Ararana
Registered User
Man I've wanted Horvat since the 2019 draft and all those Barrie rumors were flying around, but I just don't see how the Avs get this one done. Him having a career year probably shot any chance they had in the foot.
Very likely.Gonna guess they're better at the D-zone draws since JTC probably takes most of those
This season, it is basically Compher and MacKinnon... with Compher the vast majority. If you dive into the stats on the faceoffs... Compher is pretty consistent all around at ~47%. MacK cares in the offensive and defensive zones (both 50 or above)... does give a F in the neutral zone (below 40%). Newhook flat out sucks at them. ERod feasts off the MacK's of the world, sucks when it matters. Rants seems to suck anytime he is on his off hand, but (very small sample here this year) is great in the defensive zone.Gonna guess they're better at the D-zone draws since JTC probably takes most of those
Is that bad?
It isn't even by a little bit 7% lower than the next team (Arizona).Last game ESPN also dropped the fun fact that we are the worst faceoff team while on the PP.
Last game ESPN also dropped the fun fact that we are the worst faceoff team while on the PP.
That's f***ing terrible for a guy like himCompher is pretty consistent all around at ~47%.
Last game ESPN also dropped the fun fact that we are the worst faceoff team while on the PP.
Are we back to number 1, I thought we fell to number 2?And yet the best PP in the league.
Hmmmmm
He’s been better in the past… but it says something when he’s the most trusted faceoff guyThat's f***ing terrible for a guy like him
I think Horvat makes it to one of Boston, Minny, or LA.
Boston has cap space next year and has a lot of incentive to go all in this year with it likely being Bergeron and Krejci's final seasons. They don't really have a ton of good assets, but they can probably group up Debrusk, 1st, and Lysell. They can't win an outright bidding war though.
Minny has cap issues going forward, but they have a major hole in their lineup at 1C that Horvat can solve day 1. They have plenty of assets to throw at the deal in Rossi, Ohgren, Yurov, Faber, Lambos, 1st and 2nd round picks... and some bigger name guys in Greenway and Dumba as throw-ins. They can probably structure a deal.
Now LA... they, by far, have the most ammo. Not that they will dump him, but Byfield is the biggest expendable card that anybody has. Former #2 pick that has an elite toolkit... they could probably structure a 1 for 1 deal right there. Hurts them long-term, but LA is a solid team now if goaltending holds up. Add in Horvat and they have a Kopi-Horvat-Danault rotation. That could be very dangerous for the next couple years, and as Kopi fades into the sunset, Horvat-Danault is still competitive. They also have so many other pieces to structure things... Vilardi, Spence, Turcotte, Kupari, Fagemo, Grans and 1st and 2nd round picks.
He’ll want to get paid more than anything. His last big deal, so he will want to go to a place that can afford him. Avs would have a real tough time giving him 9.Vancouver will get the most value by trading him to a destination where he's willing to extend, so Horvat/his agent will have a say in where he goes as well.
If for example he doesn't want to live in California (for some reason) then that would rule LA out even if they can offer the best package, other than as a rental deal where the return might be less than others may offer with an extension in place. On the flipside, perhaps he wants to be on a winning team and also has a fondness for rivers...
He’ll want to get paid more than anything. His last big deal, so he will want to go to a place that can afford him. Avs would have a real tough time giving him 9.
If the Avs offered something like $8.5mx8 ($68m) that could be close enough to $9mx8 ($72m) to make him consider it if Colorado is his preferred destination. That's probably the highest the Avs could go while also shipping out a LHD.
For reference ~$3-4m is more or less around the haircut Nuke took to stay in Colorado.
Whoever gives Horvat $9M is nuts.
Hayes retained really isn’t the worst option. If you knock 1.5-2m off of it, it becomes good value (for now).I'd rather trade for Kevin Hayes than pay Horvat $9 mil for the next 7-8 years.