Toews plays almost entirely all his minutes with MacKinnon and Makar.
Girard plays a lot of minutes with the heaping pile of trash the Avs rolled out in the bottom-9 this season. Not an even playing field.
Would the Avs miss Toews more than Girard? Sure, But, Girard will continue to play the same role he does now if Toews is traded.
I think the more important part of this conversation is do you feel Byram steps into Toews role without issue? If the answer is yes, then it’s easier to move Toews, with the return being higher for him.
Either way though… I think the more likely scenario is Girard is moved, or they don’t move a defenceman at all.