Jason MacIsaac
Registered User
Here's a list of the first overall in the last decade. Its pretty funny seeing the Johnny come lately's tell people who've actually followed the prospect for 3 years about that player because they just won the lottery, and like a couple soundbites
2009: Tavares
2010: Hall
2011: RNH
2012: Yakupov
2013: MacKinnon
2014: Ekblad
2015: McDavid
2016: Matthews
2017: Hischier
2018: Dahlin
The only players I think he clearly goes above are RNH, Yakupov, Ekblad and Hischier. I think he has a decent shot of going ahead of Hall and MacKinnon, but it's far from a lock, he'd have an uphill battle vs Matthews, Dahlin and Tavares, and McDavid is a lock to go above him. This is only looking at how they were valued at the day of their draft or how Hughes is valued right now.
Looking at that, that pretty clearly puts him in the average to good 1st overall territory given recent history. At best he's two, but more likely in the 5-7 range. That is still an absolutely unreal list of players.
Player 1
16yrs - 24 goals and 26 assists for 50 points in 44 games (1.13 ppg)
17yrs - 55 goals and 62 assists for 117 points in 60 games (1.95 ppg)
Player 2
16yrs - 27 goals and 41 assists for 68 points in 36 games (1.88 ppg)
17yrs - 23 goals and 63 assists for 86 points in 41 games (2.10 ppg)
Which one has an uphill battle?