TopShelfSnipes
Ella Shelton > Ryan Lindgren + it's not even close
I've been one of the biggest proponents of Laf to PP1, but the issue with this is a couple of things.Yeah but Trocheck is by all accounts the least productive player on PP1. I'm not saying he's bad at it, but I do wonder how much the PP is affected if he's taken off.
He has the fewest goals on the PP of anyone on the first unit other than Fox (who is the assist-generator). He has the fewest assists on the PP of anyone on the first unit other than Kreider (who is the tip-in scorer).
Take away his PP production and Laf's PP production and their EV production is very similar.
And with the quality of passing we've been seeing from Laf lately - just how he's been making some real eye-opening passes - do you swap it out for a bit just to see?
I realize underlying metrics have said Laf sucks on the PP and I realize you don't want PP1 to stop being elite, but.....
1) You can switch back if it has a big negative effect, and
2) There IS a benefit to a player like Lafreniere becoming effective as a PP performer besides just stat padding, and for that he needs a shot.
First, Trocheck for Laf is not a 1:1 swap. Laf is not going to go in the bumper and using him there is a waste. The only places it would ever make sense to play Laf are:
-In the Kreider spot, which is not going to happen, because Kreider is his generation's John LeClair in front of the net.
-At the RW half wall, where no one currently plays. If they do this, Panarin's space to rover from the right point to the RW half wall would reduce, however, so to counteract this, they'd have to move Panarin to the left side in the Zibanejad spot, which puts Mika in the bumper. If they ever swap Laf for Trocheck, this is the only move that makes sense. To keep a true 1-3-1, Laf would basically have to play the mirror image of the Zibanejad role on the right side, and Panarin would have to play the existing Zibanejad role (which he absolutely can do). In its final form, this is probably their best powerplay, but only once Laf develops an elite one timer which he doesn't have yet. This is basically aiming for Kucherov/Stamkos at the circles when Tampa's PP was prime.
-At the left point, which wouldn't make sense, because it would put Zibanejad in the bumper and keep Panarin in his usual spot, but the (threat of the) RH one timer goes away from the left side, which allows the PK to cheat towards Panarin and Kreider more, plus which also doesn't give Laf a single one-time option to distribute to.
Zib sucked on faceoffs last year relative to two seasons ago, and would have to take draws. This year's he's been better, but he's still inconsistent from game to game. I still think Zib should be consistently around 52% (especially on an improved faceoff team), but he's generally been 50-51% this year after his hot start on draws, and when he has a bad game he tends to REALLY have a bad game which is why his numbers aren't higher, and why Kreider is occasionally taking left side draws when the Filip Chytil Faceoff version of Mika shows up.
I do agree that he needs more PP time though. Given the way last night's game went, there was no reason he shouldn't have been thrown out there either with selected parts of PP1, or with the whole PP2 on the last regulation powerplay up 4-1. These guys are vets and have bought in, and a simple explanation that this kid getting experience and PP2 being a viable threat in the playoffs should be more than enough to overcome any butthurt that might be present.
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