Rumor: 23-24 Trade Rumors and Free Agency Part Trois: The Road to the Deadline

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EdAVSfan

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This is the crux of problem with the entire CMac tenure. Acquiring RyJo or doing nothing were not his only options in the summer. He choose to go the RyJo route because it costs them nothing to acquire him as opposed to paying premium assets for a better solution. Of course there’s no guarantee that would’ve worked either but you can respect the aggressiveness instead of going the cheap route which they have done every single year except the cup run.
Sometimes being aggressive is good, sometimes it isn’t.

It’s easy to say now that you would’ve respected an aggressive move. The likely scenario is you’d be complaining the same if an aggressive move didn’t work out.

Sometimes being aggressive gets you a Hagel. Sometimes it gets you a Jeannot.
 

Pierce Hawthorne

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At the same time, if he did nothing people would dump all over him just the same.

They took a shot and it didn't work but they didn't pay anything to acquire him. I really think CMakic get dumped on unfairly here because people are basically saying 'they should have been able to foresee that he couldn't skate anymore after a significant injury'.

They gambled and lost but every year there are GMs who gamble and lose while also spending significant assets to try and get better.

The Avs didn't do that so if they have to spend a 2nd to move him out, so be it but I think people should cut them a break.

They are one of the very few teams in the league that don't have a terrible long-term contract that they've had to dump on Arizona or another team and had to package assets to get rid of.

Some people want perfection even when they are getting well above average.
Yeah I kind of agree with this in some ways. I think the RyJo gamble was a fine gamble and even said as much at the time. If it worked, you're getting a 60 point 2C who steps up in the playoffs for literally nothing.

Obviously it had a significant chance to not work out as well, or else we wouldn't have gotten him with 50% retention for free.

It's too bad it hasn't worked but it was a legitimate attempt to find a solution. And like you said it didn't cost them anything to acquire, so if it does cost a 2nd to dump him it isn't a big deal IMO, just bite the bullet and do it to give us the proper flexibility for the next solution.
You misunderstood. I’m not saying dumping RyJo is a terrible trade, the initial trade to acquire him was terrible. I’m saying it’s not an excuse that they have other assets.

Now not only does he have to dump RyJo and pay to do so, but we are still at square one in rectifying the hole at 2C. The RyJo trade actually compounded the problem.
Well again I dont agree. The initial trade has worked out terribly... It absolutely wasn't a terrible deal at the time. It was a pretty smart gamble. If it worked out, we'd have a 60 point 2C for free signed at an extremely reasonable cap hit for 2 playoff runs.

Obviously it hasn't worked out and so its easy to say it was terrible but under the circumstances I would say it was a solid gamble at the time.
This is the crux of problem with the entire CMac tenure. Acquiring RyJo or doing nothing were not his only options in the summer. He choose to go the RyJo route because it costs them nothing to acquire him as opposed to paying premium assets for a better solution. Of course there’s no guarantee that would’ve worked either but you can respect the aggressiveness instead of going the cheap route which they have done every single year except the cup run.
I mean, what makes you think this is true? Look at the trades made last summer after the RyJo trade.

The only guys even remotely close to 2C caliber besides RyJo, were Kevin Hayes and PLD. Neither of which are having any sort of success on their new teams either and especially with PLD its pretty unlikely he actually wanted to join the Avs.


So it was basically RyJo or Hayes. That's it. Both of which are well below 2C number this year but RyJo had the much higher upside between the two and the much easier contract to move this summer now that they've both failed.
 

NateTheGreat

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Sometimes being aggressive is good, sometimes it isn’t.

It’s easy to say now that you would’ve respected an aggressive move. The likely scenario is you’d be complaining the same if an aggressive move didn’t work out.

Sometimes being aggressive gets you a Hagel. Sometimes it gets you a Jeannot.
Yeah that’s crap. I’ve said over and over that I’d rather go down with no bullets left in the chamber as opposed to wondering “what if” including in years past. But you can choose what you wish to believe.

Anyhow we’ll all find out in 14 days how this all plays out. I’m just hoping that we’re not all left disappointed including the players on the team like we were last year.
 

Foppa2118

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Our roster still had Mack, Mikko and Makar playing in the playoffs. With a real 2C they get past Seattle and if the rumors were true, Nuke would've been back for the next series. He wasted a year of competition for no reason. Even worse, he wasted a 2nd round pick on Lars f***ing Eller. That's how you can tell he's incompetent. If he truly wasn't going to spend assets because we were "decimated" with injury, why f***ing spend a 2nd?

Other GMs don't have our core, and even if they fail in the playoffs while spending, at least they f***ing went for it. He pulled off a bullshit half measure, and it not only wasted a prime competing year, it left us without a valuable asset.

Doesn't sound fair to say he's incompetent because he traded a 2nd round pick for Lars Eller, and he's also incompetent because he didn't trade more than a 2nd for a player that wouldn't have helped them win.

If other team's don't have the Avs core, which I agree with, then why do the CMac haters think he needs to bring in the best 2C's on the market, and if he doesn't he sucks?

I wish I was Jerry O'Connell in Sliders so I could find a parallel universe with a healthy Avs roster, and prove they could have beaten everyone, (except perhaps Vegas but maybe them too) with Compher at 2C last year.

They needed a healthy Landy, Val, Makar, Manson, Lehky, Cogs, etc to win last year. Their impact is >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> some hypothetical 2C.

A roster with all those guys healthy and Compher at 2C, beats the absolute shit out the Avs last year with the roster they had against Seattle and whatever 2C was available.
 
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the_fan

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RAIL says differently. And I believe him.

The fact that cMac couldn't come up with an alternative way to keep Kadri if EJ didn't agree to waive his MNC is infuriating. IIRC from that summer, all they had to do was trade Girard for futures.
The could have traded JTC and used that money to resign Naz. The fact that they thought they could go with JTC as the 2C, shows that they weren’t serious about resigning Kadri
 

Foppa2118

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RAIL says differently. And I believe him.

The fact that cMac couldn't come up with an alternative way to keep Kadri if EJ didn't agree to waive his MNC is infuriating.

If EJ was the only reason they didn't keep Naz or bring in a better 2C last year, then why didn't they bring in a 2C around that price this year after EJ left and they had a ton of money in LTIR?

Maybe because their Stanley Cup roster building strategy, with their elite D core, can't afford to go above a certain price, regardless if EJ is here or not?

Like when they traded for Naz at 2C making $4.5M, and then let him go when he was gonna make $7M.
 
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dahrougem2

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If EJ was the only reason they didn't keep Naz or bring in a better 2C last year, then why didn't they bring in a 2C around that price this year after EJ left and they had a ton of money in LTIR?

Maybe because their Stanley Cup roster building strategy, with their elite D core, can't afford to go above a certain price, regardless if EJ is here or not?

Like when they traded for Naz at 2C making $4.5M, and then let him go when he was gonna make $7M.
It shouldn't be a strategy of price caps, though. Naz played at a value significantly higher than 4.5M during our cup winning season. The Avs cannot operate under the mentality that 4.5 is the max they will go (if that is what they believe) because then you'll have Ross Colton on your 2nd line.
 
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Foppa2118

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It shouldn't be a strategy of price caps, though. Naz played at a value significantly higher than 4.5M during our cup winning season. The Avs cannot operate under the mentality that 4.5 is the max they will go (if that is what they believe) because then you'll have Ross Colton on your 2nd line.

I'm not saying $4.5M was the max, I'm saying $7M was too much either way.

Naz played at a higher value than $4.5M, but his contract year wasn't representative of his value either.
 

CobraAcesS

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Yeah I kind of agree with this in some ways. I think the RyJo gamble was a fine gamble and even said as much at the time. If it worked, you're getting a 60 point 2C who steps up in the playoffs for literally nothing.

Obviously it had a significant chance to not work out as well, or else we wouldn't have gotten him with 50% retention for free.

It's too bad it hasn't worked but it was a legitimate attempt to find a solution. And like you said it didn't cost them anything to acquire, so if it does cost a 2nd to dump him it isn't a big deal IMO, just bite the bullet and do it to give us the proper flexibility for the next solution.

Well again I dont agree. The initial trade has worked out terribly... It absolutely wasn't a terrible deal at the time. It was a pretty smart gamble. If it worked out, we'd have a 60 point 2C for free signed at an extremely reasonable cap hit for 2 playoff runs.

Obviously it hasn't worked out and so its easy to say it was terrible but under the circumstances I would say it was a solid gamble at the time.

I mean, what makes you think this is true? Look at the trades made last summer after the RyJo trade.

The only guys even remotely close to 2C caliber besides RyJo, were Kevin Hayes and PLD. Neither of which are having any sort of success on their new teams either and especially with PLD its pretty unlikely he actually wanted to join the Avs.


So it was basically RyJo or Hayes. That's it. Both of which are well below 2C number this year but RyJo had the much higher upside between the two and the much easier contract to move this summer now that they've both failed.

Yeah.. as much as it sucks, not many predicted he'd be this bad.

I am basically on the fire Cmac wagon if they can't get a 2C by the TDL, but I agreed with the gamble.

The problem is the gamble came late, and it's been an issue since Kadri didn't return. That entire body of work is the problem.

You can't give him a longer leash if two years in a row this team fails to contend.

Crazy to think this guy was instrumental in completing the Duchene trade with three teams involved.

I actually thought he'd be way more aggressive than Sakic overall once he had control.
 

Foppa2118

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If you're building a team the smart way, you have to designate a certain amount of money towards each position. If you spend more on one, you have to sacrifice on another.

The Avs had their core forwards, a cheap bottom six, and cheap goaltending. The only thing left to sacrifice was the D core, which played a big part in their win, and is what prevented them from winning before.

They weren't willing to sacrifice their defense for an expensive 2C, because they felt they could win without an expensive 2C with a semi healthy roster. I think that's very much true.

This summer they'll likely be finally forced to sacrifice some of their elite D core, because they've had to pay for expensive raises with Nate, Cale, Val, and Toews, and have Mikko coming up.
 

Pierce Hawthorne

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Yeah.. as much as it sucks, not many predicted he'd be this bad.

I am basically on the fire Cmac wagon if they can't get a 2C by the TDL, but I agreed with the gamble.

The problem is the gamble came late, and it's been an issue since Kadri didn't return. That entire body of work is the problem.

You can't give him a longer leash if two years in a row this team fails to contend.

Crazy to think this guy was instrumental in completing the Duchene trade with three teams involved.

I actually thought he'd be way more aggressive than Sakic overall once he had control.
Yep same here. He's got this deadline to make the right move and get things back on track essentially. Send Byram out and get a legit 2C solution for multiple years, or if be can find that solution without moving Byram that's good too(I highly doubt this is possible though).


But if we go through another failure of a deadline... Time for him to go.
 
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CobraAcesS

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Doesn't sound fair to say he's incompetent because he traded a 2nd round pick for Lars Eller, and he's also incompetent because he didn't trade more than a 2nd for a player that wouldn't have helped them win.

If other team's don't have the Avs core, which I agree with, then why do the CMac haters think he needs to bring in the best 2C's on the market, and if he doesn't he sucks?

I wish I was Jerry O'Connell in Sliders so I could find a parallel universe with a healthy Avs roster, and prove they could have beaten everyone, (except perhaps Vegas but maybe them too) with Compher at 2C last year.

They needed a healthy Landy, Val, Makar, Manson, Lehky, Cogs, etc to win last year. Their impact is >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> some hypothetical 2C.

A roster with all those guys healthy and Compher at 2C, beats the absolute shit out the Avs last year with the roster they had against Seattle and whatever 2C was available.

My only problem with this is that it's a domino effect. Not having Kadri made literally everyone play up, and then injuries on top of that hit like they always do.
 
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John Mandalorian

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If EJ was the only reason they didn't keep Naz or bring in a better 2C last year, then why didn't they bring in a 2C around that price this year after EJ left and they had a ton of money in LTIR?

Maybe because their Stanley Cup roster building strategy, with their elite D core, can't afford to go above a certain price, regardless if EJ is here or not?

Like when they traded for Naz at 2C making $4.5M, and then let him go when he was gonna make $7M.

Its fair to criticize him for not doing "lessons learned" after Lars Eller. Lars Eller struggled a lot because he's not even a strong skater. What's at root of a lot of Johansen's struggles? Its the same issue (hes also low effort).

Its kind of strange how the pro scouts get it right a lot with practically every position but 2C. In reality, its probably more about CM when it comes to 2C.

Fair or not. Saying that CM wasted a 2nd on Eller is at the very least accurate, even if there is an element of Monday morning QB to it.
 
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sethro109

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Doesn't sound fair to say he's incompetent because he traded a 2nd round pick for Lars Eller, and he's also incompetent because he didn't trade more than a 2nd for a player that wouldn't have helped them win.

If other team's don't have the Avs core, which I agree with, then why do the CMac haters think he needs to bring in the best 2C's on the market, and if he doesn't he sucks?

I wish I was Jerry O'Connell in Sliders so I could find a parallel universe with a healthy Avs roster, and prove they could have beaten everyone, (except perhaps Vegas but maybe them too) with Compher at 2C last year.

They needed a healthy Landy, Val, Makar, Manson, Lehky, Cogs, etc to win last year. Their impact is >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> some hypothetical 2C.

A roster with all those guys healthy and Compher at 2C, beats the absolute shit out the Avs last year with the roster they had against Seattle and whatever 2C was available.
Compher is a playoffs ghost. Compher at 2C never worked. Last year everyone saw that failure with him at 2C coming. They absolutely need someone better there. Colton is a 3C, making 3C money. If he's our 2C this year, we will fail again.

The value of a 2C seems to be very underrated around here. It's the 3rd most important position on a team. 1C, 1D then 2C. Without a competent 2C the Avs won't win another cup. No winger, or combination of wingers will make up for a 2C.

Paying for retention on Eller was also one of the most idiotic moves anyone could have done. He did nothing with that saved cap space. He's completely incompetent as a GM.
 

Bender

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I think it easily will. The only possible way I can see it costing less is because the flat salary cap is finally lifting a little.

Beauvillier is a pretty bad example to compare, at least IMO. He's significantly younger, and was coming off a strong end to his season with Vancouver. He wasn't being traded as a cap dump, more a reclamation project and a guy Chicago was hopeful they could flip at the deadline this year for even more value. Plus, he wasn't dealt until November 28th which was about 1.5 months into the season or ~25% of the season. So his actual cap being moved was closer to $3M. Compare that to RyJo who if he's moved at the deadline this year the real money value of his dump is $5M($1M left this year + full $4M next year).
Ok, so Beauvillier is not a great example but I did find the comparable.

Last season the NYI traded Josh Bailey and a 2nd round pick to Chicago for future considerations.

The Blackhawks bought out Bailey. The only difference is that it happened after the season AND Bailey had 1 year remaining at $5M.

So the buyout to the Blackhawks costs them :
2023-24 - $2.66M
2024-25 - $1.16M

Compared to the buyout of RyJo that would cost an acquiring team :
2024-25 - $1.33M
2025-26 - $1.33M

So there is a precedence and a difference although not a huge one. It might still be the cost of a 2nd round pick or maybe a team would accept less.
 
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