2024 NHL Draft: WE DID IT, CELEBRINI IS OURS!!!

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Strongly disagree. He gets pushed around to some degree even in the NCAA. He may be big and strong, but he’s still young.
I just don’t see why wanting him to “dominate” a lesser league is better than getting him in SJ full time with the NHL/AHL training staff to oversee his development.

He doesn’t lack for confidence, so he is likely to deal with that adversity well.

He probably also would rather get paid than go to college in a country he has only been in 2 years when he won’t be finishing his degree anyways.
 
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Graf is countering that point fairly immediately -- NCAA seems to be structured and high-effort, high-pace enough to be a solid development league. Didn't Makar also stay an extra year? Only one example but I know there are many others.
It's impossible for Graf to counter that point immediately. His college season is roughly half a regular season in the NHL or AHL and he's only going to get a handful more games. He's not actually feeling the grind of a season with just one experience of a back-to-back.
 
It's impossible for Graf to counter that point immediately. His college season is roughly half a regular season in the NHL or AHL and he's only going to get a handful more games. He's not actually feeling the grind of a season with just one experience of a back-to-back.
OK, I see, you're arguing the point about more games per year and getting used to the grind. You're right, that's not comparable. I was making the argument about being able to prep for a real NHL level of hockey through NCAA.

I still think that someone like Lev could continue to do well in the NCAA for one more year. It's more about rounding out his play rather than getting used to the grind. I don't think his base level of hockey at 40 games is ready for the NHL and might be better off in the NCAA than even the AHL.

In general, I'm less aggressive with wanting our prospects to jump into the NHL to see who sinks or swims. I was a big Bords hater but now I see that letting him marinate a bit longer might have done him a lot of good. Sending Ek back to Sweden even with a disappointing year, hard to argue that the results are bad. The new org seems to lean that way (Bystedt as well) and I suppose the same might apply to Musty even if I think he'll likely get 9 games and an AHL conditioning stint before going back to Juniors next year.
 
OK, I see, you're arguing the point about more games per year and getting used to the grind. You're right, that's not comparable. I was making the argument about being able to prep for a real NHL level of hockey through NCAA.

I still think that someone like Lev could continue to do well in the NCAA for one more year. It's more about rounding out his play rather than getting used to the grind. I don't think his base level of hockey at 40 games is ready for the NHL and might be better off in the NCAA than even the AHL.

In general, I'm less aggressive with wanting our prospects to jump into the NHL to see who sinks or swims. I was a big Bords hater but now I see that letting him marinate a bit longer might have done him a lot of good. Sending Ek back to Sweden even with a disappointing year, hard to argue that the results are bad. The new org seems to lean that way (Bystedt as well) and I suppose the same might apply to Musty even if I think he'll likely get 9 games and an AHL conditioning stint before going back to Juniors next year.
I'm fine with letting prospects marinate in the AHL but it should be the AHL and not NCAA or SHL or anywhere else. The sooner the better, imo.
 
I'm fine with letting prospects marinate in the AHL but it should be the AHL and not NCAA or SHL or anywhere else. The sooner the better, imo.
That's where we disagree, but it's not a big deal. For me it just depends on the maturity of the prospect, and my lack of trust in our AHL dev program. I think Lev is the kind of prospect who is so young and underdeveloped that I'd rather see him continue on in NCAA and maybe he develops past a need to go to the AHL, or maybe he does half a season, or maybe he needs a full season. But even throwing him in the A next season (for someone like him) feels too far for how raw he is.
 
I just don’t see why wanting him to “dominate” a lesser league is better than getting him in SJ full time with the NHL/AHL training staff to oversee his development.

He doesn’t lack for confidence, so he is likely to deal with that adversity well.

He probably also would rather get paid than go to college in a country he has only been in 2 years when he won’t be finishing his degree anyways.
Personally, I don’t believe in jumping up a huge level (ie NCAA to AHL) unless you are dominant at the lower level. Levshunov was extremely good in the NCAA this year, but he has not mastered the collegiate game. It would be a mistake to jump a level while he’s still learning how to be an effective and consistent defender at the NCAA level, in my opinion.

That said, I think you may have hit the nail on the head with regards to education. Poor kid is taking college level classes in his non-native language when his aspirations are hockey. It’s been reported that he would have gone to the CHL if not for the ban, so it seems clear that he isn’t playing for an NCAA team for educational purposes. Probably he’d rather play pro hockey than do another year of school.
 
That's where we disagree, but it's not a big deal. For me it just depends on the maturity of the prospect, and my lack of trust in our AHL dev program. I think Lev is the kind of prospect who is so young and underdeveloped that I'd rather see him continue on in NCAA and maybe he develops past a need to go to the AHL, or maybe he does half a season, or maybe he needs a full season. But even throwing him in the A next season (for someone like him) feels too far for how raw he is.
I agree it's not a big deal. I don't think the differences in playing a prospect in the AHL or another development league is staggering. I just think there's a pretty clear best path that should only be strayed from for good reason. The AHL is the best place to have kids not ready for the NHL because it is the most similar league to the one that we're supposed to be preparing them for in the NHL. But for players already in our system like Smith and Lund, it's about them choosing what they want to do first and foremost. If they want to stay in college for another year for whatever reason, it's perfectly fine to accept their choice, give them some pointers to work on, and assess them when they may be available again to come into the fold. But if they're asking the team's opinion on what is best for their development, the answer should pretty much always be to turn pro, sign with us, and play either in the NHL or the AHL depending on how training camps go.
 
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If the Pens keep on winning, then it's time I revisit digging deeper into Brett Senneke as the pick

I'm fond of Sennecke



He's like an Alex Burrows type of player. N-S game, loves to throw his body around and finish checks. Great hands, great skater both forwards and backwards. Super high IQ, which is why I comped him to Burrows who found a home playing off of the Sedins.

Sennecke is extremely unselfish with the puck and knows how to find quiet spaces on the ice while having the skill to make very impressive plays.

I see him as a riser, when all is said and done. He's firmly in that bunch with MBN and Greentree for me.
 
I'm with Jux (I think) that Lev should spend another year in the NCAA. He had a very promising year, if raw and a bit inconsistent. Why not dominate (if he keeps his trajectory) and possibly even compete for e.g. a Hobey?
If he stays in college, he should hit the portal and go somewhere with a better staff and history of development than Michigan State.
 
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If he stays in college, he should hit the portal and go somewhere with a better staff and history of development than Michigan State.
Michigan State is just a year or two into a new coach and system. They've added lots through the Transfer portal recently. It's not fair to look into their past...they're a new hockey program now. If Lev stays they'll be contenders again next year.
 
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Why would you want Lev to stay in college when we can control every aspect of his usage and development on the Barracuda? He's clearly good enough for the AHL.
 
That's fine as long as we're playing Lev 25+ minutes a night in all situations, quarterbacking PP1, etc.
And what about if he isn’t getting that ice time because his coaches don’t feel like he’s an adequate defender as a teenager in a men’s league? What if he’s getting 15 minutes a night and not getting special teams because he hasn’t earned it? You can’t just force ice time to a player who might not be good enough in a pro league.
 
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And what about if he isn’t getting that ice time because his coaches don’t feel like he’s an adequate defender as a teenager in a men’s league? What if he’s getting 15 minutes a night and not getting special teams because he hasn’t earned it? You can’t just force ice time to a player who might not be good enough in a pro league.
You don't think he's good enough to be in a pro league? His numbers at Michigan State this season are unprecedented for a freshman defenseman. He's certainly big enough to hold his own in pro hockey.

We absolutely can and should forcefeed him ice time in the AHL. If he truly can't hack it then scale him down to second pairing minutes but regardless it's always preferable to have maximum day-to-day control over the development of a prospect that important to the franchise's future.
 
You don't think he's good enough to be in a pro league? His numbers at Michigan State this season are unprecedented for a freshman defenseman. He's certainly big enough to hold his own in pro hockey.

We absolutely can and should forcefeed him ice time in the AHL. If he truly can't hack it then scale him down to second pairing minutes but regardless it's always preferable to have maximum day-to-day control over the development of a prospect that important to the franchise's future.
I think he’s extremely inconsistent defensively to the point that he’ll drive pro teammates and especially coaches insane enough not to trust him in defensive situations.
 
I think he’s extremely inconsistent defensively to the point that he’ll drive pro teammates and especially coaches insane enough not to trust him in defensive situations.
I agree. I'm not sure why the rush to the AHL for a player this young/raw. The dude may be an absolute stud by 24, but he's barely 18 at the moment and he's more inexperienced at high level hockey than anyone else.

Gauthier might have been able to hack it in the NHL this year on a bad Ducks team, instead he took another year with BC to round out his game significantly, and nobody is yelling about him being held back in development. Please god let this not devolve into "if we do that to someone they might not sign with us"... any number of other examples, Quinn Hughes, Makar, etc etc etc. NCAA is a pretty solid development league right now.
 
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I agree. I'm not sure why the rush to the AHL for a player this young/raw. The dude may be an absolute stud by 24, but he's barely 18 at the moment and he's more inexperienced at high level hockey than anyone else.

Gauthier might have been able to hack it in the NHL this year on a bad Ducks team, instead he took another year with BC to round out his game significantly, and nobody is yelling about him being held back in development. Please god let this not devolve into "if we do that to someone they might not sign with us"... any number of other examples, Quinn Hughes, Makar, etc etc etc. NCAA is a pretty solid development league right now.
He and his agent were yelling pretty loudly the last few months about being held back significantly.
 
He and his agent were yelling pretty loudly the last few months about being held back significantly.
Unfortunately you latched on to the one thing that my post specifically called out as hopefully not getting people to latch onto...

Here's a list of D+1 prospects that stayed in the NCAA for a second+ year, even though they probably could have gone to the AHL this year.
  • Colin Graf (could have signed after last year's championship)
  • Seamus Casey
  • Jimmy Snuggerud
  • Lane Hutson
  • Matthew Wood
  • Frank Nazar
  • Ryan Chesley
  • Gavin Brindley
  • Shai Buium
THAT was my point. Please feel free to ignore Cutter if it helps the conversation stay on this point.
 
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Unfortunately you latched on to the one thing that my post specifically called out as hopefully not getting people to latch onto...

Here's a list of D+1 prospects that stayed in the NCAA for a second+ year, even though they probably could have gone to the AHL this year.
  • Colin Graf (could have signed after last year's championship)
  • Seamus Casey
  • Jimmy Snuggerud
  • Lane Hutson
  • Matthew Wood
  • Frank Nazar
  • Ryan Chesley
  • Gavin Brindley
  • Shai Buium
THAT was my point. Please feel free to ignore Cutter if it helps the conversation stay on this point.
Half of your list is players that are barely making it in the NCAA or were just drafted in 2023. Not really making the argument that you are hoping it does.

Graf was trying to sign last year but nobody actually went far enough to actually sign him, so he in the NHL GM's eyes wasn't even at the point they wanted him in the AHL.
 
Half of your list is players that are barely making it in the NCAA or were just drafted in 2023. Not really making the argument that you are hoping it does.

Graf was trying to sign last year but nobody actually went far enough to actually sign him, so he in the NHL GM's eyes wasn't even at the point they wanted him in the AHL.
Players that are barely making it in the NCAA? those are all prospects at the top of their teams' lists.

NCAA is pretty universally seen as increasing in strength. It's easy to say no (like you're doing) but you haven't put a compelling argument as to why NCAA is a bad place for many top prospects to develop. I'm trying to engage positively, maybe you have a better argument?

Here are some top players over history (there are more examples but more and more every year)
2021 NHLe shows NCAA better than any of the Canadian Junior leagues (where top prospects return fairly often). Even in 2021, NCAA is closer to AHL than AHL is to NHL (or any of the other top leagues) by a long shot.

And can you really argue that the general narrative is that the NCAA is becoming a better and more popular route of development? Can you really argue that players who stay for a second post-draft year are all low-level prospects? Other than making a claim in your last post that "half the list are barely making it in the NCAA" (flat out wrong)?
 
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I agree. I'm not sure why the rush to the AHL for a player this young/raw. The dude may be an absolute stud by 24, but he's barely 18 at the moment and he's more inexperienced at high level hockey than anyone else.

Gauthier might have been able to hack it in the NHL this year on a bad Ducks team, instead he took another year with BC to round out his game significantly, and nobody is yelling about him being held back in development. Please god let this not devolve into "if we do that to someone they might not sign with us"... any number of other examples, Quinn Hughes, Makar, etc etc etc. NCAA is a pretty solid development league right now.
How do Flyers fans feel about Gauthier staying in school a year.

It is absolutely clear that he doesn’t want to attend college next year. Imagine if you had to go attend college in a different country speaking a different language when you will not use anything you learn in your classes in your life a quit after a year.

If a top 5 pick wants to sign you sign them even if they aren’t quite ready for the AHL.
 
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