2016 LA Kings Offseason GDT IV

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well put and i agree Martin plays a physical game that is suited for the kings. I think if we get him at 2.5 i would sign him and move out King and Clifford and i am Clifford biggest fan

That's the exact number that I would consider a cut off number for Martin. Anything above that I'd pass on. Some team will go above that though, and hopefully it isn't another Western team because the Kings will hate having to play against him on a regular basis.

I really do think his durability makes him a more valuable asset than Clifford.
 
Clifford and King have both been banged up lately. I'm not huge fan of either, but I don't think we saw their A games last season.
 
That's the exact number that I would consider a cut off number for Martin. Anything above that I'd pass on. Some team will go above that though, and hopefully it isn't another Western team because the Kings will hate having to play against him on a regular basis.

I really do think his durability makes him a more valuable asset than Clifford.

If we had a trade for both King and Clifford I would consider going as high as 2.8 for 4 Clifford makes 1.5 and king 1.9 that 3.4million which when you bring up Mersch your talking close in money and you have upgraded the bottom 6 imo
 
I feel like talk about the same subjects are going on in each thread but here is my dilemma.

La currently sits at about 4m under the cap after signing Lewis. Even if they move both Clifford and King out to put Martin in at say 2.8m(generous to LA), LA still only has 4 million again to try and attract a top line winger and an up grade on defense. Or play a rookie and get the best UFA for the entire cap space.

I don't think you can add Martin and a top UFA.

Maybe Martin and a much lower range UFA.
 
Clifford is probably a better comparison for Martin.
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I feel like talk about the same subjects are going on in each thread but here is my dilemma.

La currently sits at about 4m under the cap after signing Lewis. Even if they move both Clifford and King out to put Martin in at say 2.8m(generous to LA), LA still only has 4 million again to try and attract a top line winger and an up grade on defense. Or play a rookie and get the best UFA for the entire cap space.

I don't think you can add Martin and a top UFA.

Maybe Martin and a much lower range UFA.

Jack Campbell and Nick Dowd still need contracts...
 
The Kings could sign a Martin. They could move some players and bring in a Ladd or Eriksson. But really it's not going to matter much unless the team alters it's system and style somewhat.

JW was trending down, goes to Washington, and tacks on 10+ points to anything he's done over the last 2 years playing with lesser guys. Look what Brad Richardson did when he left. There aren't many examples because there isn't much roster turnover, but the effect of our system on numbers is apparent.

If Matt Martin comes here, he's close to a single digit player. He's not a huge upgrade over what we have, if an upgrade at all. The character/hitting is what the team will be paying for. No one who is brought in is going to magically fix the bottom 6. Still, if Clifford or King are going to be moved, make it for someone who can actually outproduce them. Martin would be a wash with Clifford and produce half of what King does.

It's not like guys like Lewis and Shore can't put up numbers, they are just so hell bent on the defensive side of things that it takes over. I'm not saying play firewagon hockey, but the system needs to be loosened a bit. The Kings style was overpowering teams for a while, but they've figured it out and adjusted, now the Kings need to do the same.
 
First off, I've defended King quite a bit on here, so I don't even know who or what you are mistaking me for. I'm also aware of his deficiencies and how ineffective he can be when he gets away from playing a heavy game, which is exactly what happened to him last season.

And are you not paying attention as to why some of us are keen to the idea of Martin over King? We're not talking about offensive production, we're talking about playing that heavy, hard hitting game that throws opponents for a loop.

Did anyone on the bottom six do that last season? I'm talking about a guy like Tom Wilson who will make opponents be on alert. That's what Matt Martin brings and something that has gotten away from the supposed physical wingers on this team.

No, I'm reading all that just fine and agreeing that in his role he's very effective. I'm railing against the idea--no it wasn't you, but you were defending it--that Martin > King. Martin is exclusively a 4th liner; King rotates all over the lineup because he has the ability. No he SHOULDNT be near the top six, but its much less disastrous if he is than if Martin is. King is underratedly skilled and flexible and a good all around player who is not a liability.

I guess more than anything what i"m saying is people rail against guys like Clifford and King moving around the lineup, then I come here and see Martin > BOTH, and I'm wondering aloud why in the world anyone would buy that, especially when he's likely to get paid 1.5x more than both. There are very few statistics that back it up. Hits is about it. Stupid penalties? He's got that in spades too.

Again, grass is always greener.

Tampa Bay , Florida , Washington, Winnipeg, Isles, Pittsburgh , San Jose , St.Louis just a few teams who have speed and skill in their bottom 6 who actually score goals and have few 35-40 pt players . They are also not a liability getting dangled by and giving up quality chances.

Once you contain our top 2 lines we are done . Im all for being positive but eventually youll change your tune.

It's exactly what I said above, and I"m not digging through my posting history to get the stats because I did this examination before--those teams have 'bottom sixers' with 30-40 points because they have guys who play top six AND bottom six, getting most of their points with top sixers. It would be like if D. Brown got 50 points last season and we said "look how productive our bottom sixers are" when really he got 40 points with Kopitar.

I'll put it this way, because I don't disagree with your whole premise--a lot of those teams have a 'top 7' in a way, a top six with the depth to miscast a skill guy down the lineup, and then rotate those parts around. We did the same, but the problem was guys like Brown, Lewis, King didn't actually score. I don't think those guys are inherently less skilled than, say, Grabovski, but last season, it didn't work. That's fine, let's get some more skill there, but let's not pretend bottom sixers around the league are lighting it up, because the vast majority of them aren't scoring much more than the Kings believe it or not.

And, to point out how those teams got that scoring depth? Every example I can think of is a cheap internal guy coming up or signing of rights--think Donskoi, Sheary/Rust, etc. So going OUTSIDE for those signings help is actually counterintuitive to what many are looking for. For us, that might look like Dowd helping at the beginning of the year and a Mersch/Kempe coming up near the deadline like King/Nolan.
 
Would anyone be against getting Hartnell from Columbus for half salary retained?

$2.375m for 3 years. 34 years old. A vet with no Cup. Still putting up 20+ goals. For next year, it's not bad. It's after that when you have to factor in Brown, does Gaborik retire or not, Toffoli and Pearson need contracts, if they get another defenseman this summer, if they lose a defenseman in the expansion draft, and then have to get another defenseman again.

Plus I'm sure Columbus would want to trade Hartnell anywhere that would require them retaining as little money as possible. If they can trade him somewhere for only 20% retained, the Kings would have to add cheap youth to the deal if they held at 50%.

It all depends on many things, but, for next year, Hartnell at 50% would probably be a good option. Not a huge playoff producer outside of one or two seasons though. Like anything, pros and cons.
 
If we had a trade for both King and Clifford I would consider going as high as 2.8 for 4 Clifford makes 1.5 and king 1.9 that 3.4million which when you bring up Mersch your talking close in money and you have upgraded the bottom 6 imo

getting petty here but isn't cliff making $1.6?
 
$2.375m for 3 years. 34 years old. A vet with no Cup. Still putting up 20+ goals. For next year, it's not bad. It's after that when you have to factor in Brown, does Gaborik retire or not, Toffoli and Pearson need contracts, if they get another defenseman this summer, if they lose a defenseman in the expansion draft, and then have to get another defenseman again.

Plus I'm sure Columbus would want to trade Hartnell anywhere that would require them retaining as little money as possible. If they can trade him somewhere for only 20% retained, the Kings would have to add cheap youth to the deal if they held at 50%.

It all depends on many things, but, for next year, Hartnell at 50% would probably be a good option. Not a huge playoff producer outside of one or two seasons though. Like anything, pros and cons.

Would much rather have Hartnell for the next 3 at 2.4 than another bottom 6 plug winger making close to the same amount if not more do to the fact that he hits people.
 
If we had a trade for both King and Clifford I would consider going as high as 2.8 for 4 Clifford makes 1.5 and king 1.9 that 3.4million which when you bring up Mersch your talking close in money and you have upgraded the bottom 6 imo

I just don't see how moving 2 bottom 6 guys for one overpriced bottom 6 guy upgrades the team. At the moment, if you moved King and Clifford in trades with only picks coming back and not signing a free agent, you'd have...

Brown--Kopitar--Gaborik
Pearson--Carter--Toffoli
Mersch--Shore--Lewis
Andreoff--Dowd--Nolan

Signing Martin and putting him on the 3rd/4th line isn't going to make the team better. You still have a hole in the top 6 (Brown's spot) and on defense in the top 4. And you lose your depth that made the team strong. I'm all for moving King and Clifford but in doing so; you need to use their money to fill either the top 4 dman, top 6 winger, 3rd line Center spot. You don't need to go spend it on a useless bottom 6 winger that the Kings already have plenty of.
 
Jack Campbell and Nick Dowd still need contracts...

Per @Mayornhl

LA Kings 2016-17 Projected lineup http://mayorsmanor.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/cap-hit-2016-17.jpg

cap hit 2016-17

$67,389,393 SUB-TOTAL

Now, remember to add in a $1.57M penalty for the termination of Mike Richards’ contract…
$68,959,393 PROJECTED TOTAL WITH PENALTY
Thus, with the salary cap having an upper limit of $73 million next season, the Kings have some – but not much – wiggle room to make upgrades. Specifically, they have a maximum of about $4M to play with at the moment. http://mayorsmanor.com/2016/06/la-kings-salary-cap-update-after-trevor-lewis-signing-next-steps/
 
Per @Mayornhl

LA Kings 2016-17 Projected lineup http://mayorsmanor.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/cap-hit-2016-17.jpg

cap hit 2016-17

$67,389,393 SUB-TOTAL

Now, remember to add in a $1.57M penalty for the termination of Mike Richards’ contract…
$68,959,393 PROJECTED TOTAL WITH PENALTY
Thus, with the salary cap having an upper limit of $73 million next season, the Kings have some – but not much – wiggle room to make upgrades. Specifically, they have a maximum of about $4M to play with at the moment. http://mayorsmanor.com/2016/06/la-kings-salary-cap-update-after-trevor-lewis-signing-next-steps/

Dowd's number is just a guess, albeit a good one, given the small range in which it will fall, but at present he is an RFA.

The thing you have to account for with these full 23-man projections is they say have so much cap space, but when you add a new player, not only do you add his cap hit, but you take someone else off, as you otherwise exceed 23. So he says $4M, but if they were to add a player (not gonna speculate about a name), and move King, so they gain space (to upwards of $6M) and then the signed/traded for player cuts down the number from their.
 
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I just don't see how moving 2 bottom 6 guys for one overpriced bottom 6 guy upgrades the team. At the moment, if you moved King and Clifford in trades with only picks coming back and not signing a free agent, you'd have...

Brown--Kopitar--Gaborik
Pearson--Carter--Toffoli
Mersch--Shore--Lewis
Andreoff--Dowd--Nolan

Signing Martin and putting him on the 3rd/4th line isn't going to make the team better. You still have a hole in the top 6 (Brown's spot) and on defense in the top 4. And you lose your depth that made the team strong. I'm all for moving King and Clifford but in doing so; you need to use their money to fill either the top 4 dman, top 6 winger, 3rd line Center spot. You don't need to go spend it on a useless bottom 6 winger that the Kings already have plenty of.


Martin is a elite physical player imo a upgrade of Clifford He lead the league in hits. This is something the kings when playing well do a lot Losing clifford and lucic would take a lot of hits out of the forward part of our lineup Martin helps replace that. Your lineup is soft imo We should look like this

Brown kopitar gaborik
pearson carter toffoli
Mersch dowd lewis
martin andreoff nolan

Not ideal having brown play topline mins but at least we will have some physical players in the lineup. I actually think Mersch will eventually move up the lineup Pushing Pearson to top line with kopitar and playing with carter and toffoli Moving brown down to 3rd line by jan.
 
Per @Mayornhl

LA Kings 2016-17 Projected lineup http://mayorsmanor.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/cap-hit-2016-17.jpg

cap hit 2016-17

$67,389,393 SUB-TOTAL

Now, remember to add in a $1.57M penalty for the termination of Mike Richards’ contract…
$68,959,393 PROJECTED TOTAL WITH PENALTY
Thus, with the salary cap having an upper limit of $73 million next season, the Kings have some – but not much – wiggle room to make upgrades. Specifically, they have a maximum of about $4M to play with at the moment. http://mayorsmanor.com/2016/06/la-kings-salary-cap-update-after-trevor-lewis-signing-next-steps/

now nothing against King and Clifford as I like them both, but replace King with Mersch and Clifford with AndyA you gain 2+ mil to give the Kings 6 mil to go after a top LW and bench player.

Scuderi can always be buried in the minors and replaced by Forbert for roughly the same price should he and Gravel both surprise.

I thik we will end up with Hartnell with salary retained as he would be a great stop gap for Kempe. Remember Kempe may need a year or two in the bottom 6 to get used to the flow.

Our Center depth really scares me.
 
Per @Mayornhl

LA Kings 2016-17 Projected lineup http://mayorsmanor.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/cap-hit-2016-17.jpg

cap hit 2016-17

$67,389,393 SUB-TOTAL

Now, remember to add in a $1.57M penalty for the termination of Mike Richards’ contract…
$68,959,393 PROJECTED TOTAL WITH PENALTY
Thus, with the salary cap having an upper limit of $73 million next season, the Kings have some – but not much – wiggle room to make upgrades. Specifically, they have a maximum of about $4M to play with at the moment. http://mayorsmanor.com/2016/06/la-kings-salary-cap-update-after-trevor-lewis-signing-next-steps/

Hello, black hole.
 
Per @Mayornhl

LA Kings 2016-17 Projected lineup http://mayorsmanor.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/cap-hit-2016-17.jpg

cap hit 2016-17

$67,389,393 SUB-TOTAL

Now, remember to add in a $1.57M penalty for the termination of Mike Richards’ contract…
$68,959,393 PROJECTED TOTAL WITH PENALTY
Thus, with the salary cap having an upper limit of $73 million next season, the Kings have some – but not much – wiggle room to make upgrades. Specifically, they have a maximum of about $4M to play with at the moment. http://mayorsmanor.com/2016/06/la-kings-salary-cap-update-after-trevor-lewis-signing-next-steps/

Abysmal looking lineup. I'm going to be irate if Scuderi isn't buried in the minors.
 
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