To be clear, I haven’t once said we should trade Laf. I just said he’s bad. He’s our problem though - without him being what he was drafted to be (Kakko as well) the rebuild is derailed and we’re back in the exact same spot we were in before the letter. If they had both truly been elite talents, we would be in a totally different position and have a much brighter future. I don’t think trading him solves anything - if he’s in a package with other assets and it brings back an actual upgrade (not sure how cap gets figured out) that’s a different story, but I’m not saying trade him. I’m saying make peace with the fact that we’ll be lucky if he’s ever a grindy 55 point middle of the lineup guy and we needed at least one of the lottery picks to end up being bonafide 80-90 point play drivers. I’ve never said he won’t improve. I’ve never said he can’t be an okay player. I’ve said that even if he becomes a 55 or 60 point middle six guy, that is still a bust for where he was drafted and what his hype was and as long as he busts, whether it’s “okay second liner” or perennial bottom six grinder, we are back to exactly where we were pre-letter. The success of the rebuild hinges on two lottery picks becoming the future cornerstones of our organization. It looks like a 99.9% chance that they will never be that.
Also, trivial next to my main point, but yes, you could watch young Mika and see dynamic skating, high level skill. Saying you knew it would actually come together for him is an entirely different story - saying that you could see the skill that made him a high draft pick even before he was successful is not. Laf hasn’t shown WHY he was a consensus 1st pick. And as for Tage, he is truly the exception who had a genuinely bad start to his career… but, one he’s 6’7 and a late first round pick, so predicting his development would always be a bit more difficult. I’m pretty sure the reason draft position is relevant to the conversation is because the higher you are selected, the more of a sure thing you are expected to be. Tage was nearly a second rounder and would have been if he were average sized (probably closer to a 4th rounder). Two he needed a change of scenery to break out. He would likely still be a bust if he never changes teams. Three, his wife went through cancer earlier in his career, which is definitely a potential factor in his odd development. Is he an example of a genuine SURPRISE later breakout? Yes. Mika and Huberdeau breaking out was not surprising. Laf doing so would be, because he looks to be average in just about every conceivable facet of the game.