Speculation: 2022-23 Sharks Roster Discussion Part II

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If the sharks win the Bedard sweepstakes then they’re immediately contenders again and will need Karlsson.

I don't think Bedard alone changes the fortunes of this team. The defense remains atrocious, the goaltending is a question mark, and the forward group remains rather weak. Bedard also won't likely be a real game-changer for a year anyway, either.
 
I don't think Bedard alone changes the fortunes of this team. The defense remains atrocious, the goaltending is a question mark, and the forward group remains rather weak. Bedard also won't likely be a real game-changer for a year anyway, either.
Who knows? If he’s the talent he’s predicted to be how is he different than Mcdavid or Crosby? Both were PPG players right out of the gate and both had their teams hitting 100 within two years and you certainly can’t say Edmonton had a better team around CmD at the time as we do now?

We are on pace for 60 points this season. You’re basically saying a 18 year old Connor Bedard is worth 40-50 standings points on his own. That’s insane, to put it lightly.
That’s basically what Connor and Crosby did.
 
I don't think Bedard alone changes the fortunes of this team. The defense remains atrocious, the goaltending is a question mark, and the forward group remains rather weak. Bedard also won't likely be a real game-changer for a year anyway, either.
Yea, they'd basically just be Edmonton
 
Who knows? If he’s the talent he’s predicted to be how is he different than Mcdavid or Crosby? Both were PPG players right out of the gate and both had their teams hitting 100 within two years and you certainly can’t say Edmonton had a better team around CmD at the time as we do now?


That’s basically what Connor and Crosby did.
We wouldn't have the talent on the team around bedard if hodge was running the team and got all of there wishes.

But all edmonton had was mcdavid and leon those 1st 2 years. We would have that in bedard and hertl/meier and then we also have more talent coming up and already on the team then edmonton still does not have.
 
We are on pace for 60 points this season. You’re basically saying a 18 year old Connor Bedard is worth 40-50 standings points on his own. That’s insane, to put it lightly.
I wouldn't call them contenders again, but I could see them being a playoff team. It isn't him just doing it on his own. A player of Bedard's caliber also pushes subsequent players down the lineup into more suitable roles.

That’s basically what Connor and Crosby did.
Pittsburgh was still last in the conference after Crosby's rookie season and drafted Jordan Staal 2nd overall.
 
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You don’t actually know this.

What if the Sharks win the Bedard lottery then add another high end prospect in the 2024 draft while converting as many veterans into draft picks as possible?

They could level up fairly quickly in that scenario, dealing from a surplus of picks or dipping into free agency in the 2024 offseason (when there will still be 3 years remaining on Karlsson’s contract) to add a starting goalie, top six F and/or top four D provided they have the cap space to make those kinds of moves.

Sure that scenario depends on things going in the Sharks’ favor but it’s not impossible. What is impossible is ever building a competitive team with Karlsson making $11.5M against the cap and playing top pair minutes in his mid 30s.

Hanging onto Karlsson past next summer in the hopes of someday getting a late 1st for him carries the enormous risk that his production regresses or yet another injury renders him untradeable.

I wouldn’t be willing to take that risk. Just accept the best offer you can find as long as it nets the team cap space in the long run and doesn’t require attaching picks. This applies to everyone else on the roster too.
You don't actually know that they won't be competitive team with Karlsson making 11.5 mil either but we both know the odds are long and you don't make decisions based on those long odds.

As for your scenario, the answer is not much because their veterans that turn into draft picks are unlikely to be anything. If they converted as many vets into draft picks as possible at this stage, we're only looking at maybe a couple extra late 1st round picks in the Merkley to Bystedt area which are long odds of being anything. You'd basically have Bedard and nothing else realistically. Having a surplus of picks only means something if you can draft and develop well which for us is at best an unknown given the recent changes. Trading them for players after five straight years of losing is probably not a realistic idea when you have all those holes you're talking about and more considering your stance on moving Meier and Karlsson when our blue line is at that point a whole lot of nothing. Free agency as a means to address issues here is a joke of an idea.

I don't think they should hang on to Karlsson past this upcoming offseason but it's not for long term cap relief if they even get any. They should just move him because he wants to compete. There's no reason to think that long term cap relief is some boon for this team. It's not. Cap relief only matters if they have hope on the horizon. They don't right now and may not even get it after this abysmal season. Worst team still has an 81.5% chance of losing out on Bedard and the others in the top four are probably still a piece for the Sharks long term but not to the degree that they need to worry about cap space in any of the four years that would be left on Karlsson's deal.
 
You don't actually know that they won't be competitive team with Karlsson making 11.5 mil either but we both know the odds are long and you don't make decisions based on those long odds.

As for your scenario, the answer is not much because their veterans that turn into draft picks are unlikely to be anything. If they converted as many vets into draft picks as possible at this stage, we're only looking at maybe a couple extra late 1st round picks in the Merkley to Bystedt area which are long odds of being anything. You'd basically have Bedard and nothing else realistically. Having a surplus of picks only means something if you can draft and develop well which for us is at best an unknown given the recent changes. Trading them for players after five straight years of losing is probably not a realistic idea when you have all those holes you're talking about and more considering your stance on moving Meier and Karlsson when our blue line is at that point a whole lot of nothing. Free agency as a means to address issues here is a joke of an idea.

I don't think they should hang on to Karlsson past this upcoming offseason but it's not for long term cap relief if they even get any. They should just move him because he wants to compete. There's no reason to think that long term cap relief is some boon for this team. It's not. Cap relief only matters if they have hope on the horizon. They don't right now and may not even get it after this abysmal season. Worst team still has an 81.5% chance of losing out on Bedard and the others in the top four are probably still a piece for the Sharks long term but not to the degree that they need to worry about cap space in any of the four years that would be left on Karlsson's deal.
To clarify, I was saying they could use surplus picks and prospects to trade for established young NHLers on other teams. Dumping Karlsson, regardless of the return, gives Grier an additional 5.75-11.5M in cap space to add those types of players and/or to sign free agents. And if they don’t hit a home run with their lottery picks, that’s space they can monetize by taking on cap dumps.
 
I wouldn't call them contenders again, but I could see them being a playoff team. It isn't him just doing it on his own. A player of Bedard's caliber also pushes subsequent players down the lineup into more suitable roles.


Pittsburgh was still last in the conference after Crosby's rookie season and drafted Jordan Staal 2nd overall.
A player like Bedard might also be a magnet to attract and negotiate with FAs. If what players say about SJ is true - that everyone wants to play in SJ for the lifestyle - then having an elite franchise talent might make more players consider the Sharks
 
I wouldn't call them contenders again, but I could see them being a playoff team. It isn't him just doing it on his own. A player of Bedard's caliber also pushes subsequent players down the lineup into more suitable roles.


Pittsburgh was still last in the conference after Crosby's rookie season and drafted Jordan Staal 2nd overall.
The year after they were 100 point team. Staal Was decent but not a true difference maker (was he ever?) and Letang barely played as well. Hell, Mark Recchi was their third leading scorer that year
 
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We wouldn't have the talent on the team around bedard if hodge was running the team and got all of there wishes.

But all edmonton had was mcdavid and leon those 1st 2 years. We would have that in bedard and hertl/meier and then we also have more talent coming up and already on the team then edmonton still does not have.
Edmonton was a garbage team that people thought were more stacked because of all the other picks that disappointed. RNH, Eberle, was Nail stil on that team?
 
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The year after they were 100 point team. Staal Was decent but not a true difference maker (was he ever?) and Letang barely played as well. Hell, Mark Recchi was their third leading scorer that year
Some guy named Evgeni Malkin making his NHL debut might have had a little to do with that.
 
To clarify, I was saying they could use surplus picks and prospects to trade for established young NHLers on other teams. Dumping Karlsson, regardless of the return, gives Grier an additional 5.75-11.5M in cap space to add those types of players and/or to sign free agents. And if they don’t hit a home run with their lottery picks, that’s space they can monetize by taking on cap dumps.
But they could’ve done that already and chose differently. Let’s be real though. They couldn’t trade those extra picks for anyone of consequence because those typically available are Ryan Donato types.
 
But they could’ve done that already and chose differently. Let’s be real though. They couldn’t trade those extra picks for anyone of consequence because those typically available are Ryan Donato types.
Maybe if Doug Wilson is the one making the trades. Colorado added Toews, Burakovsky and Lehkonen for four 2nd round picks. LA got Arvidsson for a 2nd and 3rd. Seattle added Bjorkstrand for a 3rd and 4th. St. Louis traded a 2nd and a depth forward for Buchnevich.

These kinds of opportunities are available every offseason but only if you have the cap space to take advantage of them.
 
Maybe if Doug Wilson is the one making the trades. Colorado added Toews, Burakovsky and Lehkonen for four 2nd round picks. LA got Arvidsson for a 2nd and 3rd. Seattle added Bjorkstrand for a 3rd and 4th. St. Louis traded a 2nd and a depth forward for Buchnevich.

These kinds of opportunities are available every offseason but only if you have the cap space to take advantage of them.
The Sharks had the cap space to acquire them if they pursued it but didn’t. They did that with Luke Kunin so it’s not like they can’t. They chose not to.
 
The Sharks had the cap space to acquire them if they pursued it but didn’t. They did that with Luke Kunin so it’s not like they can’t. They chose not to.
It made zero sense for the Sharks to acquire any of those players. I’m talking about clearing as much long term cap space as possible by dumping Karlsson now so they can be in a position to make trades like that if they’re on a competitive upswing again in a few years.
 
It made zero sense for the Sharks to acquire any of those players. I’m talking about clearing as much long term cap space as possible by dumping Karlsson now so they can be in a position to make trades like that if they’re on a competitive upswing again in a few years.
They’ll be in that position with or without moving Karlsson is the point which is why that selling point for dealing him holds no weight.
 
They’ll be in that position with or without moving Karlsson is the point which is why that selling point for dealing him holds no weight.
It holds 5.75-11.5M (depending on retention) of weight since that’s how much extra cap space they’ll have to go after whoever 2024’s Bjorkstrand or Devon Toews or John Marino ends up being. Or if they still suck they can use that extra space to take on cap dumps for more picks. All of these options are more valuable than a 35 year old Karlsson taking up well over 10% of the cap.
 
It holds 5.75-11.5M (depending on retention) of weight since that’s how much extra cap space they’ll have to go after whoever 2024’s Bjorkstrand or Devon Toews or John Marino ends up being. Or if they still suck they can use that extra space to take on cap dumps for more picks. All of these options are more valuable than a 35 year old Karlsson taking up well over 10% of the cap.
It’s still relative and not every cap dollar is the same level of importance to each team and manager. The Sharks don’t use cap space like that and likely won’t so that’s just not a convincing reason.
 
Sure. That was it and as good as he was, he wasn’t yet the player he would become. Sidney was immediately a dominant focal point.
And yet the Penguins were still garbage in Crosby's rookie year and only made the playoffs when Malkin, Letang and Staal joined him. One player doesn't make much of a difference. This isn't basketball.
 
And yet the Penguins were still garbage in Crosby's rookie year and only made the playoffs when Malkin, Letang and Staal joined him. One player doesn't make much of a difference. This isn't basketball.
They were garbage because Fleury was godawful. The team was far and away horrible defensively and that team had next to nothing on offense unless you count the shells of John Leclair (37), Mark Recchi (36), Ziggy Palffy (34) and Mario Lemieux (40) as a core. The current sharks team is MILES better than that. Also, Letang played a whopping 7 games in that 06-07 season where they hit 100 points.
 
They were garbage because Fleury was godawful. The team was far and away horrible defensively and that team had next to nothing on offense unless you count the shells of John Leclair (37), Mark Recchi (36), Ziggy Palffy (34) and Mario Lemieux (40) as a core. The current sharks team is MILES better than that. Also, Letang played a whopping 7 games in that 06-07 season where they hit 100 points.
Yeah the current Sharks are so much better than the 05-06 Penguins. That's why they're currently on pace for the exact same point total as that team.
 
They were garbage because Fleury was godawful. The team was far and away horrible defensively and that team had next to nothing on offense unless you count the shells of John Leclair (37), Mark Recchi (36), Ziggy Palffy (34) and Mario Lemieux (40) as a core. The current sharks team is MILES better than that. Also, Letang played a whopping 7 games in that 06-07 season where they hit 100 points.
Mark Recchi still had plenty in the tank; he ended up winning the Cup that year with Carolina after becoming a rental at the deadline and again in 2011 playing a not-insignificant role with the Bruins.
 
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