I was reading the Post series Columbus-Tampa thread. I identify with the Tampa posters who were called out by their fellow fans for questioning their team's size and heart going into the playoffs. It seems speed and finesse alone aren't a guarantee for post-season success.
Nothing is a guarantee for post-season success...absolutely nothing.
Not having the best player in the game. Not having the best coach. Not having the best regular season record. Not being the best at a particular style of hockey, or having the most size, or speed, or skill, or high-end talent, or depth, or grit, or whatever. Not spending the most money on payroll. Not even having the consensus best team. If anyone says
anything is a guarantee of postseason success, they're simply wrong.
Any team can still win a short series against anyone else. Even in relatively lopsided match-ups, the underdog still wins the series around a third of the time. Think about what that means mathematically. A perpetual 70% favorite vs the field (which is a
huge favorite in hockey) will only win four series in a row about a quarter of the time.
They'll lose in the first round more often than they will win it all (30% vs 24%).
There's no magic recipe for success. A lot of things need to go right to win it all, and there's always some luck involved as well.
All that said, I think it's silly to ignore major evolutions to how the game is being played. The state of the game matters, and certain things are going to benefit teams
more than others, generally speaking, as the league continually evolves. Emphasis added because I think it's just as silly to pretend that the game is so simplistic that only one or two things "matter" when it comes to winning. Anything that can possibly benefit you matters...it's a question of degrees (X currently gives one a slightly better edge than Y), not one of exclusion (if X then not Y).
Since it's a sport with a lot of competitive parity, accruing those slight competitive edges matters over the long haul, even if they guarantee you nothing in the short term.