I have Mogilny in my Hall of Very Good for a couple of reasons.
1.) He was very rarely the best player on his own team.
2.) Little hardware - 1 Cup (which is a team award), and he shares an honorary Richard with Selanne in 93 (Rocket didn't exist until '99), two 2nd Team All-Stars.
3.) Never dominated the league relative to his peers - finished top-10 in points TWICE in 16 seasons - 7th place in '93, 9th place in '97.
4.) Generally
very weak playoff performances - he only made it out of the 1st round 4 times in his career (2 with NJ), and in those 4 runs he had 19 goals/40 points in 81 games.
Alexander Mogilny's points finish on his own team:
89-90: 7th
90-91: 4th
91-92: 4th
92-93: 2nd
93-94: 2nd
94-95: 1st
*Traded to VAN*
95-96: 1st
96-97: 1st
97-98: 3rd
98-99: 3rd
99-00: 5th* (traded to NJ mid-season)
00-01: 2nd
*Signs in TOR*
01-02: 3rd
02-03: 1st
03-04: 10th (37 GP)
05-06: 10th (24 GP)
The only time in Buffalo he finished 1st on his team was in the '95 lockout season when Pat LaFontaine and Dale Hawerchuk both missed half the year. Even in his infamous 76 goal season, he still finished 21 points (!) behind Pat Lafontaine.
The two season he finished 1st on the Canucks were the two seasons that Pavel Bure was dealing with a significant injuries. Bure tore his ACL in 1996, only playing 16 games, and then dealt with a neck injury in 1997 that had him in and out of the lineup. In both '98 and '99 Mogilny was outscored by Vancouver Messier (cringe).
Then he came to NJ, and I think all of us who were old enough to remember those teams will tell you that Elias was clearly the better forward (Mogilny had a pathetic 4 goals and 3 assists in 23 playoff games en route to his only Cup in 2000, only one point more than Colin White had). We also all remember the famous incident in Game 6 against Colorado in 2001, where Mogilny hit the post on one end and slowly sulked back to the bench which resulted in an odd-man rush against and a very important Colorado goal.
In Toronto he finished 1st in points on the team once, but again, those Leafs teams were not particularly great despite the ECF run in 2002. And anyone with a brain will tell you that Sundin was pretty universally the better and more important player.
In the three seasons he played in Toronto, Mogilny had 65 goals in 176 games. That is IDENTICAL to Jesper Bratt's statline over the past three seasons. Exact same goals, exact same games played (though Bratt has 10 more assists than Mogilny does in the same time span - Bratt for HHoF
)
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IMO the only time Mogilny was
clearly the best player on his own team was in 1996 in Vancouver, he outscored Trevor Linden by 27 points. But that was a pretty bad team who won 32 games total, but ended up making the playoffs by virtue of 15 ties and getting killed in the first round (they also fired their coach mid-season that year).
He peaked in his 4th season, then he spent most of the next 13 years as a big fish in a small pond. The only time he got to play for a big boy team was in NJ, and he was relegated to playing with a rookie on the 2nd line.
I think part of the reason is that if you look at those fan bases - early 90's Sabres, late 90's Nucks, early 00's Leafs - people who were fans of those teams at the time didn't have a whole lot of great going on for them aside from the cool Russian sniper who feasted on the PP. Ironically us Devils fans who actually got to see Mogilny win a Cup are championing a different and clearly superior player as the most egregious snub.
IMO he's far closer to guys like Petr Bondra, Rick Nash, and Kevin Stevens than he is to Pavel Bure, Teemu Selanne, and Brendan Shanahan. And IMO he's pretty clearly below some "borderline" guys like Elias and Brind'Amour (who was a much more important piece on every team he played for, regardless of raw production).
I get why people are so fired up about him, goals are very cool. Especially when Turgeon, who is just Mogilny with fewer goals and more assists, got in before him. But just because he's better than several players already in the Hall does not justify further bad inductees.