Hi ImHFNYR
Registered User
I don't think any of the assumptions you made were actually what I was saying.I was just speaking generally, for the record. But on what you're saying now:
1) Who is they in this case? Gorton? Drury? Davidson? Are you holding our GM of the last two years accountable for signings our organization made twenty years ago? If your point is that maybe it won't work out, that's a very legit thing to say. It's inarguable. It's also not saying very much.
2) I'm not just listing. And it's actually pretty clear the characteristics these players share. ie. at 28, what kind of players were they? Where were they ranking in their positions across the league? What kind of impact were they making? Does it disregard the possibility that Panarin will age terribly and suck fairly soon? I'm pretty sure I said explicitly that's not the case. What crystal ball are you looking at? What are you going off of to say that this isn't as substantial as evidence in this kind of predictive work as what you're privy to or thinking primarily about?
It seems like you're evidence is that the Rangers and UFAs don't mix. So, If your point is that the Rangers are a cursed organization that rots UFAs as a long standing atonement of biblical proportion for trading Brian Leetch, then what can I say to that?
Nowhere am I holding our current gm accountable for anything. I meant exactly what i said. I hope hes got a crystal ball the team didn't have in the past.
If you think 28 year old Richard's or that small list of names is a good comparable that's fine but I'm not convinced. Either way there is data floating around this board showing the very pronounced decline in production league wide starting at 28/29.
Theres similar data for elite players, using a MUCH better sample size which is why your list has very limited use. I'll try to find it but I'm away on a phone for most of the day.
There is variance but thats the point. No one knows how or why specific individuals drop off when they do. If artemi drops off by 30 it is not something i can predict with certainty and I have never, ever claimed otherwise. In fact i constantly have said in this very thread how he could last and my fingers are crossed.
It IS a significant risk to take on a player of his age for 7 years at that salary and I just disagree that this is the right time for us to have taken it. I also disagree (and heres why I got into this thread yesterday) with pretending like he took any kind of massive cap hit discount. He took a small cap hit discount. That's it. Nothing about blaming gorton. Nothing about pushing my opinion of a possible dropoff as fact
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