Speculation: 2022-23 Roster Thread Part II

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All Mighty

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Sep 20, 2014
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Goals above expected. Is that a way of suggesting these players have been lucky?
It’s usually a combination of luck and skill. The expected goals number only has to do with shot location, it doesn’t factor in shooting talent. Typically, if I see a good shooter on that list, then I consider it sustainable. If a bad shooter is on that list, then I consider them luckier.

No it suggests what is expected. Z is on pace for 30+ goals . Pretty damn good for a playmaking C.
Technically it is saying that Zegras has scored 8 goals, but the cumulative number of expected goals based on his shoot volume and location is only 3.1 goals.
 
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