Pronman and Peters on the most recent Athletic pod said that based on their conversations with NHL scouts and execs, after the top five (Bedard, Fantilli, Carlsson, Smith and Michkov) the three most likely players to stay in the top ten are Leonard, Reinbacher, and Dvorsky (in that order).
They also had a really interesting discussion on the much sought after character and compete elements for playoff teams. They used Toronto as an example of a team that continually attempts add those ingredients with depth players at deadlines, and it fails. The core group of Matthews, Marner, Nylander, Tavares and Rielly are lacking those elements to some degree (or at least generally speaking as a group).
And even you being in the Simmonds, Foligno, O’Reilly, Acciari, Schenn, McCabe, etc it will never be the same as if those elements exist in your core group (like Tkachuk, Bennett, Pietrangelo, Eichel, etc) and if they’ve been on the team all year or longer. So much the better if they’re home cooked (like BA always says - they’ll BLEED for you).
This made me think of Ryan Leonard. That hard edged, ultra competitive, playoff style nastiness in what is a talented enough package to be a true core player is very, very hard to acquire. And can be a TREMENDOUS difference maker in the the playoffs. It’s hard to deny that it matters. It really seems to. Colorado, Tampa, and St. Louis all had a bunch of guys like that. Long term, core pieces, that are not only talented but blood and guts competitors.
I think that’s what BA was talking about in his post lottery availability. I think that’s why he wants Leonard. He knows what the Oshies, Tarasenkos, Schenns, Oreillys, Perrons, etc mean. All of that compete and skill in single players at the top of the lineup.