I don't know how a top five pick being of the flyers vs recent 5OAs.
Below are forward 5OA picks since 2000 these players should be his barometer, with the goal of becoming a topline/strong top 6 forward
I would argue that there have been 6 misses of the 14 players, based on the expectation of a 5OA, with 3 players being to early to call. and Turcotte is not trending in the right direction
so you are looking at a 50% hit rate, I would say Gauthier is trending in the right direction, but its still early.
Kent Johnson, early
Alex Turcotte, early
Barrett Hayton, early
Elias Petterson, hit
Michael Del Colle, miss
Elias Lindholm, hit
Ryan Strome, fringe
Nino Niederreiter, miss
Braydon Schenn, hit
Phil Kessel, hit
Blake Wheeler, hit
Thomas Vanek, hit
Stanislav Chistov, miss
Raffi Torres, miss