Is there anywhere I could read a very critical breakdown of Fantilli and Carlsson? Like maybe even a negative or pessimistic one similar to how people ripped Shane Wright apart. I'm still undecided with whom I like more and who seems like he has more "bust potential". I think Fantilli has more bust potential but I'm not fixed on that.
I don't think you look at any of them and see bust potential. If anything, they both should be, at the very least, competent top six player. Nothing is sure but they are very strong prospects who have elite tools and who project as elite player.
A knock on Fantilli is that he is 13 days from the 2022 draft, so he is very old for his draft class. He is only seven months younger than Slafkovsky for example, and only five months younger than Cooley. Folks here argue that he would have been #1 in 2022 but i am not sure 74 points in 57 USHL games would have made him the surefire number one pick. Some question Fantilli IQ and he has terrific athleticism so maybe he won't translate all of his offensive games to the next level. I still think the tools are too good personally.
Carlsson, personally, i believe is a bit raw. I think he has more upside than Fantilli but i also think he needs a bit more polishing, for what its worth.
We will see them at the world cup. Carlsson project to be the 1C of team Finland and Fantilli should play in Canada top 9. It will gives us a very nice field to evaluate them on the same stage.
But to answer your question, i think Carlsson has a bit more work to do to be a finished product but i also think the upside is bigger. Big true, physically dominante, offensively spectacular number one centerman. Neither of them has the red flag Wright had too (lack of growth, passivity, disappointing offensive production)
The homerun pick is Carlsson in my opinion. I also think its probable Fantilli falls in the draft. Although a low-odds scenario, i don't think its out the question Carlsson, Michkov and Smith gets picked before Fantilli.
