g00n
Retired Global Mod
- Nov 22, 2007
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Are we really evaluating players off of hypothetical scenarios that posters are imagining?
Seems like a lot of that is going on.
Are we really evaluating players off of hypothetical scenarios that posters are imagining?
If you think Alzner has 0 of those in a game I don't know what team you've been watching.
Here's another number - 1 - as in it takes one offensive chance in a tight as balls playoff game not being converted or taken advantage of to lose said playoff game.
When you shoulder a heavy load against the other teams best each night, they're bound to score sometimes. Give Alzner beachblanket matchups and he might not be on for an even strength goal against all season!
Lets say its a 1-1 game. Goalies are hot. And Orlov decides he wants to "create" some offense, and turns it over. That's another thing. Orlov cracks under pressure. You chase after him with high tempo, and he will crack. He will hold the puck till the last second and will turn it over. Especially when he against the boards. So going back he takes the puck up the zone, turns it over, leaving Nisky with the 2-1. Scores.
That's a great way to deflect any criticism of bad play lol
Give Alzner beachblanket matchups and tell him to skate the puck up and generate goals for the team and you might see a lot more pizzas than usual
Or it's being realistic. This team doesn't need Alzner to raise his offensive game to succeed, not when he's shouldering the heaviest competition pretty well each night on the scoresheet.
Let's be fair, historically he has, but we have to give him another crack at stepping up in the playoffs to fairly evaluate where this team has to go in the offseason.
They've partnered him with arguably the best D the Caps have this year, they shelter him properly, maybe they can find a way to make it work in the playoffs?
It's not. If you're given easier matchups you're expected to produce offensively. At least if your team is expected to go somewhere. There's 5-6 D in the NHL at any given moment that can produce offensively at even strength while getting the toughest matchups. Yandle, Shattenkirk, Burns have been sheltered historically yet their teams lived and died with what they could provide offensively.
If Alzner was that amazing there'd be no explanation for Orlov-Niskanen being more effective than Alzner-Niskanen.
They may not need Alzner, and I agree that he's a good player (though a bit overrated honestly) and has a role on the team, but the point is they need SOMEBODY or the team gets wrecked no matter how good defensively he is.
Oh i agree. At the same time he can't stay on offense too long. He has to get back. I remember against the Pens game 3 of the season this season, there were 2 Caps and 2 Pens along the boards in the Pens zone on the left side. And there is Orlov who is on the left, waiting for to slide accross the boards to him like he was thinking about creating chance. Nope. Instead it goes to a Pen, who creates a 2 on 1 with Nisky having to dive to block the pass. Thats what i'm talking about.
More effective, against lesser opposition in sheltered minutes, largely even strength only because there's limited trust in other situations in ORLOV.
Remind me how many Cups do Yandle, Shattenkirk and Burns have again? Now remind me how many guys like Mitchell, Regehr, Hjalmarsson, McQuaid, Orpik, Beauchamin, O'Donnell have. There's a significant need for the DEFENSE Alzner brings. Look what happened last season when he went down. House of cards collapsed.
I suppose Jay Beagle is the most valuable player on our team since Kris Draper has 4 cups, followed by our very own Claude Lemieux in Tom Wilson
Weird how none of the guys you mentioned were ever top pairing defensemen for their teams. Holy crap, imagine if we had
Mitchell-Regehr
Orpik-Beauchemin
O'Donnell-McQuaid
All the cups would be ours
Looking back at their teams, I can't help but notice that they also had guys like Doughty, Keith, Campbell, Voynov, Martinez, Niedermayer, Gonchar, Letang, all of whom would skate the puck coast coast every chance they get, and many of whom weren't defensive rocks at the time their teams won the cup (Campbell/Voynov/Martinez/Letang). Boston is pretty much the only team that didn't skate the puck much and they still ponied up for Kaberle at the deadline and needed Tim Thomas to pull off the best goaltending performance in about 10 years.
Alzner is valuable in the same way all those D were - as in he still needs better D with damn fine offensive capabilities surrounding him for the team to be successful.
You need guys that can skate the puck through the neutral zone and blast dangerous shots from the point to be successful. That's just a fact sadly. Everything else has been made obsolete by the NHL coaching arms race.
Speaking of deflecting...
No one is saying you need 3 pairs of pure defensive defensemen. We're saying you need one or two. Alzner fills a need, both in the regular season and the playoffs. Orlov might too IF he can continue to improve his decision making AND translate that to the post-season. Why is that so hard to understand?
And FWIW, Beagle may not be the most important player on this team, but I bet if you polled the dressing room, he'd get a lot of votes.
This is not "adstats", this is more of a philosophical debate. The battle has been going on around the league and it's clear which way things are headed in general. The Caps seem to be leaning a particular direction right now. We'll see what happens moving forward and into the playoffs.This has to stop somehow. Adstats guys hijacking this thread again.
On the topic. I bet Alzner is not 100% after last year's injury, YET, and I bet he's not firing on all cylinders. He will be better in playoffs, and we know he has done it before.
Orlov, while still fighting for his Washington Capital spot, didn't win anything yet. Progressed but didn't achieve his goals.
One is known commodity, a defensive expert 24/7, another is promising guy with warts. Nothing changed yet. Can we not talk about it every ****ing day?
Nothing you said is wrong. If you could guarantee that no one would get injured or slump or have the bounces start going the other way, then sure, carry on. I think the people advocating for a move are not comfortable relying on this run of play to continue all the way til June.
Who could have seen the tremendous drop off from Kuz coming at this point last year? Would having someone like a Vanek help mitigate that problem if it happened again this year?
The Pens ran through a ton of players last year out of sheer necessity, but it paid off in the long run as they were able to identify who able to keep up in the NHL. Why not be proactive (which many have accused the Caps of not doing in years past) and see what shakes out?
BUT WHAT IF YOU DO??@!? Geez. It's not a giant mental leap to consider the potential for an injury to a top 6 player at some point from March through hopefully June or a potential Kuz-like slump from a top 6er. It happened just last year.But what if we don't have injuries? You bring Vanek in and sit him in the press box?
You break up our dominating 3rd line where Bura and Connolly are generating and producing?
You put Vanek on the 4th line?
What kind of message are you sending to players who are performing excellently by sitting them?
We have a goose laying golden eggs. I don't think its proactive to cut him open in search of something better.
BUT WHAT IF YOU DO??@!? Geez. It's not a giant mental leap to consider the potential for an injury to a top 6 player at some point from March through hopefully June or a potential Kuz-like slump from a top 6er. It happened just last year.