Hedman had 85 points in 82 games a couple years ago and has come close a few other times, so yes by comparing him to Hedman you are talking about a D that can go ppg.
Becoming the next Makar isn't a question of being better then Makar was at 17.
The point is if you want to talk about ceiling without regards to how likely they are to reach it then even 5th round picks have ceilings of being 50 goal scorers or 100 point players. If scouts thought Buium was likely to become Makar he'd be the undisputed #1 OA ahead of Celebrini.
Ok you are sticking to names, what i meant was that Silayev ceiling is an oversized 1D, two way D. I named Hedman because he had similar profile but no i don't expect him to have 85 points season.
Still, he played 20min a night in the KHL and has been the most used defenseman by his coach in the playoff.
He is 6ft7 and has incredible tools.
Thats a profile as unique as there is and we have no comparables to this because Silayev is the first of this kind to do this. The upside is as high as it could be.
Now, Becoming the next Makar is not a question of being better than Makar at 17, i agree. Lets forget the name Makar then and focus instead of being a true 1D, top 10 in the league with potential norris nomination.
What should it look like in its draft year?
The answer is : this defenseman should be the best in his league. He should excel in all three zone. He should beat offensive record. He should be consistent all year long and shine on every stage he plays.
You know, every single boxes Buium check.
Your point with the 5th rounder is lunacy tho. We are talking about 0.01% and less occurence.
To summarize my point, the forward at the top of the draft are very good indeed, but they are more in line with top six forward. We are in dire need for one. But aside from Celebrini and to a lesser extent Demidov, the gamebreaking upside is on the defenseman.
We should not pass on a gamebreaking talent at D because we need a top six F.