There is a lot of jest in here about tanking... but the absolute worst case is this:
I simply don't see that happening either. To me, the low end of reality is one of the Wild Card spots... which the 8th spot would really be nice to avoid (don't want Vegas in the 1st round). Staying on the Central side should allow a solid chance to get back to the conference finals (Avs need to figure out the 2C spot no matter what). Dallas, Winnipeg and Minny are all solid teams... but really all of those teams need to add to get a complete lineup. Dallas and Winnipeg are closer than Minny (though if Minny swings a Horvat trade that could change).
The Pacific side is a lot scarier to me... Vegas is an elite team and most complete team in the West as long as Thompson continues his play. They also still have a decent amount of assets to shore up that team further. Seattle is goaltending away from being able to beat anyone in a series. I don't think they are a contender, but good enough to push any team. If it clicks with Grubi or they make a move, that team is scary. LA is kind of a similar story... another team that has great underlying and just getting poor goaltending. Calgary and Edmonton are both clearly talented teams that have some issues, but if they gel, they can clearly win.
TLDR... make the playoffs, stay on the central side. Those are the biggest keys for the regular season, and easily attainable even with the injuries. From there, shoring up 2C will be key (3C would be nice as well, but quality of 2C fix could change that... IE Kadri playing like a 1C last year and Compher stepping up eased that pressure).
To me, there's no question there'll be competition. But you don't tank a cup-competitive team, just because there's competition.
If we look at last year's team that went 16-4 in the playoffs and won the Cup, and this year's team (full roster when healthy), there are only a few differences:
- Kadri replaced by Rodriques. (A rough downgrade).
- Kuemper replaced by Giorgiev. (A wash, particularly given how Kuemper played).
- JFJ replaced by Girard. (An upgrade).
- A one-legged Landeskog replaced by the two-legged version. Hopefully.
This is a very good, talented roster. It's not perfect, but what roster is? If they can stay close to the 8th spot for another month, start getting regular players back for the 2nd half of the season and play the way they should, I think they'll easily make the playoffs.
And that doesn't take into account roster improvement at the deadline. Of course, other contending teams will do that also.
People are forgetting how quality we are full strength. Best roster in the league. I don't want to bring in big name players if it costs us various depth players and picks.
Lehk - Mack - Rants
Landy - E-Rod - Nuke
Newy - Galch - JT
Cogs - Helm - LOC
Toews - Makar
Byram - Manson
Girard - EJ
Georgy
Franky
Ridiculously great.
As Hench said, that 2C/3C listing is ugly business.
And why would you play Galchenyuk at 3C over either Newhook or Compher? Yuck.