Pretty much.
And by the way - good batch of posts lately, Dax.
To me, Chevy has earned his money lately in other ways - like the handling of Ladd/Buff, the Kane trade, and sticking to his guns on bringing in the young guys. But yeah, a large part of his competence as a GM is "not screwing up big time". Which, for sure, does not bode well for the general competence of NHL GMs.
I agree - the batch of teams that first devote themselves to "moneypuck" analytics, for drafting, roster decisions, and trades, will leave the rest in the dust. I'm worried the Jets have yet to fully embrace this. Why do we not have a pure analytics guy as part of management?
I think there will always be a place for traditional scouting, just as there will always be a place for "intangibles" that contribute to team harmony. That gets into fuzzy sports psychology stuff. But this should be used to tune the analytics-driven machine, or operate in areas where analytics is not conclusive. It should not guide your overall approach.
It looks to me like lots of GMs are still calling it from gut instinct. It won't be long till these dinosaurs face an extinction.