Making the playoffs absolutely not, but if the "reclamation projects" end up working out like many of you and Grier as well hope, there is a very real chance they also finish in the 5-10 range similar to what happened to the coyotes this year, even without Karlsson. That's why I've never understood the reclamation projects for a team like SJ that needs #1-3 OA's and not more and more 2nd/3rd rounders. Even Dahlen won them a couple games at the beginning of his season.
I think it's absolutely a failed season if they don't end up with #1-3 OA. Either you have guys like Zadina/Duclair light it up, screw your team over but get you a few toss up picks, or they both bust out and the Sharks get nothing for them, but hopefully that leads to #1-2. On paper, at least for forwards, there are at least 5 worse teams than them.
If they finish in the 5-10 range because of Zadina/Duclair they will likely be able to translate that extra value into a 1st at least.
I could see a world where Duclair and Barabonov each get a 1st.
Also if Zadina blows up he is young enough I would rather keep him as a key contributor going forward.
The Sharks could realistically end up with 5 first round picks next year.
Own
EK (Pit)
Barabonov
Duclair
NJ
In that case it would lessen the blow of not picking top 3.
I would rather have:
7, 22(Duclair), 24(Barabonov), 26(EK), 30(NJ) + a legit top 6 wing (Zadina)
Than:
3,26(EK), 30(NJ), 54(Duclair), 56(Barabonov)
Obviously winning 1st or 2nd in the lottery would change things but there is a legit chance of that finishing 5-10.