I feel like it's really really early to make that call.
Most of the discussion was a debate over how Kreider ages. A player that does what he does (Plus the net front intangible that doesnt impact metrics much) is certainly worth right around 6.75-7 million a year.
The question is- will Kreider still be that player in 4 years, in 7? How much of that contract are we getting a good value out of?
The other question is- as Lafreniere likely becomes a star and Panarin likely continues to be one, how important of a role is Kreider actually going to get to play? In big games Panarin plays 23 minutes. You have to imagine if Lafreniere becomes anywhere near as good as Panarin he'll be looking at a similar number. What's Kreider going to end up playing?
Positive asterisk though- Kreider has never been a 20 minute a game player. He averages between 14.5 and 17.5 minutes a game for most of his major seasons. So maybe he IS the kind of guy who will be just as effective coming on the ice fresh and playing third line minutes, provided he stays on the PP and PK. I'm open to being optimistic.
If Kreider averages 45-50 points over his contract a year I won't complain when all is said and done. I still wonder if we knew what we knew now, though, if I wouldn't pick Buchnevich for the extension.
The other potential positive is it would be nice, for a change for NYR to draft a player and have them play WELL here their whole career. Maybe Chris can be that guy, hit 300 NYR goals and all that. He and Panarin are gonna be the grizzled veterans when we are playing deep into the playoffs so his experience is helpful too.