The conference title clinching magic number is seven. The last game of the season @ Providence could end up deciding it.
Of course the Comets could try something unique ------------ win out over the next 5 games and no one could touch them. The 2 in Cleveland would be the first steps. Every other team in the North hasn't seemed to have a problem with them. That has been the Comets Achilles heel. They lose way too often to the teams they should beat:
North Division
- Cleveland, last place (7)
They are currently 2-2 with the Monsters and have lost the last 2.
Play Cleveland away tonight and tomorrow,
- Rochester, #6
They are 5-4 vs Rochester and have lost the last 2. Won the first 2 during the opening season 13 straight wins when they beat anyone. They are 3-4 since then.
Play Rochester away on Friday.
- Belleville, #4
Belleville was not a good team until recently. The Comets are 4-3 against them with the first 2 wins curing the streak. 2-3 since then and have lost the last 3 in the past 2 weeks.
- Toronto, #5
Toronto was challenging for the #2 spot all season and recently fell off the cliff while Laval and Syracuse soared.
Comets finished 2-2. 1W during the streak and 1W since the Marlies started their fall.
Cross over to the Atlantic:
#8 Lehigh Valley -#8
2-1 Comets won the 1st in game #4, 2nd in a SO in mid February, and lost to them on 4/2. The start of their April tailspin.
#7 Hartford WolfPack
1-1
#6 Bridgeport Islanders
0-2
That's 15 of their 27 losses.
Have to be happy they played the Syracuse Crunch so many times. 14 times and the Comets came out way ahead at 11-3. Which accounts for 18 of the 27 losses.
The other 9 came against the better teams from both Conferences. That part is not bad.
They began the season 13-0. That couldn't go on, but 12-11 was a deep dive. Okay so they burned out and had to regroup and move forward.
They never did that. They just kept on playing at a .500 record, 15-16 with 5 games remaining. If they had not had the awesome beginning leading them, and most who follow them, to believe they were much better than they are, they would currently be in the fight of their lives for a playoff spot. 1-4-1 is the kind of hockey they are playing at the moment. Call that OTL what it is and they have lost 5 of their last 6. There are no points in the playoffs. A loss in OT could be the one that sends you to the golf course.
These last 5 games are not going to cost them a playoff berth. However, it will determine the state of their game going into them. The 4 teams behind the Comets are all .500 or above in their last 10 with only the Comets below .500.
Over in the Atlantic the 5 teams currently in playoff spot only Hershey is below .500 in the last 10 GP. Leader of the pack, Providence is 6-3-1 and 4-0 in their last 4.
In the Central none of 5 currently inare below .500 (nor are the other 2 still battling for that 5th spot) and the leader of the pack, Chicago is 7-3.
Lastly in the Pacific only San Diego, the last to qualify (all 7 of their combatants have been determined) is below .500 and their leader, Stockton is 6-3-0-1.
The Comets who led the league in winning % and was the first team to 35 wins now has 40 wins and 4 other teams have tied or surpassed their 40 wins and 3 have surpassed their winning %.
Looking at the numbers as an outsider the Comets look like a definite contender for the Calder Cup. They are statistically the best team in the Eastern Conference. However, if you follow their play game to game, you would say this team is spiraling downward out of control. Trying to halt the fall and somehow put together a short streak to create an air of confidence and a belief that they are back on track and still a force to be reckoned with is not an easy task. A 1-5 team trying to turn the next 5 games in the exact opposite direction to 5-0 is the stuff winners are made of. 12 days from now we will have the answer and it starts tonight. If they lose tonight, tomorrow is even bigger. After that, 2 losses has a team coming into the playoffs with a huge target on their chests and the #4 vs #5 winner will be supercharged to bring the regular season North Division leader down. It's only a 5 game series and the 4/5 series will only be a best of 3. If that winner swept their short series, they will be on a roll and the Comets have been known to sputter out of the gate after time off. Even a little sputter can spell the end in a 5-game series.
I am hoping Dineen gives them an answer to the D-schemes that have eaten them alive over the past month. That's HIS JOB and I can't believe they look worse at it now than ever before. Run and gun, outscore your opponent hockey won't work if you can't even get through the neutral zone let alone across the O-blueline!
I am holding out all hope for these kids. They will have their full early season roster back in town minus only Boqvist. There are no new additions to make them stronger. They will have to rely upon the dogs that got them there. None of the college guys they recently signed nor the ECHL additions just added, because their season ended without playoffs, are not as good as any of their top 12 up front or the top 6 on the back end. They win or lose with what they have had all year. Dig down and work your asses off boys. Nobody can help you except each other.