A win is a Win: Not really, but we'll take it 3-2

Those 2 shots just based off Quick's GAA and the 27.5 shots the Kings allow and the league average of 29.83 a game is a SV% of .909 and .915. So it does matter even with a small variance.

You do know that about 10 percent of those extra shots will go in right?
 
Except the Kings only see about 2 shots fewer per game that an average team. Not significant at all.

Feel free to check me on this accuracy, but comparing Price (who i think is the best goalie in the league this year) vs Quick in games when facing at least 30 shots:

Price: 25 games .943 save %
Quick: 17 games .943 save %

Just food for thought.
 
Dude, it don't work that way. Maybe Quick should start fewer games if he can't beat out goalies that play less.

You really don't know how statistics work do you? For goalies, the more games they play, the greater sample size and less likely it is for outliers to skew the stats.

You get some new guy on a hot streak, they will have amazing stats during that stretch, but if they're not working the load of a starter, then perhaps they wouldn't have such lovely stats when given a greater sample size.

As others have said, Quick is riding pretty close to his career average meaning he's not really having a terrible season for his own standards. His playoff numbers overall are still incredible.
 
Jonathan Quick numbers:

Projected This Season - 58:11/TOI/G; 2.40GAA; .913SV%; 36W; 23L; 13OTL; 5SO.
Career Average - 58:31/TOI/G; 2.30GAA; .914SV%.

Right in line with career average. What now if save percentage is the end-all stat on here?
 
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Furthermore Jones is projected to win 10 games setting the Kings up with 46 wins. 46 wins got them a playoff spot last year as the third spot in the Pacific.
 
50 wins is my golden number every year (but I'm not naive). 48 is basically a guaranteed playoff spot. 46 is very probably, but will cut it close down the stretch (especially this year).
 
You really don't know how statistics work do you? For goalies, the more games they play, the greater sample size and less likely it is for outliers to skew the stats.

You get some new guy on a hot streak, they will have amazing stats during that stretch, but if they're not working the load of a starter, then perhaps they wouldn't have such lovely stats when given a greater sample size.

As others have said, Quick is riding pretty close to his career average meaning he's not really having a terrible season for his own standards. His playoff numbers overall are still incredible.

I now about 100% more about probability and statistics than you do. The Kings are competing against every other team's configuration of goaltending. The workload of other starters is irrelevant, all that matters is how good your configuration is relative to everyone else. DS has chosen to ride Quick hard and it hasn't worked that well this year (so far and with time running out). You don't get pity points for starting more games than the next guy. He is below average this year and looks to be tanking at a very inopportune time. Career average is irrelevant -- what matter is that career average for this year doesn't have the team in a playoff spot.
 
Was at the game. We started out great. We controlled most of the game, save for a few lapses. If I've done this chart correctly, we've only won 1 OT and 2 SO games out of 15 all season. That's impressive...in a bad way. That's 12 possible points we've left behind.

npBsIle.jpg
 
I now about 100% more about probability and statistics than you do. The Kings are competing against every other team's configuration of goaltending. The workload of other starters is irrelevant, all that matters is how good your configuration is relative to everyone else. DS has chosen to ride Quick hard and it hasn't worked that well this year (so far and with time running out). You don't get pity points for starting more games than the next guy. He is below average this year and looks to be tanking at a very inopportune time. Career average is irrelevant -- what matter is that career average for this year doesn't have the team in a playoff spot.

So you'd take 40+ goalies over Quick?
 
Was at the game. We started out great. We controlled most of the game, save for a few lapses. If I've done this chart correctly, we've only won 1 OT and 2 SO games out of 15 all season. That's impressive...in a bad way. That's 12 possible points we've left behind.

npBsIle.jpg

Well, lose 3, win 8, lose 3 win 8. That sounds like a recipe for success the rest of the way.
 
12-6 since the all star break is a great run, but they have to keep it up.

If we'd have won as many SOs as Anaheim we'd be playing for home ice against Vancouver.
 
I was at the game last night and watched those goals against unfold clear as day. People are complaining about Quick? C'mon, those were 3 monumental breakdowns that led to guys scoring goals from like 2 feet away. No chance at stopping those. That type of shot is much harder to stop than a breakaway where you've at least got a couple of seconds to set yourself.

I thought Sekera had a pretty good game as well. He was active and starting to assert himself with the puck. I was glad to see him out there with Doughty over the last 4 minutes of the game. I wish he had been a little more selfish at the point and taken shots, but that'll come. People need to realize that a top 4 defender coming in at the deadline is WAY more difficult than a top 6 winger. Both Gaborik and Carter came in and played wing, which has much less responsibility on the ice and it was easier to acclimate when Kopi and Richards were doing the heavy lifting at center. Playing top 4 D is heavily dependent on knowing your partner's tendencies as well as the forwards. Soon enough he'll be the second best defender on our team. Talent wins out eventually.
 

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