Zuluss
Registered User
- May 19, 2011
- 2,488
- 2,241
I might actually find goals vs assists debate interesting if the motives behind the goals crowd weren’t so wholly transparent.
Since they are wholly transparent, it just comes across as a last ditch effort.
It is a fact that Ovechkin finishes higher in Hart voting and All-star voting than in points. Here is the history since 2012/13, arranged in chronological order
Ovechkin's rank in points at his wing (RW in 12/13 and 13/14)
2, 3, 2, 4, 3, 3, 4
Ovechkin's All-star team placements in the same seasons
1, 2, 1, 2, 3, 3, 1
Ovechkin's point finishes
3, 8, 4, 15, 20, 11, 15
Ovechkin's Hart voting placements (* for Caps missing playoffs, ** for the season when he got a single vote)
1, -*, 2, 6, 12**, 9, 7
It is a fact that voters place Ovechkin over players with more points year in, year out. Goals seem to be an obvious explanation why, but other explanations (hits, physical presence) are also welcome.
What is a clearly wrong way to evaluate Ovechkin though is the approach "look at his point placements, and he is not even good defensively, so he is worse than that, and bringing up goals is just double-dipping".
Ovechkin is nowhere near Bourque in consistency. Ovechkin may have some of the worst consistency outside of scoring goals than most all time greats.
I am not even sure why this consistency thing is valuable.
I understand why consecutive seasons of peak play are valuable - they show that the peak was genuine ability and not just one lucky season when the stars aligned.
Other than that, it seems to me that it is just the total body of work that matters, and random permutations of seasons in a player's record should not matter at all. Why having, say, 10 top5 finishes in goals in a row would be better than having 5 in a row and then, after a down season, another 5? Or having 4 consecutive, then a down season, then 3, then a down season, then another 3?
The playoff advantage is Crosby. Interantionally it is Crosby. He's had more elite years, and is a better player now and has been better for a while now. First 5 or so years of their career you could say they were 1a) and 1b) and it alternated. Now though, it's been Crosby for a while.
They still alternate, though. Ovechkin finished higher in Hart voting in 12/13, 14/15, 17/18. He is currently having a better year after Crosby was better last season. So it is almost as if they are purposefully taking turns.
As for elite seasons, Crosby has 12 MVP nominations (7 Hart, 5 Lindsay), Ovechkin has 11 (6 Lindsay, 5 Hart). I guess you can count an extra season for Crosby, but 7-6 or 12-11 split comes across as thin margin that may or may not be significant depending on how strong those seasons were.
If you look at seasons with 5% of Hart vote or more, Ovechkin actually closes the gap and it is 9-8 now, with a possibility of even at the end of this season. If you look at top10 finishes in Hart voting, it is in fact even, and this season Ovechkin most likely takes the lead.
I think it is obvious he's had the better career, which is no slight to Ovechkin.
Ovechkin has higher peak and more historical significance, and that is never going to change.
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