Speculation: What do the Oilers need to do to take the next step?

Rebuilt

Registered User
Jun 8, 2014
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Too small of a sample size to peg him as a legit #4(same as Klefbom being a 2/3 guy) But I've been a big fan of his since his days with the Pats

I think its a bummer that we could very well lose him to expansion, especially if he improves this year.:(
 

Homesick

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Aug 2, 2005
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I think its a bummer that we could very well lose him to expansion, especially if he improves this year.:(
That would mean the Oilers would actually have good defense this season if he's the Oilers #4 guy and actually taken. Since most years people believe the Oilers defense wouldn't even make their roster :laugh:
 

Sidney the Kidney

One last time
Jun 29, 2009
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Really pretty simple . Of the 299 top scorers in the NHL only 27 are defensive men

Those 27 D men score 212 goals . Breaking it down to 6.5 % of goals .

While the 272 fwds score 3040 goals. Breaks down to 93.5 % of goals .

He is saying he does not care about a D that scores . He rather them just to have a 1st pass that is good enough to get it to the forwards who do most of the scoring anyways . Hew also has stats that show Larsson is the best D at defending in the game . He posted that a few times . .

I understand what he is saying and I understand the stats and numbers he post .

Just be clear understanding them and agreeing without checking the numbers are totally different . I have never checked his sources . I also seen him post stats before on other Oilers D that if someone did not know or watch hockey would lead you to believe the Oilers D were tops or one of the tops in the NHL when it comes to defence . I guess they are like any other stat , they need to be taken with a gain of salt .

The issue with that guy's posts is I've yet to see him link a source for how he finds these numbers. He also seems to focus on one stat only to draw his conclusions, and one that I've never seen anyone except him use to determine a defenseman's ultimate effectiveness.

Besides, any system that results in Adam Larsson being the best D in the league ahead of perennial Norris trophy guys like Keith, Doughty, etc., with guys like Erik Karlsson way down on the list, probably isn't the most reliable.
 
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bucks_oil

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Aug 25, 2005
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The issue with that guy's posts is I've yet to see him link a source for how he finds these numbers. He also seems to focus on one stat only to draw his conclusions, and one that I've never seen anyone except him use to determine a defenseman's ultimate effectiveness.

Besides, any system that results in Adam Larsson being the best D in the league ahead of perennial Norris trophy guys like Keith, Doughty, etc., with guys like Erik Karlsson way down on the list, probably isn't the most reliable.

Haha... I read only the last post and of course I know you are talking about our savant... OilerBear.

I agree that his "filtering" technique can be used to show pretty much anything that fits a narrative: take all D, now only those that have good "box" protection (insert value that makes it work... who knows if that's "good"), now remove all D who played 2nd comp, now take out the ones born in January, now take out the ones who didn't kiss a girl until they were 15. And there you have it. Larsson is the best STUD defenseman in the league ;)

Nevertheless... I feel we're blessed to have him, even though ~40% of the time I don't follow the argument, most of the time it is intriguing all the same.
 
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McSuper

5-14-6-1
Jun 16, 2012
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Halifax
The issue with that guy's posts is I've yet to see him link a source for how he finds these numbers. He also seems to focus on one stat only to draw his conclusions, and one that I've never seen anyone except him use to determine a defenseman's ultimate effectiveness.

Besides, any system that results in Adam Larsson being the best D in the league ahead of perennial Norris trophy guys like Keith, Doughty, etc., with guys like Erik Karlsson way down on the list, probably isn't the most reliable.

I agree . Also he does not say Larsson is the best D in the League , just the best defender . I am not buying it . Not that I think Larsson is bad but until he can lead a pair of defenders himself without Green ( Remember Fayne ) I will wait and see . He does upgrade our D . The question is how much . If Klefbom stays healthy and his play is on the same level as last year before he went down and Larsson out plays him on the top line we will have a decent top pairing . Not elite but middle of the pack which is a big improvement .
 
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Seanaconda

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May 6, 2016
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meh. he'd be a 1 year rental for an expansion team. shouldn't be too hard to pay a pick to get them to pick someone else.
davidson would be ? He's an rfa signed at like a mill and a bit and looked like our best dman before he got injured. Klef was out but he looked better than sekera
 

Juxta Position

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Jul 2, 2006
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He's 29 and only got a starting job last year he has been a backup his whole career prior to that backups usually don't win cups

almost all NHL goalies start their careers as back ups, they either progress into starters or don't. talbot has shown hes able to the carry the load for the oilers and be a good starter.
 
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russ99

Registered User
Jun 9, 2011
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Reduce goals against.

With reasonable health and development of McDavid and Draisaitl, they'll score enough goals.

Defense is better with Larsson and a reasonable bet that one of Nurse, Reinhart or Osterle gets to an average level, but we still need a veteran D-zone stopper to cover for and teach the kids, and a lot better effort from the forwards when the opponent has the puck - especially in the defensive zone.

We'll see if McLellan and Chiarelli can get the forwards to do better or if they need a different makeup, more two-way players and less speedy scorers who coast on D.
 

Mystifo

No more Mr.FightGuy
May 26, 2011
3,825
2
YYT
Reduce goals against.

With reasonable health and development of McDavid and Draisaitl, they'll score enough goals.

Defense is better with Larsson and a reasonable bet that one of Nurse, Reinhart or Osterle gets to an average level, but we still need a veteran D-zone stopper to cover for and teach the kids, and a lot better effort from the forwards when the opponent has the puck - especially in the defensive zone.

We'll see if McLellan and Chiarelli can get the forwards to do better or if they need a different makeup, more two-way players and less speedy scorers who coast on D.


You guys really need that D workhorse and Nurse could evolve into that but the problem is most of these guys who do become workhorses have others there who can help them in their early years and you guys lack that vet leadership.
 

Saintpatrick*

Guest
Too bad they couldn't of put a package together for Subban instead of Larsson.
 

snipes

How cold? I’m ice cold.
Dec 28, 2015
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Just what the Oilers need - more forwards and less defensemen, which has been their Achilles heel.

Exactly. Trade a promising young D man in Davidson for 2 forwards and a small 7th round draft pick? Why?

Above trades, we need guys to play with heart and soul like they give a **** night in and night out. They need to play with pride and for each other. Klefbom and Davidson continuing to progress into a top pairing and 2nd pairing D man respectively would help. As would one of Nurse/Oesterle/Reinhart developing into a solid 3rd pairing D man this season.
 

McSuper

5-14-6-1
Jun 16, 2012
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meh. he'd be a 1 year rental for an expansion team. shouldn't be too hard to pay a pick to get them to pick someone else.

I see this mention a lot . Not sure it would be legal . Las Vegas would have to let teams know in advance who they are picking and I am not sure it would be aloud or if it would be tampering because take it one step further and ask Las Vegas to draft this guy or that guy for you . This guy is left unprotected we need him take him and trade him to us for a 1st rd pick . It would just create a cluster **** having them letting team know in advance . But hey what do I know
 

McSuper

5-14-6-1
Jun 16, 2012
17,153
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Halifax
Too bad they couldn't of put a package together for Subban instead of Larsson.

Cost would have gutted the team . Better to go for Larsson and add another solid D thru another trade . Even if it was RNH and 2017 1st for another offensive D . We come out of it would 2 goos D for Hall , RNH and futures . The Montreal Canadians want more then that for Subban . I think it was 2016 1st , Draisaitl , Nurse + . I forget the last piece . All guys on ELC with years of team control . I think Hall's trade was more base on Puljujarvi falling to us then it was about Lucic signing with us . From what I can tell Puljujarvi pushes the play like Hall did and is a better 2 way player with size to boot .
 

ForSpareParts*

Guest
Too bad they couldn't of put a package together for Subban instead of Larsson.

Who does EDM have that is the equivelent of Shea Weber?

This couldn't happen. MTL would only have recieved young gun forwards in a trade.

Great for fantasy, not so for winning games.
 

ThirdManIn

Registered User
Aug 9, 2009
55,115
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They probably still need to shore up the defense a bit. After that, experience, experience, experience. I think their GM/coaching troubles are essentially fixed, at least enough to make the next step (playoffs appearance, or at least being in contention until the very end), which was a huge issue. Now they need another top 4 defenseman, time for the team to gel and time for the younger guys to gain a bit more experience. Hell, the experience thing isn't really as big of an issue if we're talking about just making the playoffs, but it will be an issue if we're talking about going deep in the playoffs.

I think they have a legitimate shot this season, but I fully expect them to be threatening by the spring of 2018.

Edit: goaltending could still be a question mark with how inexperienced Talbot is, but I also think he will be good enough. Teams don't really need elite goaltending to make it to the real season.
 

PuckG

Registered User
Feb 26, 2015
4,368
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i think this has been discussed, but would you do Tanev for RNH?

Before the Hall trade, I would have without hesitation. With him gone, I'm not so sure. Larsson and Tanev would likely play similar roles on the team anyways, so I'd probably pass.
 

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