The Lukeman
Opinionated
- Apr 7, 2019
- 575
- 1,309
I do consider a number of things (or did in my post) based on my own personal experience(s) but then so do you. You say his size is a reason to be excited and that the problems that it presents is a thing of the past so please help me out, which 6'6" players are in the top 6 of any team today. I know that the BlackHawks drafted a kid last year who is 6'5" in Dach but it is way to early to say that he is going to be anything more than a useful top 6 player which is a very very good thing by the way. So there is one sort of. I have looked and don't see any others but then let's say that the 17yo 6'4" dynamo that had a "good" season in the OHL this year stays at his current height and doesn't continue to grow as he has the past two years. He would then be a legit top 6 threat without any of the drawbacks that larger players tend to experience.
All players may bust and I said as much in my post so I don't see any need to rehash that but I do want to point out that you say that the oversize player problem is a thing of the past but then your examples of oversize players are ML who was 6'4" the size where I said seems to be the cutoff for large players before they become oversized and then you list Arnott who was under 6'5" by two tenths of an inch according to his bio. The thing about them also is that they played years and years ago or in your words "the past". I guess it was a little confusing or something but I get where you are coming from.
I would also like to talk about QB's play in two categories. Firstly is his very soft game. For his size he should be dropping/plowing through most of his competition and at times he does but that is really mostly in the Ozone. Not saying he is bad in his own zone but he isn't anything special. Additionally I would also point out that QB is a bit of a floater everywhere but in the Ozone. I am not saying that the kid isn't a pretty good player in spurts in his own zone but he needs a shit tonne of improvement in that category like most young players do. Just pointing out the obvious.
So, I guess my position regarding QB is that he lacks any truly elite skillset and is merely good to very good in a few areas of his game and that to me is the rub. I think he will be a highly valuable top 6 forward (hopefully a centre but that will take time to see) when everything is said and done but we are drafting at the #2 position and in this deep of a draft I think that we should be looking for the most elite player at their position that we could select (providing that their character meets with ours etc). It is why I say that Askarov should be considered at the #3 pick or at least by #5. He is among the best goalie prospects that I have seen come along in years and easily the best goalie of this and the last draft AIAEC. If he wasn't from Russia he would be in the top 3 for sure this year but he is and that makes him a bit of a problem and it would have to be worked out the best way possible prior to the draft and even then it could be a problem.
So imo the best player available at 2 is Stutzle but I believe that we will draft QB for lots of reasons, some that I don't agree with and some that I do. I will be way geeked when we do draft him and hope to see him in two or three years in our top 6. IF he puts it all together he could be very scary. I just think that Stutzle has a greater chance of putting it all together than QB does but once a King always a King. I posted a similar thread in 02 here I think and believe it was regarding Scott Barney but it doesn't really matter who it was. The player didn't make it and that is alright, it happens. So I have a similar feeling regarding QB and that is alright by me. I like being proven wrong when it happens, great learning experience and in this case if it happens then we get a stud of a giant in our top 6. How can that be a bad thing?
Oh and I have a couple of sort of recent Kings who were dominant before their draft (offensively) and ended up being serviceable 2nd/3rd line players in the NHL. The first is Brian Boyle. He came of a Boston record setting offensive year before his draft and ended up a serviceable player in the NHL. He never played a soft game and was/is a really all heart sort of player. David Steckle was also oversized and he had a nice little career though he was never considered to be a dynamo before his draft year (I think he was taken 23rd in the 1st round but I am not certain). He was said to have a very good offensive game but became more of a grinder in the NHL. There is also George Parros who much like Steckle was seen as one thing coming out of Princeton (or was it Yale?) but ended up being a solid two way forward for a little bit and then settling in to becoming a bit of a goon.
Not saying that any of these guys are close in skill or potential to QB (accept for Boyle sort of), just saying that oversized players even recently tend to have a much tougher road. Of course it is all speculation but then that is where I see the risk/reward scenario with QB. I don't want us to risk anything at all with the #2pick and would rather we draft the more talented player without as much risk but like I said, we will draft QB so it is all a moo point. Like a cow.
Oh and we should keep the fact that Stutzle played in a mens pro league this year and had an exceptional campaign. Just think that it should be part of the conversation is all.
Your point valid but it's half baked. You are right about the reason why we don't see a lot of successful big mans in the NHL. Typically, big men often rely on size and strength to overcome skill and speed. However, there comes a point where the size is not enough to cover the skill and speed. That is the very thing that Byfield has which makes him so unique. He has the size, skill, and speed to become a great NHL player.
Think Evgeni Malkin. Incredibly skilled despite being 6'4. Malkin is a perfect comparable for Byfield. Don't believe me? Here is a scout's quote when Malkin was drafted "A good skater with good balance and speed. Has a very good slapshot and a fast wrist shot. Has good hands and very good stickhandling. An excellent passer who knows how to open the game. Not a very physical player." Byfield has an elite shot (shooting 27% in the OHL). Good hands and stickhandling. Byfield has a great passer. And oh? He also isn't very physical.
Also, I don't know where notion of Byfield not having an elite skillset comes from. What skills are not elite? His playmaking? Byfield had 50 assists in 43 games with 0 NHL talent on is team. He lead the league in primary assists per 60 minutes (Yes even better than Rossi). Is his stickhandling is not elite? You don't just casually score several goals between your legs. Is his shot is not elite? He was shooting 27% this season? Is his skating is not elite? This is the opposite of every single scouting report out there. Is his vision/hockey IQ is not elite? I would argue they are. Is his defensive game is not elite? I can agree with this point, but his team was allowing 27% less goals when he was on the ice vs when he was off the ice. What other skillset is there that is not covered by those points?