Wright did. (2.06 ppg to 1.49 ppg)

Players are not finished products at 18; they have lots of learning and developing left -- even high first-round picks.

That's fair. I think his shot is good enough to be a 40g guy but he'll either need to get much better at creating chances or play with guys that are creating them for him. He just got drafted so he'll get better for sure. It's so hard to project recent draftees with the hockey they missed...

 

[MarioLeMoose]

Fyi Wright got rocked pretty hard in preseason too. Happens very often with rookies. Slafkovksy was winded, but didn't suffer any injury.

Almost like you wish the kid to get hurt... just to be right on the internet... We saw plenty of that in the hit thread too. Shameful.

Don't worry too much about what that goof poster has to say about Slaf

 

[WhiskeyYerTheDevils]

That's pretty much what I expect. Who knows, I could see his prime maybe match Monahan's.

This has been my comparable for some time. Wright is a smart, opportunistic player like Monahan. Without an elite winger, he's probably a ~25g ~55p center. But if Seattle is able to find a top 10 winger in free agency, I could see Wright scaring 35+ goals and 80 points.

I don't think he'll ever be a play driver though.

 

[Jeffrey Pedler]

Fyi Wright got rocked pretty hard in preseason too. Happens very often with rookies. Slafkovksy was winded, but didn't suffer any injury.

Almost like you wish the kid to get hurt... just to be right on the internet... We saw plenty of that in the hit thread too. Shameful.

Not as hard as Slaf got hit. Kid has to keep his head up.

 

[tmlmatus]

Not as hard as Slaf got hit. Kid has to keep his head up.

Agh yes, lets discuss which rockie got hit harder.

 

[majormajor]

This has been my comparable for some time. Wright is a smart, opportunistic player like Monahan. Without an elite winger, he's probably a ~25g ~55p center. But if Seattle is able to find a top 10 winger in free agency, I could see Wright scaring 35+ goals and 80 points.

I don't think he'll ever be a play driver though.

He just hates having the puck on his stick. Very little patience. Give him a winger like Bratt and the goals could pile in.

 

[majormajor]

Sean Monahan had three 30-goal seasons with a career high of 34. He had three 60-point seasons plus a career-high of 82 points in 2018-19 when he had the aforementioned career-best 34 goals.

So, you're saying that Shane Wright's ceiling is 34 goals and 82 points and you're not that sure he can reach that? Or are you saying that Shane Wright's ceiling is 30 goals and 60 points? I'm wondering what you mean by "prime" because Monahan only had that one really good season. Are you talking about his average production during his prime or his peak production? It's not much of a difference in goals, but it's a significant difference in points.

No I'm saying my median expectation is closer to prime Monahan. Prime for prime. Could be higher. Could be lower.

I certainly understand that he has a lot of development left to do but there's not been any point last year or this where Shane Wright fits the playdriver mold. He's a crafty player but not a puck carrier or a checker/retriever, so a lot of his production will depend on his linemates filling out those roles for him so he can just put the puck in the net.

 

[WhiskeyYerTheDevils]

No I'm saying my median expectation is closer to prime Monahan. Prime for prime. Could be higher. Could be lower.

I certainly understand that he has a lot of development left to do but there's not been any point last year or this where Shane Wright fits the playdriver mold. He's a crafty player but not a puck carrier or a checker/retriever, so a lot of his production will depend on his linemates filling out those roles for him so he can just put the puck in the net.

Yeah he's should score a fair amount of goals, but most of them are gonna look like his first, where his linemates do a lot of the work on the zone entry / retrieval, and he finds a soft spot to get his shot off.

 

[Peasy]

Interested to see how he does at the wjc

 

[ponder]

Sneaky goal by Wright in the pre-tourney

 

[WhiskeyYerTheDevils]

Sneaky goal by Wright in the pre-tourney

Yikes. Even ignoring the bad bounce, that kind of backhand pass up the middle is never a good pass, especially when his back is to the play.

 

[arider1990]

Yikes. Even ignoring the bad bounce, that kind of backhand pass up the middle is never a good pass, especially when his back is to the play.

He looked over his shoulder real quick and saw Korchinski was wide open. I think he just passed it too low. If it wasn't for that then it would have led to a great breakout.

 

[WhiskeyYerTheDevils]

He looked over his shoulder real quick and saw Korchinski was wide open. I think he just passed it too low. If it wasn't for that then it would have led to a great breakout.

It's still a high risk play, and he's really not able to see if there is a forechecker streaking down the middle of the ice to either intercept the pass or put immediate pressure on Korchinski. Yes, it could result in a clean breakout if executed flawlessly. But it could also end with the puck in the back of your net.

The right play there is to either play it behind the net for Korchinski, or make a reversal on his forehand up the right wing boards.

 

[Lavar Ball]

Yikes. Even ignoring the bad bounce, that kind of backhand pass up the middle is never a good pass, especially when his back is to the play.

You in the Wright thread is like some of the Finnish guys in the Lambert thread. If he makes a bad play you can always count on a comment but always silence when they are playing well

 

[arider1990]

It's still a high risk play, and he's really not able to see if there is a forechecker streaking down the middle of the ice to either intercept the pass or put immediate pressure on Korchinski. Yes, it could result in a clean breakout if executed flawlessly. But it could also end with the puck in the back of your net.

The right play there is to either play it behind the net for Korchinski, or make a reversal on his forehand up the right wing boards.

Neither would be easy since he had opposing players on both sides. There is a good chance he turns it over on both.

 

[Fatass]

I really like Wright. Think he’s going to be the best player (from the top five) in his draft. Think Seattle lucked out to get him.