Grant Mcagg has posted an interesting top ten. Maybe the top 5 will shake out a little differently than expected? He is fairly connected and usually has a pretty good pulse on how team affiliated scouts are thinking about the draft.
1OA touted prospects, let alone 1C that have been locked as 1OA for 1-2 years ahead of the draft rarely ever actually drop out of 1OA I find. It's always the lead up to the draft trying to drum up some hype around the airing of the draft, but everyone knows, that 6'2 center with amazing skill is more likely to climb than fall.
09 - Tavares undisputed 1OA. Hedman was never going to be picked ahead of Tavares despite media chatter.
10 - Debatable but I'd say Hall was undisputed 1OA. Taylor vs Tyler was purely for their names, but everyone had the skilled winger a tier above Tyler Seguin who only eeked into the conversation his draft year if I recall.
11 - RNH undisputed 1OA.
12 - Yakupov undisputed 1OA in a year of the defenseman (8 of top 10 picks were D)
13 - MacKinnon undisputed 1OA.
14 - Ekblad undisputed 1OA from 1-2 years ahead. Don't think Reinhart/Drai slipped out of contention.
15 - LOL, but both were 1Cs anyways
16 - Matthews undisputed 1OA again for years. Same as Taylor vs Tyler, purely marketting, albeit Laine made it interesting with the pre-draft season he had + WJHC.
17 - Probably the only time, Nolan Patrick, the 1C projected 1OA from 2-3 years of discussion actually dropped. Even then, he only dropped to 2OA.
18 - Dahlin undisputed 1OA x 5+ years
19 - Hughes undisputed 1OA.
20 - Lafreniere undisputed 1OA.
21 - Power undisputed 1OA in spite big Cs trying to climb up.
I see 0% chance Wright drops considering he's been touted this long, and there's really still no knock on him regardless of what risers are around.