Around The League Thread - 2026 Offseason

[Devils Trap]

This is what LeBrun wrote this morning regarding Carlson

View attachment 1256269

Apparently Carlson was angry he was dealt out West. His family is all east coast. They are all in South NJ - closer to PHI but I wonder if we can sell him on it

 

[Forge]

LeBrun mentioned the other day that Carlson to Tampa makes sense given Raddysh was expected to leave.



Don't see anything else on Twitter and the $5M AAV sounds very low versus what Carlson is rumored to want.

Ultimately, I think he signs there at a higher level but still less than what he would've gotten on the open market.

I think it's 10m aav, not 10 total, but I'm not sure.

 

[Brodeur]

Boston retiring Patrice Bergeron's number which reminded me how they made Joe Thornton wear #6 as a rookie because they wanted to eventually retire all the single digits. Thornton would switch to his familiar #19 the following season.

 

[Devs3cups]

Boston retiring Patrice Bergeron's number which reminded me how they made Joe Thornton wear #6 as a rookie because they wanted to eventually retire all the single digits. Thornton would switch to his familiar #19 the following season.

Great pic! Thanks for sharing, honestly had no idea about that number story.

 

[Brodeur]

Great pic! Thanks for sharing, honestly had no idea about that number story.

Upon further review, it looks like he wore it for three seasons. Trying to remember if it was a team decision or something they thought up collectively. Either way, definitely some added pressure for a #1 pick to have those sort of expectations.

 

[dgibb10]

Calling this Clarkson 2.0 is entirely wrong. Clarkson was a limited-use player who had very clear extreme drawbacks and it was likely his skillset would not age well - for him to fall apart immediately could not have been expected, but the signs are there. Clarkson was used on PP2 by the Devils and was primarily a 3rd line player in his career - he was used more in 2012-13 but his results weren't very good.

Raddysh is signed for almost the exact amount of money Clarkson was signed for, relative to the cap. It's within 1/100th of a percentage point.

The analytical argument for Raddysh? He had a great season and usually good players have great seasons. It is more likely that Raddysh is an actually good player than that he was a product of his environment. There's plenty of late bloomers in the NHL pantheon of D - Visnovsky, Streit, Rafalski, etc.

This isn't much money. A player coming off this season who had another season like it somewhere in his career would be expect to be paid well in excess of $10M. This rising cap has everyone confused. Raddysh and Hamilton are signed for almost the same money, but when Hamilton signed his deal, it was 11% of the cap, now it's 8.6%.

If raddysh had 3 years of this on his resume instead of 1 he's getting 12 mill a year EASILY

For context to the big fish on the trade market.

He's the same age as larkin, will be making less a year than larkin, and just outscored larkin AS A DMAN. And for those complaining about the PP, he also outscored larkin 5v5.

This is a gamble, but if it works, it's a steal that you can rarely find on the UFA market.

Most UFAs are relatively safe overpays (eg rasmus andersson this offseason will be that. Safe, and you know what you're getting, but he won't be worth the money he gets). This is a gamble. And tbh it's what the leafs need

 

[Forge]

If raddysh had 3 years of this on his resume instead of 1 he's getting 12 mill a year EASILY

For context to the big fish on the trade market.

He's the same age as larkin, will be making less a year than larkin, and just outscored larkin AS A DMAN. And for those complaining about the PP, he also outscored larkin 5v5.

This is a gamble, but if it works, it's a steal that you can rarely find on the UFA market.

Most UFAs are relatively safe overpays (eg rasmus andersson this offseason will be that. Safe, and you know what you're getting, but he won't be worth the money he gets). This is a gamble. And tbh it's what the leafs need

I think if people believe he's going to continue to be a 70 point dman, that's probably misguided. But if he's a 50-55 point dman he's still worth 8.5 for every year he can do that.

I don't like this number for 8 years entirely in his 30s, but I also don't know the structure of the contract or the clauses attached, so it may be one that is fairly easy to get out from under in later years.

 

[dgibb10]

I think if people believe he's going to continue to be a 70 point dman, that's probably misguided. But if he's a 50-55 point dman he's still worth 8.5 for every year he can do that.

I don't like this number for 8 years entirely in his 30s, but I also don't know the structure of the contract or the clauses attached, so it may be one that is fairly easy to get out from under in later years.

My questions are: can he make Torontos PP meaningfully better (I do not care how many points he gets). If he gets them back up to a 24% PP, the big thing they lost from marner, I'll consider him a great success there.

And then if he's winning his top pairing minutes, that's well worth the money.

I don't think Raddysh is the suckers bet, I don't think Carlson 2x10 is the suckers bet, I don't think Rasmus at anything less than 10x8 is the suckers bet.

The suckers bet is gonna be the team that gives Jacob Trouba his 8 mill x 6 year deal. Wait and watch

 

[Forge]

 

[njdevils1982]

such a little weasel

 

[Bcap88]

 

[Devils Trap]

YEEESH okay. I didnt hate the money but I hate this lmao

 

[Forge]

such a little weasel

Man, what did weekes do to you?

 

[NJDevs26]

How do you get a no trade and a no movement lol, isn’t the no trade redundant once you get a no move?

 

[Devils Trap]

How do you get a no trade and a no movement lol, isn’t the no trade redundant once you get a no move?

Its just a No move for 6 years and then No trade the last 2 from what I understand

 

[Bcap88]

Its just a No move for 6 years and then No trade the last 2 from what I understand

Looks like it follows the same structure as Morgan Reilly

He has a NMC and a NTC the final two years.

 

[Bcap88]

How do you get a no trade and a no movement lol, isn’t the no trade redundant once you get a no move?

I would think if you combine them the NTC takes precedence in the final two years for trade purposes and the NMC is there for protection against waivers and being buried in the ahl

The first 6 years the NMC would be the end all be all since a NTC isn’t stipulated

My only guess

 

[dgibb10]

I would think if you combine them the NTC takes precedence in the final two years for trade purposes and the NMC is there for protection against waivers and being buried in the ahl

The first 6 years the NMC would be the end all be all since a NTC isn’t stipulated

My only guess

I think NMC also has expansion draft stuff put in.

 

[dzubrus8]

I would think if you combine them the NTC takes precedence in the final two years for trade purposes and the NMC is there for protection against waivers and being buried in the ahl

The first 6 years the NMC would be the end all be all since a NTC isn’t stipulated

My only guess

typically an NMC means a full NTC on top of it unless otherwise specified (eg here). NMC is meaningful for waivers / AHL and expansion drafts. It’s a big reason why teams end up in a pickle during expansion drafts because limited protection spots and some of them being forcibly reserved for albatross deals.

 

[theoptimist]

Kucherov influence? Lmaoooo

Analytics community is cooked. No front office, and I mean none, talk about their roster like this. This is fan fodder, data for free website statisticians to make abstract claims and falsely argue insights. Don’t fall for it.

 

[Devils Trap]

Right idea here, wrong outcome IMO. Raddysh points are coming from PP with Kucherov BUT his good 5 on 5 play has to do with the insane breakout of JJ Moser

Raddysh plays drops pretty significantly when he wasnt with Moser last year. Almost 7% in Corsi, 5% in GF%, 9% in xGF, 7% in Scoring Chances, 14% in High Danger Chances !!!

So yes I think Raddysh will prob drop off, dont think its a bad signing but I dont think he has the impact he did this year. The Leafs need to find his JJ Moser in a partner (its prob McCabe)

 

[Triumph]

Right idea here, wrong outcome IMO. Raddysh points are coming from PP with Kucherov BUT his good 5 on 5 play has to do with the insane breakout of JJ Moser

Raddysh plays drops pretty significantly when he wasnt with Moser last year. Almost 7% in Corsi, 5% in GF%, 9% in xGF, 7% in Scoring Chances, 14% in High Danger Chances !!!

So yes I think Raddysh will prob drop off, dont think its a bad signing but I dont think he has the impact he did this year. The Leafs need to find his JJ Moser in a partner (its prob McCabe)

This is facile analysis. Moser's numbers also drop off without Raddysh, and the dropoff looks even worse. So yes while it's clear that Moser was helping Raddysh, Raddysh was also helping Moser. Sure, Raddysh won't be a 60% xG defenseman again, but he's not being paid like one or even close.

 

[Devils Trap]

This is facile analysis. Moser's numbers also drop off without Raddysh, and the dropoff looks even worse. So yes while it's clear that Moser was helping Raddysh, Raddysh was also helping Moser. Sure, Raddysh won't be a 60% xG defenseman again, but he's not being paid like one or even close.

Im not sure I agree with that, the most important stat for myself is the GF% and Moser is better without Raddysh then they are together.

Moser without Raddysh also has a better HD Chances For %, High Danger Goals For% etc. So I do agree they prob help each other out, I still think Moser is the "better" of the 2.

For TB however its clear they are a much worse team when that pair isnt on the ice. They will need alot of work to revamp that blueline

 

[Poppy Whoa Sonnet]

typically an NMC means a full NTC on top of it unless otherwise specified (eg here). NMC is meaningful for waivers / AHL and expansion drafts. It’s a big reason why teams end up in a pickle during expansion drafts because limited protection spots and some of them being forcibly reserved for albatross deals.

I noticed Dougie Hamilton supposedly has a NMC so he can’t be waived (or coerced into accepting a trade with a threat of waiving) and a ten team trade list according to capwages.com.

 

[dzubrus8]

I noticed Dougie Hamilton supposedly has a NMC so he can’t be waived (or coerced into accepting a trade with a threat of waiving) and a ten team trade list according to capwages.com.

Exactly. In practice an NMC usually means a full NTC attached but it doesn’t necessarily mean that. It could be a modified NTC