I've been one of Kopitar's biggest supporters but this is an awful year for him so far. I don't know if it's the baby or the Stanley Cup hangover, but he's just not his usual self. I mean Getzlaf had that one year (2011-12) where he was pretty bad by his own standards. Ultimately, I think this is going to be an anomaly for Kopitar. However, I don't know how you can call this guy a top 3 Center in this league when he is doing this. Crosby or Toews have never had a season like that. That's why he isn't going to get a 10 mill+ contract.
Kopitar is such an enigma to me. It's like he could be dominating everyone on the ice, but sometimes he slumbers around like Penner used to do. Sutter might have to find a way to light a fire under him. I know these guys are pacing themselves, but come on Kopi...
I agree with your general premise, but let's not forget that just about every one of the other top 10 or so centers has had at least one anomaly season OR had them chopped off by injury. Most every other player has either missed significant time (thus getting rest) or had at least one abnormally bad stretch. Many of them have missed more games in one season than kopitar has in his entire career. Let that sink in. Again not an excuse for fatigue or whatever, but let's not undersell kopi and over-glorify the others. Edit: will show you what I mean when back at my computer. You can obviously make a case that some of these players have improved or declined overtime but I'm just interested in the big picture not microanalysis
Edit: Totals will include playoffs. Here are some of the comparables. I picked Crosby and Malkin not as 'comparables' but as the cream of the crop. Need to fill in the blanks but need to step away for baby bath time
Anze Kopitar
Seasons Played:
9
Most Games Played/Season:
108--2014 (Plus Olympics!)
Least Games Played/Season:
72--2007 (Rookie Year)
Total NHL Games Played:
703
Career PPG:
0.88
Most Points/Season (pace):
96, .94--2012: 76 in 82 and 20 in 20 in playoffs
Least Points/Season (pace):
66 .8--2009, 82 games.
Sidney Crosby
Seasons Played:
10
Most Games Played/Season:
101--2009 (Crosby has never played all 82 regular season games)
Least Games Played/Season:
28--2012
Total NHL Games Played:
672
Career PPG:
1.37 (dear god)
Most Points/Season (pace):
134 ,1.30--2009: 103 in 79 and 31 in 24 in playoffs
Least Points/Season (pace):
45, 1.61--2012: 37 in 22 and 8 in 6 in playoffs, cut short by injury
Evgeni Malkin
Seasons Played:
9
Most Games Played/Season:
106--2009
Least Games Played/Season:
43--2011
Total NHL Games Played:
644
Career PPG:
1.21
Most Points/Season (pace):
149, 1.41--2009: 113 in 82 and 36 in 24 in playoffs (!)
Least Points/Season (pace):
37, 0.86--2011: 43 games (injury)
More reasonable comparables:
Jonathan Toews
Seasons Played:
8
Most Games Played/Season:
99--2009
Least Games Played/Season:
65--2012
Total NHL Games Played:
610
Career PPG:
0.9
Most Points/Season (pace):
97, 0.99--2010: 68 in 76, 29 in 22 in playoffs
Least Points/Season (pace):
61, 0.94--2012: 57 in 59, 4 in 6 in playoffs
Claude Giroux
Seasons Played:
7
Most Games Played/Season:
105--2010
Least Games Played/Season:
48--2009, rookie year. Though if we're being thorough, since then, 87 in 2012.
Total NHL Games Played:
502
Career PPG:
0.94
Most Points/Season (pace):
110, 1.26--2012: 93 in 77 and 17 in 10 in playoffs
Least Points/Season (pace):
32, 0.67--2009: 27 in 42 and 5 in 6 in playoffs. Though again, since then, 88 in 211 (.95).
Henrik Zetterberg
Seasons Played:
12
Most Games Played/Season:
100--2009
Least Games Played/Season:
47--2014
Total NHL Games Played:
916
Career PPG:
0.94
Most Points/Season (pace):
119, 1.23--2008: 92 in 75 and 27 in 22 in playoffs
Least Points/Season (pace):
45, 0.54--2003: 44 in 79 and 1 in 4 in playoffs
Patrice Bergeron
Seasons Played:
11
Most Games Played/Season:
103--2011
Least Games Played/Season:
10--2008
Total NHL Games Played:
786
Career PPG:
0.74
Most Points/Season (pace):
73, 0.9--2006, 81 games
Least Points/Season (pace):
7, 0.7--2008, 10 games
Nicklas Backstrom
Seasons Played:
8
Most Games Played/Season:
96--2008
Least Games Played/Season:
55--2012
Total NHL Games Played:
582
Career PPG:
0.98
Most Points/Season (pace):
110, 1.24--2010: 101 in 82 and 9 in 7 in playoffs
Least Points/Season (pace):
67, 0.78--2011: 65 in 77 and 2 in 9 in playoffs
Obviously doesn't account for fancy stats or a lot of other things--but it does illustrate how spoiled we've been with Kopitar's relative health and production. He's had several ironman streaks and the least NHL games he's played in a season is 72. His production has been relatively consistent from season to season and his best-to-worst seasons only saw a 30 point difference total.