I'm not even sure if it would cost that much, to be honest.
Vancouver traded Beauvillier to Chicago and he was also underperforming with 8 points in 22 games and actually got a conditional 5th round pick out of it. Now he doesn't have an extra year like RyJo but is making $4M+ and Chicago is completely devoid of talent and unless they are planning on overpaying vets to go there again this off-season, I could really see them being interested. I don't think they'd give up much if anything to get him but I believe the Avs could send him there - if they wanted to.
I don't think the Avs are ready to dump him outright, I think they might entertain it IF they are going to be making deals and need to use his cap space to do it. Otherwise, I think they hang on to him for better or for worse.
I think it easily will. The only possible way I can see it costing less is because the flat salary cap is finally lifting a little.
Beauvillier is a pretty bad example to compare, at least IMO. He's significantly younger, and was coming off a strong end to his season with Vancouver. He wasn't being traded as a cap dump, more a reclamation project and a guy Chicago was hopeful they could flip at the deadline this year for even more value. Plus, he wasn't dealt until November 28th which was about 1.5 months into the season or ~25% of the season. So his actual cap being moved was closer to $3M. Compare that to RyJo who if he's moved at the deadline this year the real money value of his dump is $5M($1M left this year + full $4M next year).
At 30 years old and with the season RyJo is having, there's no reclamation project aspirations in any deal with him really. He's a complete cap dump. And there's a pretty well established history of cap dump values around the league and what they cost. $6M or more you're looking at a 1st round pick. ~$4-5M is a 2nd round pick. $2-3M, 3rd round pick, and so on down the line.
The only way we might get away with dumping RyJo for cheaper is if we end up moving him in the summer instead and the rising salary cap opens the door for more teams to be willing to take on cap dumps and lowering the price slightly. Either that, or we get creative with the deal essentially, and perhaps take back another bad contract for less money(Maybe get a #6D that can still be useful for us but is making like $1.5-2M instead of $1M) or we get creative and find a way to include him in a legitimate trade where we include some extra value to get rid of him.
That’s a 2nd the Avs can’t afford to throw away on top of the fact that our top guys are having to play extra minutes because RyJo can’t breathe 15 seconds into a shift. Just a disaster of an acquisition quite frankly.
Certainly disagree with that.
I dont think a 2nd round pick is going to make much of a difference at all in terms of the moves we need to make. We still have plenty of valuable assets, its just a matter of whether our GM is actually willing to part with enough of those assets to get things done.
But a 2024 1st, 2025 1st, Bo Byram/Sam Girard, Ritchie, Gulyayev, Behrens, etc. Should easily be enough ammo to get a couple of important deals done.